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AUD/USD

  • #18,501
  • Mar 9, 2010 11:10am Mar 9, 2010 11:10am
Quoting MarcVUM
My hat goes off to you. You have been spot on since I've been watching your posts!
thanx MarcVUM, I try to keep it simple, just S/R ,fib and TL, the point is every S or R will be the R/S when they are broken, if you know where to place you order. there is a good chance to get a bounce on each of them every time so you are playing with probability in your favor
  • #18,502
  • Mar 9, 2010 11:11am Mar 9, 2010 11:11am
Quoting TheLastCoke
Now could be the time.

http://www.forexfactory.com/showpost...&postcount=142
I saw that, nice chart
  • #18,503
  • Mar 9, 2010 11:47am Mar 9, 2010 11:47am
Lovely chart TheLastCoke
  • #18,504
  • Mar 9, 2010 11:50am Mar 9, 2010 11:50am
Quoting shahab8b
Hi Tuner, thanx for your comment
I have been thinking of this broadening formation since 3-4 weeks ago.
I think A/U is a process of a topping activity, I'm carefully watching U/Cad, the triangle formation- it could be a bottom or a continuation.(U/cad pattern is more mature than A/U) triangles for reversal do happen (2002 U/Cad weekly uptrend reversal). so I'm more comfortable with a topping scenario in A/U. I try to build short position on every possible turning point and I'll start with .9150-75 then add up if we gets higher, at the same time...
U/C finally touched the TL from Oct-to-Now. Think it's bottom yet? I've been buying this pair , only to wake up and stopped at B/E. I'm not gonna let this one get away from me though. Bought at 1.0244.
  • #18,505
  • Mar 9, 2010 12:18pm Mar 9, 2010 12:18pm
  •  Tuner
  • | Joined Nov 2009 | Status: Love it when a plan comes together | 709 Posts
Quoting Clouds
U/C finally touched the TL from Oct-to-Now. Think it's bottom yet? I've been buying this pair , only to wake up and stopped at B/E. I'm not gonna let this one get away from me though. Bought at 1.0244.
Hey there clouds,
Hope you are doing fine. Was staying out of trades for some days now.
Still waiting for the right entries
Did you have a look at EUR/AUD? :o
Took some pips last week when we bounced up from 1.50 area..
But that wasn't the turn-around yet.. another historical low today :o

Will be watching the AUD and CAD pairs now..
Good luck to you!
"Blue Horseshoe loves Anacott Steel!"
  • #18,506
  • Mar 9, 2010 12:26pm Mar 9, 2010 12:26pm
Quoting Tuner
Hey there clouds,
Hope you are doing fine. Was staying out of trades for some days now.
Still waiting for the right entries
Did you have a look at EUR/AUD? :o
Took some pips last week when we bounced up from 1.50 area..
But that wasn't the turn-around yet.. another historical low today :o

Will be watching the AUD and CAD pairs now..
Good luck to you!
EUR/AUD fell to around 1.44-1.43 in year 1997, shows on my charts, that was before the euro, so i dont know what currency that was, do u?

Attached Image
  • #18,507
  • Mar 9, 2010 12:27pm Mar 9, 2010 12:27pm
Quoting shahab8b
thanx MarcVUM, I try to keep it simple, just S/R ,fib and TL, the point is every S or R will be the R/S when they are broken, if you know where to place you order. there is a good chance to get a bounce on each of them every time so you are playing with probability in your favor
well done shahab and hats off. I stayed away from this pair for the past week and mainly shorted EU as it looked more certain. I thought a double top on the dow would happen but got burnt badly got SL ed, and then it reversed. Just shorted AU now trying to recover.... My shorts on Gold are still there though.
Find a job that you love and you dont have to work again in your life.
  • #18,508
  • Mar 9, 2010 12:40pm Mar 9, 2010 12:40pm
  •  Tuner
  • | Joined Nov 2009 | Status: Love it when a plan comes together | 709 Posts
Quoting Clouds
EUR/AUD fell to around 1.44-1.43 in year 1997, shows on my charts, that was before the euro, so i dont know what currency that was, do u?

Attachment

Oh--- ok. My charts didn't go back that far..
(only went back to 1999 = EUR )
So not a real historical low maybe
I think the figures before 1999 are calculated out of a basket of the former European Currencies... a big part of that basket might be our good old "Deutsche Mark"

Still worth watching how EUR/AUD goes on I think.
"Blue Horseshoe loves Anacott Steel!"
  • #18,509
  • Mar 9, 2010 12:40pm Mar 9, 2010 12:40pm
Quoting Clouds
EUR/AUD fell to around 1.44-1.43 in year 1997, shows on my charts, that was before the euro, so i dont know what currency that was, do u?

Attachment
ECU
European Currency Unit
  • #18,510
  • Mar 9, 2010 12:51pm Mar 9, 2010 12:51pm
  •  Tuner
  • | Joined Nov 2009 | Status: Love it when a plan comes together | 709 Posts
Quoting ts63
ECU
European Currency Unit
ooh.. right.. Now I remember that as well... long lomg time ago
"Blue Horseshoe loves Anacott Steel!"
  • #18,511
  • Mar 9, 2010 12:53pm Mar 9, 2010 12:53pm
Quoting Clouds
U/C finally touched the TL from Oct-to-Now. Think it's bottom yet? I've been buying this pair , only to wake up and stopped at B/E. I'm not gonna let this one get away from me though. Bought at 1.0244.
from where you are short in Aussiee and what is your target
??

Ub
  • #18,512
  • Mar 9, 2010 1:03pm Mar 9, 2010 1:03pm
Beautiful bearish divergence on MACD (4H TF).
  • #18,513
  • Mar 9, 2010 1:13pm Mar 9, 2010 1:13pm
I'm all for the the TL that our beautiful pair is hovering at to act as resistance,
however (*gasp), I'm waiting for a really really really solid bearish hint.

Reason being I don't see any abatement in the healthy risk appetite from last Friday. U.S. equities ended more-or-less flat, and I think the market is waiting for trade balance numbers from the Middle Kingdom (tomorrow?).
  • #18,514
  • Mar 9, 2010 1:13pm Mar 9, 2010 1:13pm
Quoting ts63
ECU
European Currency Unit
Different names, same POS?
  • #18,515
  • Mar 9, 2010 1:21pm Mar 9, 2010 1:21pm
I wonder how come the Home Loans m/m this evening for Australia is forecast at 2.1%, when the past two months have been around -5%.
  • #18,516
  • Mar 9, 2010 1:34pm Mar 9, 2010 1:34pm
Quoting Clouds
I wonder how come the Home Loans m/m this evening for Australia is forecast at 2.1%, when the past two months have been around -5%.
Well, there's been positive numbers from aus all week, esp. the jobs advertised thing. And it is the middle of summer.
But essentially home loans are erratic, and not just in australia. Look at US housing starts for the past few months.
  • #18,517
  • Mar 9, 2010 1:44pm Mar 9, 2010 1:44pm
Current shorts should bail on a breach of .9220

The egotistical crowd should bail around .9232-9240-.49




The market appears to be stuck in greed mode, I will not stand in its way.


Offloaded heavy longs on usd/cad from 1.0244-0272. It appears the market is not finished probing the stops on current longs.
  • #18,518
  • Mar 9, 2010 1:52pm Mar 9, 2010 1:52pm
Quoting Clouds
I wonder how come the Home Loans m/m this evening for Australia is forecast at 2.1%, when the past two months have been around -5%.
perhaps their lieing through their teeth?
Before Forex I was tall, and clean shaven. Now I am an Ewok.
  • #18,519
  • Mar 9, 2010 2:05pm Mar 9, 2010 2:05pm
http://fxtradeinfocenter.oanda.com/o...on_ratios_beta

Last night it was more than 60% long....
  • #18,520
  • Mar 9, 2010 2:13pm Mar 9, 2010 2:13pm
Quoting Fusion
http://fxtradeinfocenter.oanda.com/o...on_ratios_beta

Last night it was more than 60% long....
Hmm, my positioning data reads about ~60% short.
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