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AUD/USD

  • #18,441
  • Mar 9, 2010 12:01am Mar 9, 2010 12:01am
Quoting Squarepants
another butterfly.. dragonfly.. whatever they are called!

I'm still in long... did you get in?
When this baby hits 88 miles per hour, you're gonna see some serious s***.
  • #18,442
  • Mar 9, 2010 12:06am Mar 9, 2010 12:06am
Quoting MarcVUM
I'm still in long... did you get in?
I didn't. I think it is going down soon.
  • #18,443
  • Mar 9, 2010 12:13am Mar 9, 2010 12:13am
Looks trapped between it's 20/40 SMA on Hourly. Stay tuned.

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  • #18,444
  • Mar 9, 2010 12:13am Mar 9, 2010 12:13am
Quoting MarcVUM
I'm still in long... did you get in?
yes, waiting with baited breath
  • #18,445
  • Mar 9, 2010 12:46am Mar 9, 2010 12:46am
Daily TF says we're going south
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  • #18,446
  • Mar 9, 2010 12:58am Mar 9, 2010 12:58am
Quoting Clouds
looks like .90 soon, but longer-term .8380
anyway, that's what im doing
Sounds good to me even though I do not agree.

0.86?

I doubt itr but I will not rule it out.

.84?

It will hit 0.95 first but then--What do i know?
  • #18,447
  • Mar 9, 2010 12:58am Mar 9, 2010 12:58am
Quoting ts63
Daily TF says we're going south
We are using the same trendlines....
  • #18,448
  • Mar 9, 2010 1:02am Mar 9, 2010 1:02am
[quote]
Quoting yorygog
Sounds good to me even though I do not agree."

0.86?
I doubt itr but I will not rule it out.

.84?

It will hit 0.95 first but then--What do i know?[/quotOOps..did it once again.

Thought I was in the USD/JPY thread.

Sorry.
  • #18,449
  • Mar 9, 2010 1:07am Mar 9, 2010 1:07am
Here's a monthly look at TL's, drawn from .94

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  • #18,450
  • Mar 9, 2010 1:16am Mar 9, 2010 1:16am
Your TL seems to support what I believe:

LT TL Bullish.

Buy on the dips and Lord knows there will be many of them before it hits 93+.
  • #18,451
  • Mar 9, 2010 1:23am Mar 9, 2010 1:23am
Quoting yorygog
Your TL seems to support what I believe:

LT TL Bullish.

Buy on the dips and Lord knows there will be many of them before it hits 93+.
Do you think it's a bull flag or something?

Hmm, I'm very dollar bullish. I don't think this is just a Eurozone problem, I just think some currencies are gonna lag. I would say low .60's by summer.
  • #18,452
  • Mar 9, 2010 1:33am Mar 9, 2010 1:33am
So I shorted some risk pairs earlier today, EJ, NU , and AU, and the only one that has moved more than 2 pips is EJ. I guess I wait for AU/NU to do something.
  • #18,453
  • Mar 9, 2010 1:45am Mar 9, 2010 1:45am
I'm not feeling comfortable with the way price is moving...
When this baby hits 88 miles per hour, you're gonna see some serious s***.
  • #18,454
  • Mar 9, 2010 2:08am Mar 9, 2010 2:08am
Quoting Clouds
Do you think it's a bull flag or something?

Hmm, I'm very dollar bullish. I don't think this is just a Eurozone problem, I just think some currencies are gonna lag. I would say low .60's by summer.
What we witnessed in 2008 was, I thought, a once in a lifetime thing. We need stock indice/commodity weakness for this thing to go down or some bad data from Oz, China or US. Everyone seems to be expecting a correction in the indices since the upmove from February has been on low volume. Although I've learnt to never say never when it comes to the forex market, I think low 60's by summer is optimistic unless "In China We Trust" comes crashing down in a spectacular way.
Nothing worth having is easy.
  • #18,455
  • Mar 9, 2010 2:18am Mar 9, 2010 2:18am
Definately some sort of catalyst is needed. AUS residential property is a ticking time-bomb. I give it 6 months, tops.
  • #18,456
  • Mar 9, 2010 2:24am Mar 9, 2010 2:24am
Quoting Patience
What we witnessed in 2008 was, I thought, a once in a lifetime thing. We need stock indice/commodity weakness for this thing to go down or some bad data from Oz, China or US. Everyone seems to be expecting a correction in the indices since the upmove from February has been on low volume. Although I've learnt to never say never when it comes to the forex market, I think low 60's by summer is optimistic unless "In China We Trust" comes crashing down in a spectacular way.
Either this summer or in 7 years, but parity is not where it's going. Either this summer or in 7 years, I'll come back to this thread and say I told you so. But by the looks of other currencies, I'd say "very soon". Do you remember usd/cad? While the crash was going on, CAD did nothing, then it moved it's entire move in 1 month. This pair is going to be a rubber band, and it's wound up now. Why does it have to be 1 time? Look at EJ, it went down, retraced a bit, and now is heading where? Maybe to 90 or lower, maybe 70. That's how I see the charts anyway. Will AU be the lone ranger ? That's putting some high expectations on a smaller country.
  • #18,457
  • Mar 9, 2010 2:33am Mar 9, 2010 2:33am
Quoting Clouds
Either this summer or in 7 years, but parity is not where it's going. Either this summer or in 7 years, I'll come back to this thread and say I told you so. But by the looks of other currencies, I'd say "very soon". Do you remember usd/cad? While the crash was going on, CAD did nothing, then it moved it's entire move in 1 month. This pair is going to be a rubber band, and it's wound up now. Why does it have to be 1 time? Look at EJ, it went down, retraced a bit, and now is heading where? Maybe to 90 or lower, maybe 70. That's how I see the charts...
What happenned to 92.5 first? it looks that way on the daily
  • #18,458
  • Mar 9, 2010 2:35am Mar 9, 2010 2:35am
Quoting Needpatience
What happenned to 92.5 first? it looks that way on the daily
aud/jpy to 82.5, 82.8, then 84
  • #18,459
  • Mar 9, 2010 2:48am Mar 9, 2010 2:48am
Maybe continue down now.

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  • #18,460
  • Mar 9, 2010 2:56am Mar 9, 2010 2:56am
Don't sat that, I have an Open Long on this pair.

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