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AUD/USD

  • #18,401
  • Mar 8, 2010 5:47pm Mar 8, 2010 5:47pm
I hope you guys know what you're doing. Remember that just yesterday our miners got a big boost to their iron ore prices.
  • #18,402
  • Mar 8, 2010 5:53pm Mar 8, 2010 5:53pm
The January rally was 599 pips , the March rally has been 560 pips. The February decline was 755 pips. So an estimate for a possible decline would put it at .8377
  • #18,403
  • Mar 8, 2010 5:55pm Mar 8, 2010 5:55pm
Quoting Squarepants
I hope you guys know what you're doing. Remember that just yesterday our miners got a big boost to their iron ore prices.
Why do u care? Are you short, hoping everyone that is short, is right?
  • #18,404
  • Mar 8, 2010 5:58pm Mar 8, 2010 5:58pm
You guys have been screaming short since 8800. Where is the evidence? I can't see anything based on fundamentals.
  • #18,405
  • Mar 8, 2010 6:00pm Mar 8, 2010 6:00pm
Quoting Squarepants
You guys have been screaming short since 8800. Where is the evidence? I can't see anything based on fundamentals.
I love the swaps fees in this pair also, but watch out you don't get caught milking the cow.
  • #18,406
  • Mar 8, 2010 6:04pm Mar 8, 2010 6:04pm
Squarepants here's what I'm seeing in a nutshell fundamentally speaking. U.S. banks aren't lending and won't lend until the system is cleansed from bad debt, thus we won't be importing China's crap as much as we used to, thus traders are averse to risk, thus AUD/JPY goes down to .45
  • #18,407
  • Mar 8, 2010 6:08pm Mar 8, 2010 6:08pm
Oh are you referring to copper jumping 8% after the concepcion earthquake? Well, the four mines were out of electricity for a few hours and incurred no structural damage. The fact that copper jumped like that is irrational, it kind of reminds me of the tech boom where people were buy stocks not based on fundamental value but looking for the next greater fool to buy at a higher price. This will lead to a crash. Oh and we have tankers full of oil over hear not knowing where to put it because of our huge supply and no demand? Do you think 80 per barrel is a sound valuation?
  • #18,408
  • Mar 8, 2010 6:40pm Mar 8, 2010 6:40pm
Quoting Squarepants
You guys have been screaming short since 8800. Where is the evidence? I can't see anything based on fundamentals.
My "fundamentals" is the max 0,9132...

I think we can't have again the same price, because now we have to go DOWN !!!

If the price goes again at 0,9132 i'm wrong.
  • #18,409
  • Mar 8, 2010 6:41pm Mar 8, 2010 6:41pm
Quoting virgilum
My "fundamentals" is the max 0,9132...

I think we can't have again the same price, because now we have to go DOWN !!!

If the price goes again at 0,9132 i'm wrong.
US Dollar is too strong now....
  • #18,410
  • Mar 8, 2010 6:48pm Mar 8, 2010 6:48pm
Quoting Saxon
I just exited my short position, having an issue with my FCM right now, but I would think about using the following TP. Since we broke Fib Fan 38.2 and are heading to standard Fib 38.2, I would exit on either of the two white circles. Issue is that we are about to connect with MA which might happen before Fib. This is a short term trade/exit TP. I didn't do too much LT analysis today. I will be back trading again at London too. I did ok with this window today, but due to the lack of volumes I am out for a bit. Good Luck
I don't want to toot my own horn but I was spot on. That deserves a beer!
  • #18,411
  • Mar 8, 2010 6:49pm Mar 8, 2010 6:49pm
Quoting Saxon
I don't want to toot my own horn but I was spot on. That deserves a beer!
that does!!
Before Forex I was tall, and clean shaven. Now I am an Ewok.
  • #18,412
  • Mar 8, 2010 6:52pm Mar 8, 2010 6:52pm
Here's something to ponder.
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When this baby hits 88 miles per hour, you're gonna see some serious s***.
  • #18,413
  • Mar 8, 2010 6:52pm Mar 8, 2010 6:52pm
Quoting Saxon
I don't want to toot my own horn but I was spot on. That deserves a beer!
  • #18,414
  • Mar 8, 2010 6:55pm Mar 8, 2010 6:55pm
Someone predicted a retrace will take from 9130 to 9080 since "we were going up too fast" last night. Wow spot on guess nice!
  • #18,415
  • Mar 8, 2010 7:05pm Mar 8, 2010 7:05pm
Thanks it was just instinct, that one
  • #18,416
  • Mar 8, 2010 7:19pm Mar 8, 2010 7:19pm
seems like someone last week had their sights set on 9120/9150..... can't remember who, maybe shab...... 9130 might just qualify as a, pardon the term, bulls eye..... .....



aussie d still king of the swap mountain....... and it has the numbers to prove it.....h
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to trade and code, keep both simple... no call to impress....h
  • #18,417
  • Mar 8, 2010 7:20pm Mar 8, 2010 7:20pm
im at my desk looking at the charts..and all i can think is "i want it back to 8855 so i can break even"..lol, i should have atleast tried to check one more time while in singapore

back to the drawing boarddddd
  • #18,418
  • Mar 8, 2010 7:38pm Mar 8, 2010 7:38pm
Quoting hayseed
seems like someone last week had their sights set on 9120/9150..... can't remember who, maybe shab...... 9130 might just qualify as a, pardon the term, bulls eye..... .....



aussie d still king of the swap mountain....... and it has the numbers to prove it.....h
still holding long , and watching to reverse into short at .9145-70 R zone
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  • #18,419
  • Mar 8, 2010 7:39pm Mar 8, 2010 7:39pm
looks like .90 soon, but longer-term .8380
anyway, that's what im doing
  • #18,420
  • Mar 8, 2010 7:52pm Mar 8, 2010 7:52pm
So.. below .9080, then .90, below .90 then .885, below that, .84
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