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AUD/USD

  • #18,121
  • Mar 2, 2010 10:55am Mar 2, 2010 10:55am
Quoting tradoholic
Can any body explain why the USD has been getting weak in the past hour or so? I have checked all sites looking for some breaking news or something but cant see anything. Anyone kows?
Just back from my work
4H DX , I think it tell something
W Shape mostly mean we going down this shape start since 19 feb
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: dxx.gif Size: 26 KB
  • #18,122
  • Mar 2, 2010 3:09pm Mar 2, 2010 3:09pm
amyc, we got a nice little dogi cross on the S&P today. Is your system showing a rollover about to occur?
When this baby hits 88 miles per hour, you're gonna see some serious s***.
  • #18,123
  • Mar 2, 2010 3:45pm Mar 2, 2010 3:45pm
Quoting MarcVUM
amyc, we got a nice little dogi cross on the S&P today. Is your system showing a rollover about to occur?
Yes 1122 on the S&P is exactly what I was looking for, I think there is strong chance of a rollover anytime from now. Glad you think the same.
  • #18,124
  • Mar 2, 2010 3:47pm Mar 2, 2010 3:47pm
Quoting amyc
Yes 1122 on the S&P is exactly what I was looking for, I think there is strong chance of a rollover anytime from now. Glad you think the same.
Still looking for higher prices on aud first though, hopefully GDP figures will help that out today.
  • #18,125
  • Mar 2, 2010 6:58pm Mar 2, 2010 6:58pm
Took profit on 10 of my longs at 9063, still holding 4 for a go at 9115. I will not touch shorts this week untill we at least trade that high.
  • #18,126
  • Mar 2, 2010 6:58pm Mar 2, 2010 6:58pm
double top .9060 high probability down
  • #18,127
  • Mar 2, 2010 7:17pm Mar 2, 2010 7:17pm
The head of Australian Chamber of Commerce states that RBA rate hike an "unwelcome headache" for businesses.
  • #18,128
  • Mar 2, 2010 7:26pm Mar 2, 2010 7:26pm
Quoting amyc
Took profit on 10 of my longs at 9063, still holding 4 for a go at 9115. I will not touch shorts this week untill we at least trade that high.
hmmm... the signal on the 1 hr looks too good to be true.
When this baby hits 88 miles per hour, you're gonna see some serious s***.
  • #18,129
  • Mar 2, 2010 7:27pm Mar 2, 2010 7:27pm
Quoting MarcVUM
hmmm... the signal on the 1 hr looks too good to be true.
for who??
  • #18,130
  • Mar 2, 2010 7:30pm Mar 2, 2010 7:30pm
Quoting amyc
for who??

on the A/D. i'm waiting for a slight confirmation on the 15min below a 50ma to go short like crazy.

sorry... A/U
When this baby hits 88 miles per hour, you're gonna see some serious s***.
  • #18,131
  • Mar 2, 2010 7:32pm Mar 2, 2010 7:32pm
Quoting MarcVUM
on the A/D. i'm waiting for a slight confirmation on the 15min below a 50ma to go short like crazy.
I will be waiting, I think both au and eu have a higher move to make this week and dx has a lower move pattern to complete. The only thing that has me watching the market closely today is that the S&P looks like it could start dropping at any minute.
  • #18,132
  • Mar 2, 2010 7:48pm Mar 2, 2010 7:48pm
Quoting amyc
I will be waiting, I think both au and eu have a higher move to make this week and dx has a lower move pattern to complete. The only thing that has me watching the market closely today is that the S&P looks like it could start dropping at any minute.
The 20 SMA should be a tough resistance in this area, as it was last week

Attached Image
  • #18,133
  • Mar 2, 2010 7:48pm Mar 2, 2010 7:48pm
Quoting amyc
the S&P looks like it could start dropping at any minute.
No post could have made me happier today than to see this

I will post my fib charts tonight, but we did clear resistance on SPX last night during the NY session, although we didn't close above it - in fact it was a bearish close.

I PM'd this chart to malcolmb last night right before the NY open which is when I go to bed. ES futures premarket action:

http://img52.imageshack.us/img52/2470/77902543.gif

Blatant markup in the premarket futures action by bigdogs, followed by what appears to be very strong selling of the 1122 level.

I continue to purchase April 990 puts on the cheap.
  • #18,134
  • Mar 2, 2010 7:50pm Mar 2, 2010 7:50pm
Quoting Clouds
The 20 SMA should be a tough resistance in this area, as it was last week

Attachment
20SMA on the daily is supposed to be one of the most important technical indicators for AUDUSD along with the 20/2.0 daily boll bands, according to a few old AUD traders I spoke to recently.
  • #18,135
  • Mar 2, 2010 7:57pm Mar 2, 2010 7:57pm
Quoting Clouds
The 20 SMA should be a tough resistance in this area, as it was last week

Attachment
I am going to wait and see what London gives us, I am not looking for too much higher just 9115 on au and 1.3710 on eu and 80.045 on dx if i miss out then i will wait till next week.
  • #18,136
  • Mar 2, 2010 7:57pm Mar 2, 2010 7:57pm
Quoting sinner-
20SMA on the daily is supposed to be one of the most important technical indicators for AUDUSD along with the 20/2.0 daily boll bands, according to a few old AUD traders I spoke to recently.
Any idea about weekly? The chart was weekly, also the boll bands show some resistance on weekly
  • #18,137
  • Edited 11:29pm Mar 2, 2010 10:50pm | Edited 11:29pm
A Wolfe Wave in H1 gives me a fall to 0.8900 to be reached in about 24-25 hours from now...

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: ww_march03.gif Size: 16 KB


Edit: just saw what seems to be a smaller replica above, which would give way to 0.8950 in about 7 hours...

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: ww_march03_3.gif Size: 26 KB


Note: a break above 0.9063 would invalidate these patterns... but it would seem price has been unable to conquer that resistance. Let's see how the hourly candle closes...

Note 2: 127.2 extension of last H1 swing high (8964->9056) is at around 0.8952 and 161.8 extension at 0.8907.
  • #18,138
  • Mar 2, 2010 10:56pm Mar 2, 2010 10:56pm
Quoting doblece
A Wolfe Wave in H1 gives me a fall to 0.8900 to be reached in about 25 hours from now...

Attachment
hai there...
i hope so coz i short to....
Revesal Trader
  • #18,139
  • Edited 12:31am Mar 3, 2010 12:05am | Edited 12:31am
Quoting doblece
A Wolfe Wave in H1 gives me a fall to 0.8900 to be reached in about 24-25 hours from now...

Attachment

Edit: just saw what seems to be a smaller replica above, which would give way to 0.8950 in about 7 hours...

Attachment

Note: a break above 0.9063 would invalidate these patterns... but it would seem price has been unable to conquer that resistance. Let's see how the hourly candle closes...

Note 2: 127.2 extension of last H1 swing high (8964->9056) is at around 0.8952 and 161.8 extension at 0.8907.
Hey Doblece,
This is my view, sucks that it will come about in London I am running off MMLs on one of my other terminals. +1/8 is 90637. I am looking to not exceed that and shoot down to MMLs 7/8 S&R then potentially back up to 8/8 as the day plays out. It aligns with Fib Chan as lower support. I am going to make my decision when vols drop. As soon as M15 to M30 candles are complete I will enter.

Watch us blow right through 90637...where is the rolly eyes faces?
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  • #18,140
  • Mar 3, 2010 12:33am Mar 3, 2010 12:33am
Quoting Saxon
Hey Doblece,
This is my view, sucks that it will come about in London
At least you're half an hour behind me, lol...

Edit: Indeed that could happen:
(Now I'm awake... thanks!)
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