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AUD/USD

  • #17,061
  • Feb 23, 2010 2:15am Feb 23, 2010 2:15am
Quoting Subdude
I don't think many people realize here the paradigm shift that just occurred with the discount rate hike. The Fed's message is clear, you just need to tune in to hear it! Add to that the fact that AUD is a cowardly currency; it never leads, always follows (the stock market). Just watch what always happens to it when US futures are deep in the red, speaking of which - the monetary tightening has started, but the market is yet to price it in.

Good luck to longs, you're gonna need it.
Great analysis. Do you have any more of these pearls of wisdom? Then I can trade in the opposite direction.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: aud2.gif Size: 19 KB
Never underestimate an idiot.
  • #17,062
  • Feb 23, 2010 2:33am Feb 23, 2010 2:33am
AUDUSD
LONG
Entry: 0.90099
S/L: 0.89820
T/P: 0.90450
Status: Closed (Hit TP)
  • #17,063
  • Feb 23, 2010 2:37am Feb 23, 2010 2:37am
AUD is kicking my butt I sold went up sold again... and sold again my lowest sell is at 0.8991 and my last short is at 0.9044 with target for all shorts at 0.8981

also Im selling euro and buying JPY so lets see with the German IFO where the market will go....
  • #17,064
  • Feb 23, 2010 2:41am Feb 23, 2010 2:41am
Quoting sinner-
GMAE traders.

kourtney, just use a 3MA of std.dev or 3MA of bollinger bandwidth and write an alarm on crossover. MT4 is completely programmable, take advantage of it. If you can't code let me know I will write it for you. .
Sinner! that would be wonderful...I know we are all busy but whenever u can would u help me with that? I have a mt4 terminal as demo and trade my real account in the FXCM platform I dont know how to program on Metratrader or place the famous expert advisors to work should i ring u a private so i can give you my email?

thank you so much again! Im sure with that velocity changing alert i can make some profits too
  • #17,065
  • Feb 23, 2010 3:00am Feb 23, 2010 3:00am
looks like it might retrace, not sure where
  • #17,066
  • Feb 23, 2010 3:38am Feb 23, 2010 3:38am
It's following a similar script to the past.. if that continues I think it'll go to 9080 before dropping back near 9025. Trend still up for the rest of this week.
  • #17,067
  • Feb 23, 2010 3:45am Feb 23, 2010 3:45am
Long at .9050, with a stop at .9030. I'm anticipating previous resistance (~.9035) becoming support.
  • #17,068
  • Feb 23, 2010 3:45am Feb 23, 2010 3:45am
Quoting Squarepants
It's following a similar script to the past.. if that continues I think it'll go to 9080 before dropping back near 9025. Trend still up for the rest of this week.
How can u tell the trend is up for the rest of the week?
  • #17,069
  • Feb 23, 2010 3:47am Feb 23, 2010 3:47am
Quoting Mister Pip
Long at .9050, with a stop at .9030. I'm anticipating previous resistance (~.9035) becoming support.
im short with TP of .9000 and SL .9100 let see how it goes


Ub
  • #17,070
  • Feb 23, 2010 3:49am Feb 23, 2010 3:49am
Quoting ubaidahsan
im short with TP of .9000 and SL .9100 let see how it goes


Ub
9055 should be resistance
  • #17,071
  • Feb 23, 2010 3:54am Feb 23, 2010 3:54am
Quoting ubaidahsan
im short with TP of .9000 and SL .9100 let see how it goes


Ub
Good luck!
  • #17,072
  • Feb 23, 2010 4:03am Feb 23, 2010 4:03am
Quoting Clouds
How can u tell the trend is up for the rest of the week?
Sentiment across the markets, especially the positive reaction to RBA's statement today which was actually pretty neutral. Buyers are looking for any excuse to get in.
  • #17,073
  • Feb 23, 2010 4:06am Feb 23, 2010 4:06am
Quoting Squarepants
Sentiment across the markets, especially the positive reaction to RBA's statement today which was actually pretty neutral. Buyers are looking for any excuse to get in.

I guess we're just gonna have to wait and find out, I'm gonna set my trades SL BE, and hope ill be able to keep my positions. If not, no big deal.
  • #17,074
  • Feb 23, 2010 4:11am Feb 23, 2010 4:11am
Im selling AUD/USD buying USD/JPY and also buying EUR/AUD
I think we will se a huge correction this week on this one...the only problem ...the rollover charge is huge!

I thin AUD ran out of steam already and we will see it soon at 0.8750
  • #17,075
  • Feb 23, 2010 4:14am Feb 23, 2010 4:14am
Quoting kourtney
Im selling AUD/USD buying USD/JPY and also buying EUR/AUD
I think we will se a huge correction this week on this one...the only problem ...the rollover charge is huge!

I thin AUD ran out of steam already and we will see it soon at 0.8750
Kourtney, I hope so. I'm short AUD, also long USD/CAD (it's doing it's best to carve out a bottom).
  • #17,076
  • Feb 23, 2010 4:15am Feb 23, 2010 4:15am
Quoting Clouds
across what markets? i dont know why anybody would be selling usd/cad at the bottom, and buying aud/usd at the top! actually i understand why, but i'm not gonna do that. no interest.
this is long-term perspective though.
OK long-term I totally agree. However you will need to be happy possibly holding 100 or 200 pip paper loss before it turns.

Remember my prediction is for the rest of this week, not next month or two. I'll only enter the long-term short position when there is at least some nervousness creeping back into the market.. why fight the herd?
  • #17,077
  • Feb 23, 2010 4:22am Feb 23, 2010 4:22am
Quoting Squarepants
OK long-term I totally agree. However you will need to be happy possibly holding 100 or 200 pip paper loss before it turns.

Remember my prediction is for the rest of this week, not next month or two. I'll only enter the long-term short position when there is at least some nervousness creeping back into the market.. why fight the herd?
My SL is 15 pip above entree, and I'll move it to BE shortly.
If this position doesn't succeed, I'll try again another rainy day.
  • #17,078
  • Feb 23, 2010 5:03am Feb 23, 2010 5:03am
Long @ 9011, SL 9000, TP 9050
  • #17,079
  • Feb 23, 2010 5:04am Feb 23, 2010 5:04am
Quoting Squarepants
Long @ 9011, SL 9000, TP 9050
Long @0.9011 TP @0.9052 SL @0.8971
  • #17,080
  • Feb 23, 2010 5:08am Feb 23, 2010 5:08am
You guys? Do u not look at other USD pairs?
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