Weekly COT report Analysis + Trade Ideas

E/U same as U/chf just inverse- bwd, this patterns can break out either side, 55% to upside tought

I gave this ab=cd pattern a 2nd thought- considering a diamond top in place, I think the upside is limited so I'm not trading long G/U instead I'll look to short opportunity again and will post it later on

GOLD: a new high seems more probable- but watch for a failure if S at 1100 breaks

hi guys
XAUUSD 240
Reciprocal AB=CD

EURUSD 240 (Bearish 3drives )
this pair made Reciprocal pattern last week and price really great respect it and the made 3drives (bullish) pattern and again changed the direction and now i look for another change (at least 80 pips ) around the determined zone(1.3690 1.3710)

why coming down at ab=cd then go up to the question mark?

gold

my plan for kiwi,
buy at current price -3 positions -close 1 st at .7150 and take a short there-close short at retest - then close the rest of longs at 2nd and 3rd tp

hi Shahab

at the end of leg (d) we have price clusters and resistance and i think it could change direction temporary, and then continue its way to the next main resistance.

Reciprocal َAB=CD
GBPUSD240

3ِDRIVES 1440 ?

seems we have some analyze in common Shahab,
and i really enjoy the way you trade
Good luck

wow, you got it from that low, nice trade
why didnt you post it sooner

Very interesting thread, ty Shahab.
My thought on Gold.

Hi - apologies if its in the thread and i've missed it , but is there anywhere free that u can get the basic COT in chart format to use ?

Thx

hi ,I posted it before, one more time,
http://timingcharts.com/

short A/J at current price 82.30-40

reason
1-fib 61%
2-R
3-good RRR,

SL=82.86
TP= 80 and 77

sell U/chf
reason
1-S>R
2-descending scallop
2-good RRR

Written by Danske Bank, Feb 22 10

The latest IMM data cover the week from 9 to 16 February.
EUR/USD managed to see somewhat of a consolidation last week as the Euroland debt problem dominated fewer headlines and risky assets posted a decent rebound. Still, noncommercial investors added further to short EUR positions, which have now reached a 10- year high at 30 percent of open interest.
The IMM data were collected prior to the Fed hiking the discount rate however, suggesting that short EUR positions might have been built even further. As we have argued repeatedly in recent weeks, the crowded positioning does pose a significant upside risk to EUR/USD – December's dollar rally showing just how powerful a position squeeze can be. That said, one should bear in mind that extreme positioning can be very long-lived.
Long JPY positions were cut back to 12 percent of open interest and we suspect that long JPY positions have been unwound even further, as recent price action has demonstrated how much at risk long JPY positions are from any indication of an early Fed monetary policy unwinding. USD/JPY is currently the G10 currency pair trading with the highest correlation to relative interest rates.
Coinciding with an improved risk sentiment, long positions have been extended in both CAD and NZD. In contrast, positioning remains unchanged in AUD, despite the Australian dollar actually outperforming the other commodity currencies

long E/u
set up identical to U/chf

Price= 1.3600
SL=1.35700
TP=TBD

hi guys,
maybe price going to complete this pattern early next week.
i think based on critical condition in EURO zone , we should look for over bought zone for EUR, GBP, ... (against dollor).
like 1.5620-1.5640 GBPUSD for sell as i attached its pattern

Good luck

AUDYEN240