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AUD/USD

  • #16,761
  • Feb 17, 2010 11:31am Feb 17, 2010 11:31am
I keep watching the euro and pound fall an waiting for gold and stocks to finally crumble and bring down the AUDUSD.

I am stopped at the 0.9015 level, but believe a breakdown can bring this puppy down to 0.8950.
  • #16,762
  • Feb 17, 2010 11:40am Feb 17, 2010 11:40am
Quoting Forexfsa
...
hi Forexfsa, very nice and clean EW count, well done
  • #16,763
  • Feb 17, 2010 11:45am Feb 17, 2010 11:45am
Quoting Patience
And indices are green. I can't see this turning until risk comes off. Yesterday's huge upmove on the indices yesterday was with no volume - well that's what Bloomberg said. They are wondering where the buyers are - I wonder if they asked the PPT.

I want 82.30 on A/J. Doesn't look like it's going to get there. Can't look anymore. It's excruciating.
Hi Patince, SO what's your interpretation of a big move without a valume? if you look at COT report- there are fewer people-contracts I mean- Long A/U than before but this pair is just moveing up-
  • #16,764
  • Feb 17, 2010 11:58am Feb 17, 2010 11:58am
I havent touch this pair since last Fri- now shorting form current level-
may be .61 fib level made some R finally- SL is tight just 30 pips
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  • #16,765
  • Feb 17, 2010 12:19pm Feb 17, 2010 12:19pm
Quoting shahab8b
Hi Patince, SO what's your interpretation of a big move without a valume? if you look at COT report- there are fewer people-contracts I mean- Long A/U than before but this pair is just moveing up-
That it's fake Is this incorrect? What's your interpretation?

I feel some risk aversion coming on - lol Dubai starting to rear it's ugly head again. Mundell saying market shouldn't be worried about Greece because it's Italy they should really be worried about. Just need some slightly hawkish Fed minutes and we should be sliding down that hill. Suppose it was close enough to 61.8% fib. Always like it when the market is precise though.
Nothing worth having is easy.
  • #16,766
  • Feb 17, 2010 12:23pm Feb 17, 2010 12:23pm
I think we are going to be seeing some moves shorter on this pair soon. It may take until london to actually make anything significant though...
  • #16,767
  • Feb 17, 2010 12:31pm Feb 17, 2010 12:31pm
I've heard that too Patience from a guy from RBS. He says they always knew Greece fudged their numbers to get into the EU. The Spanish and Portugese housing bubble concerns them more. Think of the holiday homes there that were bought by Europeans.
  • #16,768
  • Feb 17, 2010 4:39pm Feb 17, 2010 4:39pm
8930 wont be too far away...
  • #16,769
  • Feb 17, 2010 4:56pm Feb 17, 2010 4:56pm
Quoting Daytrader74
8930 wont be too far away...
What do you mean by far away....that's mean difficult to reach 8930?
I holding short from .8970 !
  • #16,770
  • Feb 17, 2010 5:01pm Feb 17, 2010 5:01pm
Quoting Australia1
What do you mean by far away....that's mean difficult to reach 8930?
I holding short from .8970 !
NO what I'm saying is it wont be long before we see 8930
  • #16,771
  • Feb 17, 2010 5:09pm Feb 17, 2010 5:09pm
daily bearish engulfing pattern in overbought area

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Forex " W " chart Pattern
  • #16,772
  • Feb 17, 2010 5:13pm Feb 17, 2010 5:13pm
Hello traders,

This is my view about AUDUSD for tomorow....We have good Sup level on AUDUSD also good setup for FE and my advice for tomorow is buy to the FE 100 witl tight SL ...WE will see...





Cheers and happy trading
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"Buy on fear, sell on greed !!!
  • #16,773
  • Feb 17, 2010 5:19pm Feb 17, 2010 5:19pm
Still short, SL now .90
  • #16,774
  • Feb 17, 2010 5:20pm Feb 17, 2010 5:20pm
GMAE traders.

Last nights 9000 puts had no trouble paying off.

Will look to deploy the profits into AUDUSD early next week. Direction undecided at this point, China is distorting the whole market I believe.
  • #16,775
  • Feb 17, 2010 5:42pm Feb 17, 2010 5:42pm
Target 90.80 - 91.00 area

Pair has been ranging since 5 feb... UP

Nothing suggesting it doesn't have further to go - but tight stops

Good luck everyone
  • #16,776
  • Feb 17, 2010 5:55pm Feb 17, 2010 5:55pm
Quoting sinner-
GMAE traders.

Last nights 9000 puts had no trouble paying off.

Will look to deploy the profits into AUDUSD early next week. Direction undecided at this point, China is distorting the whole market I believe.
What is GMAE stand for ?
  • #16,777
  • Feb 17, 2010 6:00pm Feb 17, 2010 6:00pm
Forgot to post my chart.

Fibtastic today.

Expecting the rectangle to play out again. Breakout direction unknown currently.

Blue is bull, red is bear, purple is current, black is complete.

The red fib shown on the chart is extremely crucial support for bulls to hold.
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  • #16,778
  • Feb 17, 2010 6:00pm Feb 17, 2010 6:00pm
lucky i'm not closing my short trade. there is still chance the trend to go move down. especialy today there is US economic news release PPi and the unemployment claims. let see, good or bad the news is i think today market will be moving fast when the news is released.
  • #16,779
  • Feb 17, 2010 6:05pm Feb 17, 2010 6:05pm
Saw this yesterday but didn't have chance to reply:

Quoting shahab8b
hi sinner- what kind of Option do you use?
double-one touch
one-touch
double no touch
I don't know any broker providing DNT and DOT options to anyone trading less than 5-10million per lot. Those sort of opts are written fresh for the big boys by the big boys. Are you just repeating something you heard on forexlive?

Daily/weekly/quarterly OT and vanilla options I have access to, as well as daily/weekly/quarterly price ladders.
  • #16,780
  • Feb 17, 2010 6:23pm Feb 17, 2010 6:23pm
Highs, .9036, .9000, .8990
Lows, .8981, .8974, .8964
Need a new low, for an SL move
ok, maybe i'm bit bored.
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