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AUD/USD

  • #16,441
  • Edited 9:52am Feb 14, 2010 7:26am | Edited 9:52am
HI guys,
on my daily chart i see a hanging man candle, we didnt closed above the last daily high what is also a bearish sign to me.
if u disprove or confirm my thought`s please dont hesistate to post your opinion.

cya mic

edit: changed to the mt4 chart and removed bollinger bands
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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  • #16,442
  • Feb 14, 2010 11:25am Feb 14, 2010 11:25am
Australian Dollar (Globex) Daily chart on last 6 months

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: cotrep_audglobex_daily.png Size: 49 KB


Australian Dollar (Day Session) Weekly chart on last 6 months

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: cotrep_aud_daysess_week.png Size: 40 KB


Source: http://timingcharts.com/index.php
  • #16,443
  • Edited 1:34pm Feb 14, 2010 12:20pm | Edited 1:34pm
Weekly overview: crossroads
Bearish trend, price lying below a strong resistance (H&S neckline, round number (8950) and level already tested and held the previous week. Also lying at middle BB20 - not shown).
However, the engulfing candle makes me uncomfortable to sustain the bearish view.

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: aud_week_140210.gif Size: 14 KB


Daily overview: short-term bullish, then bearish continuation
Expecting price to bounce down at fib 61.8 or later on at the UTL of the bearish channel.

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: aud_day_140210.gif Size: 14 KB


H4 overview: bullish
138.2 extension of last 4h swing coincides with 61.8 retracement on last daily swing. I would expect a rise to 0.9040/50 IF 0.8950 resistance is neatly broken. The steady bullish movement it has shown makes me think of the possibility to go even further up to a double top at 0.9320, or at least to the 161.8 extension at 0.9130.

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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  • #16,444
  • Feb 14, 2010 12:38pm Feb 14, 2010 12:38pm
Quoting doblece
Weekly overview: crossroads
Bearish trend, price lying below a strong resistance (H&S neckline, round number (8950) and level already tested and held the previous week. Also lying at middle BB20 - not shown).
However, the engulfing candle makes me uncomfortable to sustain the bearish view.

Attachment

Daily overview: short-term bullish, then bearish continuation
Expecting price to bounce down at fib 61.8 or later on at the UTL of the bearish channel.

Attachment

H4 overview: bullish
138.2 extensionof...
Thanks , nice clean analysis . It looks more or less similar with other pairs eu,gu , I thought it is maintening more bullish nature than others.
fontu
Not understand?better not follow my analyses!doubt clearer first, risks ++
  • #16,445
  • Feb 14, 2010 1:28pm Feb 14, 2010 1:28pm
Quoting Hell7
Price broke above and reached the median line of the blue fork, where we should see some profit taking.

Should price manage to close above, we go to the upper line.
As nothing really changed I have nothing new to say about the daily chart

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: 20100212audD.gif Size: 26 KB


But I wanted to point out something about the AUD/USD 6A future using this 30 minute chart. Price gapped up on Thursday as the spike on the spot-market happened during the 1 hour that the futures market is closed, and Friday's weakness did a nice job on closing that gap.

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  • #16,446
  • Feb 14, 2010 2:29pm Feb 14, 2010 2:29pm
It might fall to 0.8840, be careful.
  • #16,447
  • Feb 14, 2010 3:11pm Feb 14, 2010 3:11pm
Possible Inverese Head & SH at 4H
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  • #16,448
  • Feb 14, 2010 3:56pm Feb 14, 2010 3:56pm
Quoting Fibo_trader
It might fall to 0.8840, be careful.
good i'm holding my shorts at 8881
  • #16,449
  • Feb 14, 2010 4:03pm Feb 14, 2010 4:03pm
Quoting kilalik
good i'm holding my shorts at 8881
Yeah I got a short from 0.8885 so yeah let it fall down as much as it likes lol
  • #16,450
  • Feb 14, 2010 4:10pm Feb 14, 2010 4:10pm
Quoting Daytrader74
Yeah I got a short from 0.8885 so yeah let it fall down as much as it likes lol
looks like it's going lower but I don't think for not too long since we got a holiday in US... on Monday
  • #16,451
  • Feb 14, 2010 4:39pm Feb 14, 2010 4:39pm
Pattern failure on the aud last week, it should have moved down to 8553 but didn't, this happens 1-2 times a year, luckily the euro completed its move down to keep my accounts green last week.

This week I see a move up to at least 8960 and I suspect 8999 before we head back down. From these levels I would expect a move down to make new lows.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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  • #16,452
  • Feb 14, 2010 5:22pm Feb 14, 2010 5:22pm
Quoting egkid
Still in play 0.9310 , 09060 , 08945 , 0.8910
GL ALL
All positions closed @ 8865
Now I'm Flat
  • #16,453
  • Feb 14, 2010 5:30pm Feb 14, 2010 5:30pm
Quoting egkid
All positions closed @ 8865
Now I'm Flat
Well done thats like about 2000 pipis profit yeah ??
  • #16,454
  • Feb 14, 2010 5:42pm Feb 14, 2010 5:42pm
Quoting Daytrader74
Well done thats like about 2000 pipis profit yeah ??
Thanks
Just try to learn
Catch you later guys
All Take care
  • #16,455
  • Feb 14, 2010 6:06pm Feb 14, 2010 6:06pm
Quoting Daytrader74
Yeah I got a short from 0.8885 so yeah let it fall down as much as it likes lol
i closed my short with +10 pips, was wondering if you did cuz it looks like its going for 78.6 attempt
  • #16,456
  • Feb 14, 2010 6:27pm Feb 14, 2010 6:27pm
Quoting kilalik
i closed my short with +10 pips, was wondering if you did cuz it looks like its going for 78.6 attempt
Yes I closed mine as well @0.8869
  • #16,457
  • Feb 14, 2010 6:29pm Feb 14, 2010 6:29pm
Gold seems to be over bought at the moment. I added more shorts to my Gold, and since I take profit from my account every Monday, I dont have more money to short the AUD, but if Gold goes down, AUD is bound to follow. Anyways, 89.15 is a massive resistance that could not be broken in the last attempt as well.
Find a job that you love and you dont have to work again in your life.
  • #16,458
  • Feb 14, 2010 6:30pm Feb 14, 2010 6:30pm
Still holding short here from .8835. Even tempted to short more at this level.
  • #16,459
  • Feb 14, 2010 7:24pm Feb 14, 2010 7:24pm
Hello I'm the new guy, and AUD/USD is my new favotire trading pair.
I took it long on friday just at the bottom of the last swing, took my profits and went short at 0,8880...it's no great play, but i'll keep it for tonight with a tight SL.

Can't wait for the Olympic Ice Hockey tournament to begin, forex and hockey all night long (In Croatia it's 02,30 a.m.) for me than.
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
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  • #16,460
  • Feb 14, 2010 8:09pm Feb 14, 2010 8:09pm
Possible bull pennant forming, breakout depends if we get enough volume today
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