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AUD/USD

  • #15,381
  • Feb 3, 2010 8:29pm Feb 3, 2010 8:29pm
Quoting BobbyBob
So according to this, eventually we will run out of asian buyers and EUR and AUD is faced with heavy drops?
That's to be seen
  • #15,382
  • Feb 3, 2010 8:48pm Feb 3, 2010 8:48pm
I see 0.8840 soon
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: m50402.gif Size: 23 KB
  • #15,383
  • Feb 3, 2010 8:53pm Feb 3, 2010 8:53pm
Quoting Daytrader74
I see 0.8840 soon
yes.. but not soon
  • #15,384
  • Feb 3, 2010 8:56pm Feb 3, 2010 8:56pm
Quoting amyc
Are the calls for the short or long term?
They're just daily calls. Running cheap this morning during the news they were.

I might be buying some longer term calls in March Oil and Gold at about 3PM Sydney time though.

Quote
So according to this, eventually we will run out of asian buyers and EUR and AUD is faced with heavy drops?

You think the Chinese give a shit? They've got 2 trillion USD and all they can buy is liquid markets priced in USD. That pretty much leaves US Treasuries and the Euro. They will sell USD every dip. If they were willing to buy the dips above 0.9 what makes you think they will stop now?
  • #15,385
  • Feb 3, 2010 8:56pm Feb 3, 2010 8:56pm
I feel like we are in for another small swing up. I'm guessing to 88433 then back down.
  • #15,386
  • Feb 3, 2010 9:01pm Feb 3, 2010 9:01pm
Quoting Clouds
yes.. but not soon
When I said soon I meant in about 1 - 5 hours
  • #15,387
  • Feb 3, 2010 9:04pm Feb 3, 2010 9:04pm
Quoting Saxon
I feel like we are in for another small swing up. I'm guessing to 88433 then back down.
i wouldn't even think of selling until .8920 but will watch it
  • #15,388
  • Feb 3, 2010 9:20pm Feb 3, 2010 9:20pm
Quoting Clouds
i wouldn't even think of selling until .8920 but will watch it
why clouds? im thinking of shorting around .8835 or 8855, there r some gud resistances and lately the resistance works better than supports (bcoz its a downtrend i guess). but i'd like to hear something i dont know,one that hesitates u to go shorting
  • #15,389
  • Feb 3, 2010 9:20pm Feb 3, 2010 9:20pm
Buy or Sell?
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  • #15,390
  • Feb 3, 2010 9:23pm Feb 3, 2010 9:23pm
Quoting gimmie
why clouds? im thinking of shorting around .8835 or 8855, there r some gud resistances and lately the resistance works better than supports (bcoz its a downtrend i guess). but i'd like to hear something i dont know,one that hesitates u to go shorting
Cause the Aussie is no Euro, still in range .88 - .93
  • #15,391
  • Feb 3, 2010 9:25pm Feb 3, 2010 9:25pm
Quoting Clouds
Cause the Aussie is no Euro, still in range .88 - .93
Did you see this? From 7th January:

http://www.mizuho-cb.co.uk/TresInternet/PDF'S/aud.pdf

Quote
The Technical Analysis section of the Website contains material prepared by Nicole Elliott of the Foreign Exchange Department. The material is mostly related to Foreign Exchange and contains views ranging from daily through to a year ahead. The weekly analysis is usually produced on a Monday, the monthly and quarterly reports during the first few days of the month.
  • #15,392
  • Feb 3, 2010 9:26pm Feb 3, 2010 9:26pm
Quoting Clouds
Cause the Aussie is no Euro, still in range .88 - .93
So what your saying is you wouldn't go short until 0.8925 so does that mean your long at the moment ?
  • #15,393
  • Feb 3, 2010 9:32pm Feb 3, 2010 9:32pm
Quoting Daytrader74
So what your saying is you wouldn't go short until 0.8925 so does that mean your long at the moment ?
im managing a long nzd/usd right now
  • #15,394
  • Feb 3, 2010 9:35pm Feb 3, 2010 9:35pm
i dont think the market has moved 1 pip in an hour
  • #15,395
  • Feb 3, 2010 9:40pm Feb 3, 2010 9:40pm
Quoting Clouds
i dont think the market has moved 1 pip in an hour
its moved up and down about 10pips
  • #15,396
  • Feb 3, 2010 9:51pm Feb 3, 2010 9:51pm
lol maybe 12pips lol

looking at long term entry, for long positions around current level
thoughts? would need decent sl
  • #15,397
  • Feb 3, 2010 9:56pm Feb 3, 2010 9:56pm
Quoting sinner-
Did you see this? From 7th January:

http://www.mizuho-cb.co.uk/TresInternet/PDF'S/aud.pdf
Interesting Sinner. So can a scenario play out where the Euro is making new lows and both the USD and the AUD are making new highs? I guess it can as long as the AUD is rising faster than the USD. I just say this bc I am very bearish on the Euro, currently i am in the camp that sees 1.20-1.30 over the course of the year.
  • #15,398
  • Feb 3, 2010 9:57pm Feb 3, 2010 9:57pm
Quoting ivanovic01
lol maybe 12pips lol

looking at long term entry, for long positions around current level
thoughts? would need decent sl
I'm already long!
  • #15,399
  • Feb 3, 2010 10:00pm Feb 3, 2010 10:00pm
Quoting gimmie
why clouds? im thinking of shorting around .8835 or 8855, there r some gud resistances and lately the resistance works better than supports (bcoz its a downtrend i guess). but i'd like to hear something i dont know,one that hesitates u to go shorting
OsMA is right at 0.00 and looking to cross up from below. MACD agrees with direction. H1 Momentum paired with Stoch Osc is showing mid uptrend. Use the previous indicator against M15 of same type and if momentum turns with a buy signal from M15 stoch, I will go HEAVY long. M15 momentum is midrange and not giving any sign of turning, BUT, M15 stochastic is hitting oversold soon and will push up and drag Momentum with it. I see this either happening in the next hour or so, or not at all. I am betting on it happening.
  • #15,400
  • Feb 3, 2010 10:06pm Feb 3, 2010 10:06pm
hey daytrader

Yer me to little higher then i wanted but long term should make no difference
long at .882 sl .8782 no sp yet
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