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AUD/USD

  • #15,341
  • Feb 3, 2010 6:08pm Feb 3, 2010 6:08pm
Quoting Saxon
I like the chart Clouds. However,I feel that we are in for a slow bleed with AUD. I'm doing my daily forcast and will char it with you guys when I get it done. But from just stepping back and looking at AUD fundamentally compared to the US, I don;t see .93 anytime soon.
long-term i completely agree with aud going down. if you look at gbp/aud, it's screaming buy, but it's also been in range mode for months.

below .87 and i don't think aud can be stopped.
  • #15,342
  • Feb 3, 2010 6:26pm Feb 3, 2010 6:26pm
Quoting shahab8b
hi mate,
do you have any clue about the news- building, retail sales? +/-?
hey mate,

Retail sales should be closer to estimate.

I am not expecting a surprise to the upside and hence comfortable holding my shorts.

Cheers
  • #15,343
  • Feb 3, 2010 6:27pm Feb 3, 2010 6:27pm
Quoting Theforexway
Puks, Just wondering about your thought process on why you are so sure! I'm not agreeing or disagreeing. I think if we do break below .8880 then down we go but if it doesn't break then possible reversal in trend. Just looking for any thoughts!!
I posted my chart a couple of pages back and that'll give you an idea of why my bias is on short side.

That trade played out to the pip and since we haven't seen any break above .8840, I am bearish this pair.

Cheers
  • #15,344
  • Feb 3, 2010 6:31pm Feb 3, 2010 6:31pm
tested .8775 that should be able it
  • #15,345
  • Feb 3, 2010 6:34pm Feb 3, 2010 6:34pm
i'm short .8789 0.1minilot. what about you guys?
  • #15,346
  • Feb 3, 2010 6:35pm Feb 3, 2010 6:35pm
Quoting icylord
i'm short .8789 0.1minilot. what about you guys?
I'm long @0.8780
  • #15,347
  • Feb 3, 2010 6:36pm Feb 3, 2010 6:36pm
Still waiting.
  • #15,348
  • Feb 3, 2010 6:37pm Feb 3, 2010 6:37pm
short
Im a zombie.. "Rawr"
  • #15,349
  • Feb 3, 2010 6:38pm Feb 3, 2010 6:38pm
I decided to close 2 of my shorts i have been holding since 9313, thats close enough to 8750 for me. +538 pips per contract. I am still holding 2 more will decide whether to continue holding them next week.
  • #15,350
  • Feb 3, 2010 6:40pm Feb 3, 2010 6:40pm
Hello AUD traders,

I have one sell position acording my setup on AUDUSD now i am about 50 pips in profit but i will put SL +1 and waiting to see exit signal...I love this setup many times i took profits...






Cheers
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: audusdchart.gif Size: 21 KB
"Buy on fear, sell on greed !!!
  • #15,351
  • Feb 3, 2010 6:41pm Feb 3, 2010 6:41pm
Quoting amyc
I decided to close 2 of my shorts i have been holding since 9313, thats close enough to 8750 for me. +538 pips per contract. I am still holding 2 more will decide whether to continue holding them next week.
wow amazing, how did you pick the top so accurately?!
  • #15,352
  • Feb 3, 2010 6:41pm Feb 3, 2010 6:41pm
Quoting amyc
I decided to close 2 of my shorts i have been holding since 9313, thats close enough to 8750 for me. +538 pips per contract. I am still holding 2 more will decide whether to continue holding them next week.
Congrats on your patience!
  • #15,353
  • Feb 3, 2010 6:45pm Feb 3, 2010 6:45pm
Quoting Petar_Serbia
Hello AUD traders,

I have one sell position acording my setup on AUDUSD now i am about 50 pips in profit but i will put SL +1 and waiting to see exit signal...I love this setup many times i took profits...





Cheers
Hey Serbia,
What is the yellow MA. Nice divergence
  • #15,354
  • Feb 3, 2010 6:51pm Feb 3, 2010 6:51pm
Quoting Clouds
nu
nzd/usd
I entered long on NZD at .6990, and long on AUD at .8809. The dollar has a strong CCI indication that it is coming down now 200 down to 100. I have a spring coil on a 15 min chart on AUD, and it is about to break my 60 min linear regression line. I am not getting the compression that I would like to see on a 60 min so I am in and out of this one quick. I took TP way to soon when I called the short at .8992 on AUD, but I filled at my trading plan goal, which is a higher probability trade. I will post my TP in a minute.
  • #15,355
  • Feb 3, 2010 6:51pm Feb 3, 2010 6:51pm
this is nzd/usd, A) daily momentum has turned up, double bottom. B) now in a 5 minute channel up, it may have potential to get to .74 or .7150, and C) on monthly it's still above 40 SMA. any thoughts?

Attached Image

Attached Image

Attached Image
  • #15,356
  • Feb 3, 2010 6:52pm Feb 3, 2010 6:52pm
Quoting icylord
wow amazing, how did you pick the top so accurately?!
two reasons.

1) Monthly chart. The close above 8913 at the end of 2009 and then the open above 8982 on 1 Jan 2010. meant that price had to move up into 9311.

2) Daily chart. The open under 9009 on 1 jan 2010 made the yellow lows my target from the beginning of the year.

Then I just had to figure out which way it was going to trade first, ie up to 93 then down or down to 87 then up. The breakout of the green highs on 4 Jan showed the way.
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: audm.GIF Size: 17 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: audd.GIF Size: 23 KB
  • #15,357
  • Feb 3, 2010 6:56pm Feb 3, 2010 6:56pm
Quoting Saxon
Hey Serbia,
What is the yellow MA. Nice divergence
Hi Saxon,

I recon it's the 100ma, it looks exactly like mine.

Peter-FX
  • #15,358
  • Feb 3, 2010 6:58pm Feb 3, 2010 6:58pm
Quoting Peter-FX
Hi Saxon,

I recon it's the 100ma, it looks exactly like mine.

Peter-FX
Ya, did some trial and error and foud that too. I threw in exponential and it seems to fit a little nicer. Throw in an MA Exponential 110. How's your trading going?
  • #15,359
  • Feb 3, 2010 7:00pm Feb 3, 2010 7:00pm
Quoting Peter-FX
Hi Saxon,

I recon it's the 100ma, it looks exactly like mine.

Peter-FX
Very wrong 50 Smo



Cheers and happy piping
"Buy on fear, sell on greed !!!
  • #15,360
  • Feb 3, 2010 7:01pm Feb 3, 2010 7:01pm
Quoting Clouds
here's why i am trying it
Attachment

Does this apply for the NZD/USD too,....its looking pretty beat up....
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