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AUD/USD

  • #14,801
  • Jan 28, 2010 11:29am Jan 28, 2010 11:29am
Quoting negro wolf
went short @


0.8897


t.p = 0.89480


done ... LONG LIVE AMR ... " ME "
THE CREATOR AND OWNER OF S.N.M "Serve no Master" Trading Stystem
  • #14,802
  • Jan 28, 2010 11:37am Jan 28, 2010 11:37am
Did you get this short? I told you that it was catching them perfect. It took a little longer for our lines to break. They broke at 5 am instead 3 am because it had a small bounce off of our 100 line.
  • #14,803
  • Jan 28, 2010 12:48pm Jan 28, 2010 12:48pm
Quoting Ducci
Did you get this short? I told you that it was catching them perfect. It took a little longer for our lines to break. They broke at 5 am instead 3 am because it had a small bounce off of our 100 line.
Yeh, short @0.90270 tp 0.89000 sl 0.90500
  • #14,804
  • Jan 28, 2010 12:57pm Jan 28, 2010 12:57pm
Quoting Clouds
i want .90 to crack
i want 0.89000 to crack next
  • #14,805
  • Jan 28, 2010 2:19pm Jan 28, 2010 2:19pm
Who's going to win this one?
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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  • #14,806
  • Jan 28, 2010 2:46pm Jan 28, 2010 2:46pm
Quoting Saxon
Who's going to win this one?
That is almost as close as you can get to being right between an ascending and decending triangle, it is looking to turn more to the bullish side unless we can print a couple of strong red candles. As long as we can stay below my daily pivot of .8968, I am not going to worry. We are getting into a more dangerous area on the 60 min CCI.
  • #14,807
  • Jan 28, 2010 2:56pm Jan 28, 2010 2:56pm
Quoting shoeysfish
Yeh, short @0.90270 tp 0.89000 sl 0.90500
I am looking for .8920 with an SL of .8970, which is 2 PIP's above my daily pivot because I am still holding a trade from yesterday. The 60 min CCI is getting into more dangerous territory. We need to hit around .8940 soon, or this is looking like an ascending bull triangle. I am glad that you caught this one. I told you that it was calling shorts perfect. It did catch that ling perfect also, but it kept hitting and reversing up to that point. If you want to avoid retracements, I have been exiting off of the first line cross on the 15 min CCI once I take my entry on the 60 MIn. It would have had you enter at .9023 with a .8955 exit. It is more conservative, but it is still a nice run with less up side risk.
  • #14,808
  • Jan 28, 2010 2:59pm Jan 28, 2010 2:59pm
Quoting Saxon
Who's going to win this one?
Take a look at a 60 min chart, it looks like a perfect decending triangle
  • #14,809
  • Jan 28, 2010 3:36pm Jan 28, 2010 3:36pm
I'm going longer term today and am going to float around in the 60min chart. D1 Bollinger is giving me mixed signals. It could reverse, but if you look back at Dec 10-20 it hugged and pushed the bollinger lower (see attached). As simple as this is, the H1 MACD and OsMA have been giving almost perfect signals, so I am going to toy with those for a while. I also attached a GANN Fan that is providing some seemingly good sup/res. Opinions?
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
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  • #14,810
  • Edited 3:56pm Jan 28, 2010 3:42pm | Edited 3:56pm
Edit: Bias = Nuetral ....
  • #14,811
  • Jan 28, 2010 3:59pm Jan 28, 2010 3:59pm
Quoting Saxon
I'm going longer term today and am going to float around in the 60min chart. D1 Bollinger is giving me mixed signals. It could reverse, but if you look back at Dec 10-20 it hugged and pushed the bollinger lower (see attached). As simple as this is, the H1 MACD and OsMA have been giving almost perfect signals, so I am going to toy with those for a while. I also attached a GANN Fan that is providing some seemingly good sup/res. Opinions?
I still have a small gap in the Stochastics that will not close until we break .89 to about .8890. Now what makes me nervous is that 60 minute CCI is in overbought, so is Stochastic Slow. Now yesterday CCI ran under -100 for close to 5 hours, but their seems to be more bullish sentiment then there was early yesterday. I don't utilize GANN, but here is what I have on Fib Extension lines on a 60 min chart. If we reverse here, 61.8% is .9007, which is not too terribly bad because we could see better lows tomorrow. Now if this down trend continues, I have 161.8 at .8855. Now if we retract to .9007, we could see .879X tomorrow?
  • #14,812
  • Jan 28, 2010 4:00pm Jan 28, 2010 4:00pm
Quoting Ducci
I still have a small gap in the Stochastics that will not close until we break .89 to about .8890. Now what makes me nervous is that 60 minute CCI is in overbought, so is Stochastic Slow. Now yesterday CCI ran under -100 for close to 5 hours, but their seems to be more bullish sentiment then there was early yesterday. I don't utilize GANN, but here is what I have on Fib Extension lines on a 60 min chart. If we reverse here, 61.8% is .9007, which is not too terribly bad because we could see better lows tomorrow. Now if this down trend continues,...
Hey Saxon, that first sentence should have said small gap in my Bollinger Bands-sorry for the confusion.
  • #14,813
  • Jan 28, 2010 4:18pm Jan 28, 2010 4:18pm
Quoting Ducci
Hey Saxon, that first sentence should have said small gap in my Bollinger Bands-sorry for the confusion.
One other thing is that the dollar has been in an uptrend since the 26th even though on a monthly chart it is in a strong downtrend, it looks to be at a point that it will rise with the 25 and 50 SMA's crossing. To break the up trendline started on the 26th, the dollar would need to fall below 78.70. I don't see that happening at least not this week. For Gold to break the downtrend, it would have to break 191.11, and I just don't see that happening either for at least 5 days if we started going up today.
  • #14,814
  • Jan 28, 2010 4:36pm Jan 28, 2010 4:36pm
Quoting Ducci
One other thing is that the dollar has been in an uptrend since the 26th even though on a monthly chart it is in a strong downtrend, it looks to be at a point that it will rise with the 25 and 50 SMA's crossing. To break the up trendline started on the 26th, the dollar would need to fall below 78.70. I don't see that happening at least not this week. For Gold to break the downtrend, it would have to break 191.11, and I just don't see that happening either for at least 5 days if we started going up today.
Ya, I've been waiting for the Dollar Index to make a break down, and like AUD, it's hugging it's bollinger; seems to be puching it wider, not a reversal. I totally agree with you on the dollar.

My 20 P CCI on a 1hr is just below -100, I can see it bobbing there for a bit. We'll see what happens when our london friends get on.

I'll give you an update when my MACD/OsMA and overlay is giving me a signal.

Also not seeing and pivots in our future, at least until UK gets on.

One other thing, i like to keep Asia/Pacific Indicies on my Bloomberg terminal. Asia/Pacific seems to be beating domestic. MSCI Asia Ex Jap took a hit though. At least I see this as slowing the bleeding and causing the drop to slow or a nice congestion coming soon.
  • #14,815
  • Jan 28, 2010 5:03pm Jan 28, 2010 5:03pm
ASX 200 and 300 just opened lower, might be on our way down
  • #14,816
  • Jan 28, 2010 5:16pm Jan 28, 2010 5:16pm
Quoting Saxon
Ya, I've been waiting for the Dollar Index to make a break down, and like AUD, it's hugging it's bollinger; seems to be puching it wider, not a reversal. I totally agree with you on the dollar.

My 20 P CCI on a 1hr is just below -100, I can see it bobbing there for a bit. We'll see what happens when our london friends get on.

I'll give you an update when my MACD/OsMA and overlay is giving me a signal.

Also not seeing and pivots in our future, at least until UK gets on.

One other thing, i like to keep Asia/Pacific Indicies on my Bloomberg...
Absolutely share when your indicators are closing in on a reversal, I am seeing the same thing in terms of hugging -100. It is smart of you to watch Asia since Japan and the Association of Southeast Asian Nations (Brunnei, Cambodia, Indonesia, Laos, Malaysia, Myanmar, Philipppines, Singapore, Thailand, and Vietnam) are the leading importers of Australian goods. I am mindful of it, but I don't watch it too closely. Even during the Asian Crisis, Australia still grew by 4.7% per year from 1997 to 1999. I get a little more concerned with the moves of RBA, which meets every month to discuss changes in monetary policy every first Tuesday of the month.

I am looking to take a long soon with a TP if we stay here at .9007
  • #14,817
  • Jan 28, 2010 5:25pm Jan 28, 2010 5:25pm
Quoting Ducci
Absolutely share when your indicators are closing in on a reversal, I am seeing the same thing in terms of hugging -100....
Why u want go against daily trend?
  • #14,818
  • Jan 28, 2010 5:28pm Jan 28, 2010 5:28pm
Quoting egkid
Hello all
Due to many positions with some pairs I have not posting much.
My AUD/U positions still in play , My view still the same
Sell Positions
0.9310 and 0.9060
If my daily open under 8940 i maybe add
GL ALL
Sell in play current profit about 500 ++ pip for 2 positions
I see huge bearish pressure
  • #14,819
  • Jan 28, 2010 5:34pm Jan 28, 2010 5:34pm
Hello guys took Sell going to first swing Target and then i will put second position +10 and wait for TP2

WIsh you many pipis



Cheers and happy piping
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: audusdsell.gif Size: 17 KB
"Buy on fear, sell on greed !!!
  • #14,820
  • Jan 28, 2010 5:36pm Jan 28, 2010 5:36pm
Quoting egkid
Why u want go against daily trend?
Hey I am in on this downtrend right now, but there is nothing wrong with riding retracements also? I have this charted to possibly go to .8855, not sure that it will make it quite there, and I see another nice opportunity to ride this back up to 61.8% retracement. If more realistically, we hit around .8897, which also closes a Stochasic move, I see it retracing up to .8982. The question should be after such a long sustained down trend, how can you pass up a tracement? Odds are after a sustained daily trend like this one that we will see a decent retracement of close to 60 plus PIP's.
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