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AUD/USD

  • #14,701
  • Jan 26, 2010 3:00pm Jan 26, 2010 3:00pm
Quoting pilotui
@ 8998

TP @ 8963

Cheers
Hey it broke my trend line so I took about 11 PIP's and got out of it. This might just be a retracement, but the past day has been a little crazy so I booked a small one.
  • #14,702
  • Jan 26, 2010 3:09pm Jan 26, 2010 3:09pm
Quoting MackS10
Watch for CPi release for further up move.
I don't know man, I think that it will be lower than expected. If that was the case i'll see you at the bottom.
  • #14,703
  • Jan 26, 2010 3:22pm Jan 26, 2010 3:22pm
Quoting Saxon
I don't know man, I think that it will be lower than expected. If that was the case i'll see you at the bottom.
I don't know Saxon. I agree inflation news for Australia will not be good, but if they raise interest rates again, I would rather be long?
  • #14,704
  • Jan 26, 2010 3:25pm Jan 26, 2010 3:25pm
Consensus appears to be expecting a rise of 0.6% for the quarter and 2.2 % for the year.
  • #14,705
  • Jan 26, 2010 3:35pm Jan 26, 2010 3:35pm
further move downwards for the week....
  • #14,706
  • Jan 26, 2010 4:42pm Jan 26, 2010 4:42pm
Quoting Saxon
I don't know man, I think that it will be lower than expected. If that was the case i'll see you at the bottom.
Insert foot in mouth
  • #14,707
  • Jan 26, 2010 4:43pm Jan 26, 2010 4:43pm
Well
  • #14,708
  • Jan 26, 2010 4:45pm Jan 26, 2010 4:45pm
I was wrong:

MEDIA RELEASE

http://www.abs.gov.au/icons/ecblank.gifJanuary 27, 2010

Embargo: 11.30 am (CANBERRA TIME)

005/2010

http://www.abs.gov.au/icons/ecblank.gifhttp://www.abs.gov.au/icons/ecblank.gifhttp://www.abs.gov.au/icons/ecblank.gif

ABS CPI December Quarter 2009 Up 0.5%


The ABS Consumer Price Index rose 0.5% in the December quarter 2009, compared with a rise of 1.0% in the September quarter 2009.
The most significant price rises this quarter were for fruit (+15.9%), domestic holiday travel and accommodation (+6.6%), house purchase (+1.0%), rent (+1.0%) and beer (+2.1%). The most significant offsetting price falls were automotive fuel (–2.8%), audio, visual and computing equipment (–7.1%) and pharmaceuticals (–5.3%).

The ABS Consumer Price Index rose 2.1% through the year to December quarter 2009, compared to an annual rise of 1.3% to September quarter 2009.
  • #14,709
  • Jan 26, 2010 5:16pm Jan 26, 2010 5:16pm
Quoting Saxon
Insert foot in mouth
Happens to all of us, but the imapct is far from over. After I closed my short position at .8999, I took a long at .9000, and I think that I was litereally hypnotized by the channeling so that candle took me by surprise. It was like someone jumped out of my closest and scared the hell out of me, and I ended up hitting sell at market about as fast as I could react. In the end, it was a nice 19 PIP's. I closed at .9019. Lost over 7 PIP's in the process, but I almost took two lots short on EURUSD in my haste so I am grateful.
  • #14,710
  • Jan 26, 2010 5:21pm Jan 26, 2010 5:21pm
Quoting Ducci
Happens to all of us, but the imapct is far from over. After I closed my short position at .8999, I took a long at .9000, and I think that I was litereally hypnotized by the channeling so that candle took me by surprise. It was like someone jumped out of my closest and scared the hell out of me, and I ended up hitting sell at market about as fast as I could react. In the end, it was a nice 19 PIP's. I closed at .9019. Lost over 7 PIP's in the process, but I almost took two lots short on EURUSD in my haste so I am grateful.
When I say far from over, I am not refering to up or down just that you could end up being right. I just use pretty much short term indicators for quick trades so I will leave the predictions to our resident swing traders.
  • #14,711
  • Jan 26, 2010 5:46pm Jan 26, 2010 5:46pm
Ya, I'm sitting out for an hour or so to re-evaluate. I'm waiting for my CCi to give me a M15 sell signal. As soon as that happens I'll be back in the game.
  • #14,712
  • Jan 26, 2010 7:38pm Jan 26, 2010 7:38pm
GBP/AUD has been the biggest loser from yesterdays UK data

I hope other people like me have shorted this pair, i gained about 200 pips on this...
  • #14,713
  • Jan 26, 2010 8:58pm Jan 26, 2010 8:58pm
Took a little bit of a chance taking an indication early. Just took a short at .9021, TP .8950, SL .9050
  • #14,714
  • Jan 26, 2010 9:37pm Jan 26, 2010 9:37pm
London-ites are about to get on. I took a 20 pip scalp so I am feeling a little better considering my last prediction. I've been using a standard 20 frame CCI(100,-100) signals, been doing ok with that. Pairing it with a Modified Heiken Ashi overlay. What signals are working for you guys tonight/today?
  • #14,715
  • Jan 26, 2010 9:40pm Jan 26, 2010 9:40pm
Price action is key for me. Everything else is just to confirm price action for me
Im a zombie.. "Rawr"
  • #14,716
  • Jan 26, 2010 10:44pm Jan 26, 2010 10:44pm
Quoting Saxon
London-ites are about to get on. I took a 20 pip scalp so I am feeling a little better considering my last prediction. I've been using a standard 20 frame CCI(100,-100) signals, been doing ok with that. Pairing it with a Modified Heiken Ashi overlay. What signals are working for you guys tonight/today?
How do you make this work? What are your rules
  • #14,717
  • Jan 26, 2010 11:00pm Jan 26, 2010 11:00pm
Quoting Scratch99
How do you make this work? What are your rules
Wow, there is another person awake.

I use a 20 period CCI on a 15 min window. Throw 2 lines on your index if they are not provided. Set them at 100,-100, so two lines.

With the CCI, when you are below the -100 line and moving UP through the -100 (so crossing up from below) it gives a good buy signal. Vice Versa with 100 for a sell signals. Some people use lower periods for signals instead of 20, but I find that those can give a lot of false signals. But some people on the thread like to use 9, I think DT74 uses it. I tried it and it works ok, but I will stick with 20, worked for me for the past million years.

I also use a Heiken Ashi on my line graph. When the overlay crosses in the direction as the CCI, it just confirms your signal I attached a picure using my 20 period and DT74s 9 period chart. The red and green lines on the graph above are the modified Heiken Ashis'. There is a little black line in there that is the actual price line.

I only use this setup when I get really bored and want to play it old school.

If you have any mroe questions I will totally answer them or if you want to know some more setups that are working for me I will send them your way.

Hope this helps.
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  • #14,718
  • Jan 26, 2010 11:08pm Jan 26, 2010 11:08pm
Quoting Saxon
Wow, there is another person awake.

I use a 20 period CCI on a 15 min window. Throw 2 lines on your index if they are not provided....
Thanks for the info. I'll have a look.
  • #14,719
  • Jan 26, 2010 11:09pm Jan 26, 2010 11:09pm
It looks like yesterday's resistance from .90829 to .90280 is providing some good support now. Flip Flop
  • #14,720
  • Jan 26, 2010 11:10pm Jan 26, 2010 11:10pm
See support attached
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