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Auslanco - GBP/JPY and GBP/USD (newstrade)

  • #212,301
  • Jan 18, 2010 12:55am Jan 18, 2010 12:55am
Quoting Gucc
149.39 getting closer..

sad eur/jpy is not moving to 132.35
patient is virtue..but would be great if you can take 131.20 first then see how today close for that 132 area
  • #212,302
  • Jan 18, 2010 1:20am Jan 18, 2010 1:20am
Quoting Gucc
149.39 getting closer..

sad eur/jpy is not moving to 132.35
Looks like bullish flage on M15 of EJ?
  • #212,303
  • Jan 18, 2010 1:56am Jan 18, 2010 1:56am
Hmm, Dominique Strauss-Kahn warning of a double dip recovery– as if nobody here wasn’t thinking of this for the past year – JAL shares at 5 Yen a piece, and Cadbury still leaving the door ajar for Kraft to shove a bigger wedge in. I smell equity sell off, Cable Up, Dollar to follow if they truly don’t want a weak dollar anymore, and GY following UY up.
Author of: For Pip's Sake! (Available at Amazon... :-) )
  • #212,304
  • Jan 18, 2010 2:08am Jan 18, 2010 2:08am
Cable back at that green trend line again... Pff
Author of: For Pip's Sake! (Available at Amazon... :-) )
  • #212,305
  • Jan 18, 2010 2:23am Jan 18, 2010 2:23am
Anyone care to comment on this scenario..?
I am not an EW trader btw, just learning.

Chart
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: daily ew.gif Size: 23 KB
  • #212,306
  • Jan 18, 2010 2:47am Jan 18, 2010 2:47am
Quoting ukdaytrader
Anyone care to comment on this scenario..?
I am not an EW trader btw, just learning.

Chart
Attachment

Nope...

 

  1. Wave 4 should not overlap with Wave 1, except for diagonal waves.

What we have here is a very Complex Correction with 8 triangles to Follow...7 can be identified...#8 is gonna be unknown...

Gann...50 ema.. Trendlines...nothing is gonna Help...may be support and resistence (Higher TF)..and Candlesticks on Daily and Weekly..

G/j is only for day/ intra day....No swing these Days....U/J and E/J is messing it UP..

Markets are not Random, they are designed!
  • #212,307
  • Jan 18, 2010 2:50am Jan 18, 2010 2:50am
Quoting Raza
Nope...

 

  1. Wave 4 should not overlap with Wave 1, except for diagonal waves.

Of course, yes thanks.
Could there be the possibility we are on W3 then?

I won't clog up this thread with any more newbie stuff btw.
  • #212,308
  • Jan 18, 2010 2:56am Jan 18, 2010 2:56am
Quoting ukdaytrader
Of course, yes thanks.
Could there be the possibility we are on W3 then?

I won't clog up this thread with any more newbie stuff btw.
I POSTED A CHART LAST THURSDAY.. EVEN THAT IS NOT PERFECT..Cause there will be few more corrections to that...So far its going as per Plan..

I believe there are no waves happening just ABC Zig- Zag corrections ON 4 HR AND dAILY...Where we have Constant C failures.( meaning not going UP)....... May be later on we can label them as waves..1 - 5.
Markets are not Random, they are designed!
  • #212,309
  • Jan 18, 2010 3:01am Jan 18, 2010 3:01am
Quoting ukdaytrader
Anyone care to comment on this scenario..?
I am not an EW trader btw, just learning.

Chart
Attachment
For me this is final wave C doing 1-2-3-4-5. Then making impulse down (KabOOM)
  • #212,310
  • Jan 18, 2010 3:16am Jan 18, 2010 3:16am
Quoting Raza
I POSTED A CHART LAST THURSDAY.. EVEN THAT IS NOT PERFECT..Cause there will be few more corrections to that...So far its going as per Plan..

I believe there are no waves happening just ABC Zig- Zag corrections ON 4 HR AND dAILY...Where we have Constant C failures.( meaning not going UP)....... May be later on we can label them as waves..1 - 5.
OK, thanks. I need to go away and do some reading.
  • #212,311
  • Jan 18, 2010 5:16am Jan 18, 2010 5:16am
Just wondering, are we really going down? The "Kaboom"? Or..........?
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: gj 01-18-10.gif Size: 26 KB
New voice message: Why are you calling me? If I need you, I'll call you!
  • #212,312
  • Jan 18, 2010 5:21am Jan 18, 2010 5:21am
Until we get a daily close above daily gann gj is a sell on rally with a failure to close above daily gann.

Based on the 4hr chart another rise is forthcoming to test resistance above - a failure to take out last weeks high should trigger the downside move perhaps to weekly gann. . . 144.40 should be a nice target to bounce from for an eventual move up to 153/155 before we complete this consolidation period. . .

As I've been stating for the last week - the daily chart is diverging lower each day and once we get a daily close below the zero point on the MACD we will see at minimal a 500 pip move south from whatever high it fails at. . .

Again the weekly gann looks poised for a test with a spike below. However, I don't think we will see a "KABOOM" but what I do see is a nice bounce from there back above or toward 147 to close out the month. . .

Keep in mind a spike below weekly gann could lead to 144-142 test of support. . .
  • #212,313
  • Jan 18, 2010 5:27am Jan 18, 2010 5:27am
Quoting ukdaytrader
OK, thanks. I need to go away and do some reading.
I agree this is a complex wave which typically happens in wave 2 or 4. . .
So either we are in a very complex wave 2 or B from the low = 118 making our way up for an eventual test and break of the high = 163. . . In this scenario wave 2 or be could go all the way to 135-130 and still remain bullish. . .

Or we could be in wave 2 of 5 off the 163 high which would complete at ar'd 153/156 area before heading lower to make a new low. . .

The jury is still out on which scenario we are in at this point. . . However based on the weekly and monthly chart it appears long-term both are bullish so I would suspect we are in wave 2 or B for an eventual move higher later this year. . .

Also keep in mind there is confluence of the monthly and weekly gann residing at the 144 area but that does not take in consideration that it could still spike 200 pips lower but end the week or month above it and still be bullish. . .
  • #212,314
  • Jan 18, 2010 5:29am Jan 18, 2010 5:29am
no selling pressure , but the market is really weak
Making money not by predicting just by following ...
  • #212,315
  • Jan 18, 2010 5:30am Jan 18, 2010 5:30am
Quoting quecee5
I agree this is a complex wave which typically happens in wave 2 or 4. . .
So either we are in a very complex wave 2 or B from the low = 118 making our way up for an eventual test and break of the high = 163. . .

Or we could be in wave 2 of 5 off the 163 high which would complete at ar'd 153/156 area before heading lower to make a new low. . .

The jury is still out on which scenario we are in at this point. . .
Great. Thanks for the response.
  • #212,316
  • Jan 18, 2010 5:33am Jan 18, 2010 5:33am
one thing that they may do is marking the price up to put you on the wrong side
Making money not by predicting just by following ...
  • #212,317
  • Jan 18, 2010 5:36am Jan 18, 2010 5:36am
Quoting gl4di4t0r
one thing that they may do is marking the price up to put you on the wrong side
Actually there is a nice sell signal on the one hour chart but the 4hr chart will prevent major selling pressure for now. . .

Having said that I see price ranging from 150-146.50 until we see the 1hr, 4hr and daily all aligned for a nice ride lower to test support. . . weekly and monthly gann. . .
  • #212,318
  • Jan 18, 2010 5:42am Jan 18, 2010 5:42am
i believe in kaboom , but may not too soon
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Making money not by predicting just by following ...
  • #212,319
  • Jan 18, 2010 6:10am Jan 18, 2010 6:10am
Quoting quecee5
Actually there is a nice sell signal on the one hour chart but the 4hr chart will prevent major selling pressure for now. . .

Having said that I see price ranging from 150-146.50 until we see the 1hr, 4hr and daily all aligned for a nice ride lower to test support. . . weekly and monthly gann. . .

hey Quecee..

where is youre weekly/monthly gan fan ?
  • #212,320
  • Jan 18, 2010 6:12am Jan 18, 2010 6:12am
Dear quecee,
Is it you means ---> if gj daily close candle is above daily gann for gj , so is a sell on trigger?
BTW i see the price now is below gann gj,so need to wait the candle close above gann only sell?


Quoting quecee5
Until we get a daily close above daily gann gj is a sell on rally with a failure to close above daily gann.

Based on the 4hr chart another rise is forthcoming to test resistance above - a failure to take out last weeks high should trigger the downside move perhaps to weekly gann. . . 144.40 should be a nice target to bounce from for an eventual move up to 153/155 before we complete this consolidation period. . .

As I've been stating for the last week - the daily chart is diverging lower each day and once we get a daily close below...
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