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  • #581
  • Dec 17, 2009 5:21pm Dec 17, 2009 5:21pm
Line Alerter at 145.01. Mucho confluence here. "X" marks the spot to short?

K.I.S.S.
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  • #582
  • Dec 17, 2009 7:28pm Dec 17, 2009 7:28pm
Quoting KissFan
Line Alerter at 145.01. Mucho confluence here. "X" marks the spot to short?

K.I.S.S.
No trade. On the 4 hr long?

K.I.S.S.
  • #583
  • Dec 18, 2009 12:34am Dec 18, 2009 12:34am
Quoting KissFan
Short or long? Can you show me a chart or is it a moot point now?

K.I.S.S.
It was short, but very moot now, 5 hours later and the selloff has taken it far below the previous day's open
  • #584
  • Dec 29, 2009 4:14am Dec 29, 2009 4:14am
Ohhhhhh..... what was it I sad earlier up above about that pesky 4 hr divergence...????

Are you still burning up your FX profits skiing in Colorado..???
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  • #585
  • Jan 3, 2010 5:41pm Jan 3, 2010 5:41pm
Quoting Tiki Trader
Ohhhhhh..... what was it I sad earlier up above about that pesky 4 hr divergence...????

Are you still burning up your FX profits skiing in Colorado..???
I'm back Tiki. We had a great time. I will looking for shorts on EU for the next couple of months based on the BEOB on the monthly chart. I'm not ruling out a run to 1.47, I'm just not trading longs. Let's make some $ and progress in 2010.

K.I.S.S.
  • #586
  • Jan 3, 2010 6:10pm Jan 3, 2010 6:10pm
Over the holidays, I bought USDCAD based on the daily pin printed on 12.29.2009. This was the best looking long opportunity that I have observed since we witnessed the monthly reversal bar formed at the close of Oct 31,2009. I took 80 pips from that long and waited for a good entry back towards the original break to buy again. I'm back in at 1.0473. My take profit this time will be 1.0655. A break of 1.0364 to the down side will have me exiting for another long opportunity. A break of 1.0655 will have me again looking for a long entry again at resistance turned support there.

K.I.S.S.
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  • #587
  • Jan 5, 2010 5:32am Jan 5, 2010 5:32am
After my USDCAD debacle yesterday morning it looks like I might save face on this trade. I'm looking at this one on the hr every hr. Original short 1.6234 based on double top. I just added to my position off the nice pin shown here. My original plan was to look for PA off of a retracement back up to the 1.6170 area. I will move the second position to BE at 1.6057 and leave it there until it is stopped or 1.6014 whichever comes first. I'll be looking for some partial profit at 1.55ish.

K.I.S.S.
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  • #588
  • Jan 5, 2010 5:40am Jan 5, 2010 5:40am
2nd position stopped but set my alarm for 2am and spotted this nice 4hr pin and shorted again at the break.

K.I.S.S.
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  • #589
  • Jan 5, 2010 8:29am Jan 5, 2010 8:29am
I want to post as many charts as I can while I am in this trade so that I can learn from this as much as I can. I'll be posting some on EU as well later on tonight when I get back from my errands for the day. I want to see if I have revealed a channel here on GU. Three charts to follow show how I arrived at this scenario. Notice the fib confluence on 1.55.

K.I.S.S.
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  • #590
  • Jan 5, 2010 3:00pm Jan 5, 2010 3:00pm
Just a thought. I wouldn't be too hard on myself for trades not coming off this week. I am flat although I can see several setups. Reason being is that I think nfp will mark the real kick off for decent moves. JMHO and I may be wrong and often am. lol

Next week you have my permission to be hard on yourself.

Regardless, I hope all your trades are profitable.
  • #591
  • Jan 5, 2010 3:14pm Jan 5, 2010 3:14pm
Quoting calderone
Just a thought. I wouldn't be too hard on myself for trades not coming off this week. I am flat although I can see several setups. Reason being is that I think nfp will mark the real kick off for decent moves. JMHO and I may be wrong and often am. lol

Next week you have my permission to be hard on yourself.

Regardless, I hope all your trades are profitable.
I have noticed more bar set ups misbehaving and the correlations acting stranger than usual. You may have a point. I do have a good trade in the hopper right now on GBPUSD. This one will make my week. I can see your point about NFP bro. Hehe! You can bet I'll be hard on myself in the coming weeks.

K.I.S.S.
  • #592
  • Jan 6, 2010 6:19am Jan 6, 2010 6:19am
Quoting KissFan
I have noticed more bar set ups misbehaving and the correlations acting stranger than usual. You may have a point. I do have a good trade in the hopper right now on GBPUSD. This one will make my week. I can see your point about NFP bro. Hehe! You can bet I'll be hard on myself in the coming weeks.

K.I.S.S.
One I watched last night was aud/usd on daily - not acting right. Eu daily looking lame. Usd/Cad h4 looking stupid. lol It just tells me that we are in a holding pattern for now. There are some good trades like a gu short that came off nicely, the tp was at a support that I think might have broken if market conditions had been more favorable. I guess that is why we have to adjust targets for market conditions. Anyway, keep up the good work my friend.

  • #593
  • Jan 6, 2010 7:23am Jan 6, 2010 7:23am
Quoting calderone
One I watched last night was aud/usd on daily - not acting right. Eu daily looking lame. Usd/Cad h4 looking stupid. lol It just tells me that we are in a holding pattern for now. There are some good trades like a gu short that came off nicely, the tp was at a support that I think might have broken if market conditions had been more favorable. I guess that is why we have to adjust targets for market conditions. Anyway, keep up the good work my friend.

Yes, I did not like that AudUsd set up. I liked the area but it just didn't feel good at all. Here is a 15min TF trade that I am in. I'll try to ride to 1.0263.

K.I.S.S.
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  • #594
  • Jan 6, 2010 8:23am Jan 6, 2010 8:23am
I am looking for PA to short in this area.

K.I.S.S.
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  • #595
  • Edited Jan 7, 2010 5:13am Jan 6, 2010 10:00am | Edited Jan 7, 2010 5:13am
Long at .8993. Looking for a potential runner.

K.I.S.S.

Out @ .9020 +27
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  • #596
  • Jan 6, 2010 1:51pm Jan 6, 2010 1:51pm
Quoting KissFan
Yes, I did not like that AudUsd set up. I liked the area but it just didn't feel good at all. Here is a 15min TF trade that I am in. I'll try to ride to 1.0263.

K.I.S.S.
.
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  • #597
  • Jan 11, 2010 8:43am Jan 11, 2010 8:43am
I have been looking at this chart every day since the year began. While I have been shorting this pair at the top of the channel there at the bottom, I figured it would eventually break towards the 50 or 618 fib retrace on the BEOB from December 2009. My read of this chart tells me that the 1.4682 area is the most likely area for a turn to the downside.

K.I.S.S.
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  • #598
  • Edited 7:46pm Jan 11, 2010 11:51am | Edited 7:46pm
Too many, it seems like the market is trying to move to the 50% fib from the high of 1.5140 on Dec 3 to low of 1.4217 on Dec 21 at 1.4679. Which is right where the 50sma on the daily is hitting, so you are spot on the money...
Enter Signature
  • #599
  • Jan 11, 2010 12:48pm Jan 11, 2010 12:48pm
Quoting jamesr24
To many it seems like the market is trying to move to the 50% fib from the high of 1.5140 on Dec 3 to low of 1.4217 on Dec 21 at 1.4679. Which is right where the 50sma on the daily is hitting, so you are spot on the money...
My man Dan Gilbert said the same thing. I was trying to cover all bases here with this chart. I am not in a long position on EU. I'm waiting now.

K.I.S.S.
  • #600
  • Edited 5:47am Feb 2, 2010 4:58am | Edited 5:47am
I took this trade based on divergence and the confluence of the 150/365, the upward sloping and downward sloping of th trendlines and the test of the down sloping trendline. I posted this trade here instead of J16 becoause it is not really a price action type entry. Entry price is 90.59 andthe TP target is 91.92.

K.I.S.S.

EDIT:M Stopped out 90.43
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