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AUD/USD

  • #12,381
  • Dec 29, 2009 2:24am Dec 29, 2009 2:24am
AUD will be going down shortly...
  • #12,382
  • Dec 29, 2009 2:44am Dec 29, 2009 2:44am
doji on M30, Sell, SL above last candle
  • #12,383
  • Dec 29, 2009 2:49am Dec 29, 2009 2:49am
Quoting 4xmajkel
doji on M30, Sell, SL above last candle
Very risky trade on big UP trend open sell...I wish you luck,i am finish for today about AUDUSD and cna go fishing
"Buy on fear, sell on greed !!!
  • #12,384
  • Dec 29, 2009 2:54am Dec 29, 2009 2:54am
Quoting Daytrader74
AUD will be going down shortly...
It's definitely got room to give back some of the run up - down nearly to .8900, really. I'm not so sure though, at least going into NY. It's been solid against a pretty soft USD. The Sterling, on the other hand is really struggling at the moment. If it wasn't all the way to strong support already...look out below!

Anyway, good luck! If GBP drags AUD down you could get a quick 30 pips or so.
  • #12,385
  • Dec 29, 2009 2:54am Dec 29, 2009 2:54am
Quoting Petar_Serbia
Very risky trade on big UP trend open sell...I wish you luck,i am finish for today about AUDUSD and cna go fishing
After almost 100pips rally, PA formed doji, for me this is a sign of small reversal.

12 pips risked to gain 30pips - it's not so risky as looks
Regards
  • #12,386
  • Dec 29, 2009 2:56am Dec 29, 2009 2:56am
Quoting 4xmajkel
After almost 100pips rally, PA formed doji, for me this is a sign of small reversal.

12 pips risked to gain 30pips - it's not so risky as looks
Regards
OK wish you TP
"Buy on fear, sell on greed !!!
  • #12,387
  • Dec 29, 2009 3:41am Dec 29, 2009 3:41am
1135 GMT [Dow Jones] The USD rises to session highs against the majors but is still struggling against the commodity-linked trio of AUD, NZD and CAD. AUD/USD just printed a fresh 12-day high around 0.8958 as has NZD/USD at 0.7151 while USD/CAD has just bounced off a fresh 2-month low of 1.0401. (GST)
Contact us in London. +44-20-7842-9464 [email protected]
  • #12,388
  • Dec 29, 2009 4:04am Dec 29, 2009 4:04am
I guess the only final sell zone for the aussie will be 9022-25 with a stop at 9055 Target will be 8980 as a first
Let Price determine your future!
  • #12,389
  • Dec 29, 2009 4:31am Dec 29, 2009 4:31am
Quoting Geppyg
I guess the only final sell zone for the aussie will be 9022-25 with a stop at 9055 Target will be 8980 as a first
how about to sell now? looks like bulls are getting weaker and weaker and bears are coming
Pation is the Holy Grail
  • #12,390
  • Dec 29, 2009 4:44am Dec 29, 2009 4:44am
Quoting CzechTrade
how about to sell now? looks like bulls are getting weaker and weaker and bears are coming
My advice guy dont trade contratrend,if you see in your charts Up trend then stick to it...AUDUSD can go to Swing 3X about 20 pips more but i took 2X,i always took 2X...




Cheers and Take Care
"Buy on fear, sell on greed !!!
  • #12,391
  • Dec 29, 2009 4:55am Dec 29, 2009 4:55am
Quoting CzechTrade
how about to sell now? looks like bulls are getting weaker and weaker and bears are coming
My Friend we have 2 Very bullish 4 hour candles if we close above 8950 in the next 20 mins...I cannot see how 9022 cannot be accomplished...

I like to confirm my entries ...so I would wait for a closing on a 4 hour below 8950 and short on retracement if you want to be sure...

Will post some charts later

Bulls weaker...( if they were you would have seen a sharp retracement like we saw on cable of about 70 pips here buyers are buying on all dips and will drive the price to our levels pretty soon

Good Luck
( Patience can yield you more pips )
Let Price determine your future!
  • #12,392
  • Dec 29, 2009 5:14am Dec 29, 2009 5:14am
I went Aussie short, actually my sell limit orders got filled and I dont like it so far,I try to be unbaised regarding what I see:
the development in CADUSD suggest we might see higher level in AUDUSD and NZDUSD too, I think it may be capped by 55 daily ema around .90 and heads lower , to be on the safe side I will hedge above .9200 (if it turns to be a continuation of the old uptrend) , for now I think we are in correction of the new emerging downtrend only as far as R at .9200 holds
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  • #12,393
  • Dec 29, 2009 6:58am Dec 29, 2009 6:58am
There is a good short opportunity on NZDUSD , the falling trend line might cause the price reverese at this point, the trend is down as far as R at .7300 holds
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  • #12,394
  • Dec 29, 2009 7:34am Dec 29, 2009 7:34am
This is the power of Swing trading

I didnt expect 3x but HIt 3x ....



Cheers and happy piping
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"Buy on fear, sell on greed !!!
  • #12,395
  • Dec 29, 2009 7:34am Dec 29, 2009 7:34am
a lil' xmas and new year's gift for the long holders. however i shud get ready for another fall soon i guess. if it breaks the 9200 then thank God hallelujah (unlikely)

merry xmas n happy new year all
  • #12,396
  • Dec 29, 2009 1:18pm Dec 29, 2009 1:18pm
Quoting peetee09
Wave three has probably completed and we may now be in wave four which should take us towards 0.89, though I don't see it getting past 0.8940, then heading south again

Attachment
Wave 'four' reached 0.8940 target and pushed through to touch neckline of H+S. now back to 0.8945. Any higher negates the wave count so it should head south from here if count is correct, towards level of approx 0.8620
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: AUD 30 DEC 09.JPG Size: 73 KB
  • #12,397
  • Dec 29, 2009 1:21pm Dec 29, 2009 1:21pm
on the larger timeframes we've had a retracement to the 38.2 level...

on the shorter time frames we seem to have a descending triangle forming following a h&s pattern...

any thoughts?...
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
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Click to Enlarge Name: 091229audusdm15.gif Size: 14 KB
  • #12,398
  • Dec 29, 2009 1:22pm Dec 29, 2009 1:22pm
Quoting peetee09
Wave 'four' reached 0.8940 target and pushed through to touch neckline of H+S. now back to 0.8945. Any higher negates the wave count so it should head south from here if count is correct, towards level of approx 0.8620
Attachment
Spot on
I am short on the aussie as well and targets around the same zone........

Geppyg
Let Price determine your future!
  • #12,399
  • Dec 29, 2009 1:23pm Dec 29, 2009 1:23pm
Quoting caldera
on the larger timeframes we've had a retracement to the 38.2 level...

on the shorter time frames we seem to have a descending triangle forming following a h&s pattern...

any thoughts?...

retraced to the 20 SMA on daily, and to the down trend TL , STRONG SELL IMO
Gold also respecting down trend TL
  • #12,400
  • Dec 29, 2009 2:04pm Dec 29, 2009 2:04pm
(My) Short term view:

AUD has held strongest against USD strength. If you want to short something how about the others that are falling like stones?
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