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AUD/USD

  • #9,981
  • Nov 27, 2009 5:06am Nov 27, 2009 5:06am
Quoting djmvc
Thanks A51...greatly appreciated.
Welcome Bro/Sister?


A51
  • #9,982
  • Nov 27, 2009 5:26am Nov 27, 2009 5:26am
LOL - i'm a brother!
I'm interested to get the views from others out there, based on your analysis, what do you see happening over the next 3-5 hours?
Particularly with regards to the US open for the day
  • #9,983
  • Nov 27, 2009 5:28am Nov 27, 2009 5:28am
i'm sure this has been said a lot of times before.....this could be the start of a reversal?.....

am looking to get short around 9150-9250 for a bigger move lower....shame my SL at 9310 were triggered....was short at 9240 and 9270 .....oh well...c'est la forex

think a move down to 0.8750 will definately shift the fous lower.....with RBA rate hikes decreasing quite a bit according to credit suise over past few days.....
  • #9,984
  • Nov 27, 2009 5:42am Nov 27, 2009 5:42am
Quoting djmvc
LOL - i'm a brother!
I'm interested to get the views from others out there, based on your analysis, what do you see happening over the next 3-5 hours?
Particularly with regards to the US open for the day
I think it'll be repeat of London session. Big drop at start of market but recover, but still thin volume. On Friday some saw the drop from Thursday as a chance to pick up buys.

http://www.marketwatch.com/story/eur...ist-2009-11-27
  • #9,985
  • Nov 27, 2009 5:45am Nov 27, 2009 5:45am
hey everyone
just wanted to get peoples thoughts on the aus/usd is there more downside do you think the rba will increase interest rates or leave them where they are

Apocalypto I was wondering if you could tell me what time frame u are using for your charts and what the moving averages u use

thanks
Enter Signature
  • #9,986
  • Nov 27, 2009 5:49am Nov 27, 2009 5:49am
I'm in Australia , how long will it be before the US session opens in Sydney time ?
  • #9,987
  • Nov 27, 2009 5:54am Nov 27, 2009 5:54am
Quoting Daytrader74
I'm in Australia , how long will it be before the US session opens in Sydney time ?
See this post:
http://www.forexfactory.com/showpost...postcount=9995

PS: 10,001 posts on this thread!
  • #9,988
  • Nov 27, 2009 6:04am Nov 27, 2009 6:04am
Thanks swampthing , I've recovered a little from the longs I took earlier but still in the red to the tune of about 140pips thinking of shorting the aud to recover some of my lost money, what do you think ??
  • #9,989
  • Nov 27, 2009 6:07am Nov 27, 2009 6:07am
Quoting Daytrader74
Thanks swampthing , I've recovered a little from the longs I took earlier but still in the red to the tune of about 140pips thinking of shorting the aud to recover some of my lost money, what do you think ??
Considering I've been burnt just as badly today I don't think I should give advice dude. My gut says short but I think I'll stay away today. Thin volume means things could go bloody MFK insane.
  • #9,990
  • Nov 27, 2009 6:17am Nov 27, 2009 6:17am
yeah swampthing I'm still getting burned bad here but i think if i short then hopefully i'd come out even ??
  • #9,991
  • Nov 27, 2009 7:04am Nov 27, 2009 7:04am
im long 9040
NOTHING VENTURED, NOTHING GAINED
  • #9,992
  • Nov 27, 2009 7:15am Nov 27, 2009 7:15am
Quoting Jesus4748
i dont understand why ppl think that the currency wil only recover if rates goes up ,, thats not a practial rule at all
i would have thought the same but sometimes the rally stops and breaks the daily trend line and consolidate or breaks down just because it ran out of steam or profit collection or just some other fundmentals ,, there is alot of things that can change the trend direction ,, not only the rates
best prove is ,, when the RBA added 25% to the AUD rates ,, first time it spoked it up and supported the rally ,, second time it went down...
With all due respect to my dear short friends, I am buying dips...

You'll be amazed to see when RBA releases its bullish assessment of aussie economy on Tuesday.

Another bout of short covering will happen.

Remember, if Dubai crashes, Europe will suffer the most, not Australia. AUSTRALIAN ECONOMY IS FUNDAMENTALLY STRONG.

Nuff said...
  • #9,993
  • Nov 27, 2009 7:17am Nov 27, 2009 7:17am
Quoting 4xmajkel
Hello guys, this day will be very interesting, weekly candle close, and on monday - monthly candle close.
long @ 0.8952 (S2 area) SL is tight 20pips, PA needs some retracement
I'm also waiting for the European stocks
time for close this trade, 23.6% of fibo is here(0.9033) and probably good oportunity for sell
  • #9,994
  • Nov 27, 2009 7:29am Nov 27, 2009 7:29am
This Dubai asset bubble, debt issue is NOT NEW to the market. Its been talked about since Feb 2009. this is just an aftershock. This isn't going to trigger double dip recession, etc.

Argentina in 2001 had no one to bail them out; Dubai has Abu Dhabi and Sheikh is smart enough to know how to manage this situation.

This is just a short term panic and/or opportunity to book profits.

Tell me what has changed fundamentally in Australia for its dollar to drop to .8850 or .85 as some people have predicted?

On the contrary, I received a note from CBA to its clients to "buy dips" this evening!!!
  • #9,995
  • Nov 27, 2009 7:32am Nov 27, 2009 7:32am
Quoting puks
This Dubai asset bubble, debt issue is NOT NEW to the market. Its been talked about since Feb 2009. this is just an aftershock. This isn't going to trigger double dip recession, etc.

Argentina in 2001 had no one to bail them out; Dubai has Abu Dhabi and Sheikh is smart enough to know how to manage this situation.

This is just a short term panic and/or opportunity to book profits.

Tell me what has changed fundamentally in Australia for its dollar to drop to .8850 or .85 as some people have predicted?

On the contrary, I received a note from...
Are you the only guy in FF that has talked real logic...I expressed my opinions to my clients who are in repsective trades...on swiiss and yen..and told explained the same...

Sensible post
Good Luck
GeppyG
Let Price determine your future!
  • #9,996
  • Nov 27, 2009 7:35am Nov 27, 2009 7:35am
puks, market does not follow these logics, otherwise USD would not have been dropped such a big way in these months

you could find some differences between Australian, American and European economy, but the overall tone is the same

AUD will go up more, but if one can buy at 88 why it has to buy at 90?
next week Wall Street will open, we can assume that there will be no panic but some profit taking is on the cards, and even if AUD has been beaten these three days, I guess we will be able to buy at lower prices next week

let's wait and see, I just would not buy here
  • #9,997
  • Nov 27, 2009 7:40am Nov 27, 2009 7:40am
Why still down omg ?
"Buy on fear, sell on greed !!!
  • #9,998
  • Nov 27, 2009 7:50am Nov 27, 2009 7:50am
Quoting puks
On the contrary, I received a note from CBA to its clients to "buy dips" this evening!!!
Mmmmm, Lloyds TSB are saying the same in today's Daily Market Strategy. Buy at these levels but if 0.8900 breaks it may change the picture a little. I'm flat (except for my AUD/JPY longs) and going out this afternoon so I'm not bothered what happens. Nicked my pips this morning on the dip. Will see what happens on Monday and if we get a red candle close on monthly.

Good weekend to everyone

Attached File(s)
File Type: pdf Market_Strategy_Daily_27_Nov.pdf   146 KB | 337 downloads
Nothing worth having is easy.
  • #9,999
  • Nov 27, 2009 7:54am Nov 27, 2009 7:54am
Quoting fammira
puks, market does not follow these logics, otherwise USD would not have been dropped such a big way in these months

you could find some differences between Australian, American and European economy, but the overall tone is the same

AUD will go up more, but if one can buy at 88 why it has to buy at 90?
next week Wall Street will open, we can assume that there will be no panic but some profit taking is on the cards, and even if AUD has been beaten these three days, I guess we will be able to buy at lower prices next week

let's wait and see,...
Mmmm...Dont think so...
How comes all the trading is un numpty volume....
Let Price determine your future!
  • #10,000
  • Nov 27, 2009 8:01am Nov 27, 2009 8:01am
Quoting Geppyg
Mmmm...Dont think so...
How comes all the trading is un numpty volume....
it's us session, asians are off, americans on holydays, only europeans are trading

so my point is, next week we'll see the real picture...
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