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AUD/USD

  • #9,101
  • Nov 16, 2009 8:59am Nov 16, 2009 8:59am
i have a prophecy ,, i hope it comes up right
i see the AUD going up to 9445-50 and that will be the top of the 5 wave move before it goes for a correction or a move down
this level is the 161% fib ret of the wave 4 down
129 % of the fib ret. of the wave 3 impulsive (up)
129 % fib ret of the major 5 wave fall before this rally up

and i see the 9370 level will break in 1 hour
i dont have any position but i ll short when it comes to this targeted level for me
  • #9,102
  • Nov 16, 2009 9:02am Nov 16, 2009 9:02am
I only looking for sell in Asian session...
"Buy on fear, sell on greed !!!
  • #9,103
  • Nov 16, 2009 9:05am Nov 16, 2009 9:05am
when it breaks .70 will go to 94 quickly...
  • #9,104
  • Nov 16, 2009 9:13am Nov 16, 2009 9:13am
Quoting Jesus4748
i have a prophecy ,, i hope it comes up right
i see the AUD going up to 9445-50 and that will be the top of the 5 wave move before it goes for a correction or a move down
this level is the 161% fib ret of the wave 4 down
129 % of the fib ret. of the wave 3 impulsive (up)
129 % fib ret of the major 5 wave fall before this rally up

and i see the 9370 level will break in 1 hour
i dont have any position but i ll short when it comes to this targeted level for me
thanks for analysis Jesus4748 and thats good enough for me as long as she penetrate 7460 and already add more

http://img38.imagefra.me/img/img38/1...hm_76dfa7a.png
  • #9,105
  • Nov 16, 2009 9:29am Nov 16, 2009 9:29am
Quoting ben10
thanks for analysis Jesus4748 and thats good enough for me as long as she penetrate 7460 and already add more

http://img38.imagefra.me/img/img38/1...hm_76dfa7a.png
lol , its funny when u call me jesus 4748 ,, u can call me jesus hehehehehe
well i hope i took a position earlier but seems like i didnt study my charts well to realize the 5 wave count on this move up ,, but anyways consolidation cant be ruled but i know when things r like this .. s&p open shakes things up
its on new highs now and i wish i bought the AUD when it came down to 9420
  • #9,106
  • Nov 16, 2009 9:36am Nov 16, 2009 9:36am
Quoting Jesus4748
lol , its funny when u call me jesus 4748 ,, u can call me jesus hehehehehe
what about Jes

ok Jesus thats it for me , will continue tomorrow Ciao!
  • #9,107
  • Nov 16, 2009 9:49am Nov 16, 2009 9:49am
Quoting ben10
what about Jes

ok Jesus thats it for me , will continue tomorrow Ciao!
jes sounds fine
lol
alright m8
ciao
  • #9,108
  • Nov 16, 2009 10:19am Nov 16, 2009 10:19am
i would like to add guys that if the Aud didnt break up today with this big rally in equities ,, i think this is a very bearish sign for the AUD
  • #9,109
  • Nov 16, 2009 10:28am Nov 16, 2009 10:28am
Quoting ben10
im 9279 short x3
have u not been stopped out yet? what is ur SL?

i am sidelined for a bit ...waiting for some decisive price action or more attractive sells or buys...
  • #9,110
  • Nov 16, 2009 10:50am Nov 16, 2009 10:50am
gold shooted high to new highs and equities to new highs but still AUD cant break this level
i m starting to get a bearish signal if this continues to go on within the next couple of hours
  • #9,111
  • Edited 12:35pm Nov 16, 2009 11:18am | Edited 12:35pm
Quoting Jesus4748
gold shooted high to new highs and equities to new highs but still AUD cant break this level
i m starting to get a bearish signal if this continues to go on within the next couple of hours
Maybe everybody has decided to pile into gold. I don't think many CB's (if any) moan about the high price of gold (unlike their currencies) so it could be a one way ticket for a while.

I was reading an interesting article on the weekend about how some bank (the writer seems to think it is JP Morgan) who are holding massive short gold and silver contracts and if they couldn't engineer a downfall soon, it was gonna get messy. He expected a breakout in silver very soon. I've just looked at the silver chart - it's looking pretty much like a breakout to me.
Nothing worth having is easy.
  • #9,112
  • Nov 16, 2009 11:30am Nov 16, 2009 11:30am
didnt i say it first guys
i said it
gold to new highs , equities but AUD is stack and this is bearish
now its falling with the Euro
  • #9,113
  • Nov 16, 2009 11:41am Nov 16, 2009 11:41am
Quoting Jesus4748
didnt i say it first guys
i said it
gold to new highs , equities but AUD is stack and this is bearish
now its falling with the Euro
Bernankes' speech minutes were released beforehand.
  • #9,114
  • Nov 16, 2009 11:55am Nov 16, 2009 11:55am
Thinking of AU and trading it for a long time i can say this pair has stable movement. For years cheked back it is may be one of the most predictible pairs of what market offers to trade...Anyway my advice for people that chose this pair for trading is to allways make their strategy on bigger time frame like day,week,month. This is long positions pair.Well the now bullish trend for last several month i think (on monthly Tf) has target of 9404, where started the first downrun bearish monthly candle after the reversal candle of the before bullish trend, anyway once the trend gets to 9404 me thinking it will bounce. Althought it may be not that big bounce but related to my monthly analysis where are big numbers i believe there will be 9000 psychological level test as strong resistance, before that - 9120 as first strong resistance caunted on closed bars 03/04 (2008). Well that is what i think , if anyone thinks that this may help him i'll be happy. i am long buy at 8850 and shtill holding
  • #9,115
  • Nov 16, 2009 12:14pm Nov 16, 2009 12:14pm
Well that was a nice stop hunt. What's that saying they say around the forum "wash and rinse"? I prefer back to business.

Gold is going for it - a few people must be sweating at JP Morgan now (if it is in fact the bank that is holding all those short gold/silver contracts).

Opening gap has now been closed on USDX with that stop hunt. Lol - gaps are a contentious issue on this forum (especially in the EUR thread).
Nothing worth having is easy.
  • #9,116
  • Nov 16, 2009 12:17pm Nov 16, 2009 12:17pm
Quoting TrendExpress
Thinking of AU and trading it for a long time i can say this pair has stable movement. For years cheked back it is may be one of the most predictible pairs of what market offers to trade...Anyway my advice for people that chose this pair for trading is to allways make their strategy on bigger time frame like day,week,month. This is long positions pair.Well the now bullish trend for last several month i think (on monthly Tf) has target of 9404, where started the first downrun bearish monthly candle after the reversal candle of the before bullish...
as i said before , i feel more confortable to see it bouncing from a clear fib level , i think 9440-50 is the most conviencing level for me , good job with holding it from this low level , u must had lot of profits lol
good luck m8
  • #9,117
  • Nov 16, 2009 1:00pm Nov 16, 2009 1:00pm
Very true Patience. Those folks on the E/U board will fight endless about gaps. lol.
Quoting Patience
Well that was a nice stop hunt. What's that saying they say around the forum "wash and rinse"? I prefer back to business.

Gold is going for it - a few people must be sweating at JP Morgan now (if it is in fact the bank that is holding all those short gold/silver contracts).

Opening gap has now been closed on USDX with that stop hunt. Lol - gaps are a contentious issue on this forum (especially in the EUR thread).
  • #9,118
  • Edited 1:27pm Nov 16, 2009 1:00pm | Edited 1:27pm
I agree with what you are saying abut the A/U. But how did you get .9404 as your number? It stopped right there. Nice call.

Quoting TrendExpress
Thinking of AU and trading it for a long time i can say this pair has stable movement. For years cheked back it is may be one of the most predictible pairs of what market offers to trade...Anyway my advice for people that chose this pair for trading is to allways make their strategy on bigger time frame like day,week,month. This is long positions pair.Well the now bullish trend for last several month i think (on monthly Tf) has target of 9404, where started the first downrun bearish monthly candle after the reversal candle of the before bullish...
  • #9,119
  • Nov 16, 2009 1:35pm Nov 16, 2009 1:35pm
Quoting G_Man
i have never traded gold before ... it is a bit

i closed my position and TP ...
Good move Betcha glad you got out of that one ....
Nothing worth having is easy.
  • #9,120
  • Nov 16, 2009 1:36pm Nov 16, 2009 1:36pm
Quoting Leche Mocha
Very true Patience. Those folks on the E/U board will fight endless about gaps. lol.
Ha, ha, ha - I just went and posted the 1 hour USDX chart on the EUR thread to wind them up and said it was just for you
Nothing worth having is easy.
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