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AUD/USD

  • #8,841
  • Nov 11, 2009 11:07am Nov 11, 2009 11:07am
i m thinking short if the AUD breaks down from the 20 days moving average on the 4H chart , cause its rebounding from it now
anybody here thinking long or short
  • #8,842
  • Nov 11, 2009 11:11am Nov 11, 2009 11:11am
Quoting thadakman
The S&P needs a close over 1100 and if it's able to hold over the next several days, then the USD weakness should continue, otherwise, we may get another decent pullback like we had recently.
i agree with u ,, it still have time to rally back just like yesterday when it fall and then rallied back before the session close
  • #8,843
  • Nov 11, 2009 11:16am Nov 11, 2009 11:16am
Quoting Jesus4748
equities shoot to new highs and rejects...

...Fear got the better half of you.
  • #8,844
  • Nov 11, 2009 4:06pm Nov 11, 2009 4:06pm
any1 with some insight to the unempoyment numbers??? a better number could see the highs of 0.9340s and a lower one could see down to a test of 0.9250ss....or it could always be a non event...though i think the latter is unlikely...
  • #8,845
  • Nov 11, 2009 4:32pm Nov 11, 2009 4:32pm
Good morning Aussie traders,

Excitement for AUD employment change is building up. 11:30 AEST and 19:30 EAST (00:30GMT) so we are a big group of attenders...

last releases:
aug. estimate-15k , actual -27.1
sept. estimate -10k , actual +40.6k

So estimates are horrible which is good and harder for them to actual happen...

If you pick the right direction 100pips should be an "easy" target...

the release in 2 hours are estimated to have a -9.7k
That is a too big difference compared to previous results...

But the direction is correct, we are negative compared to last numbers...
I estimate something between 10 and 20k employment change so Bulltime...

I will use Heiken ashi entry (waiting for red to be done) 1M from 11:00 putting on a 25/100 SL/TP...
  • #8,846
  • Nov 11, 2009 4:38pm Nov 11, 2009 4:38pm
anyone has an open position on AUD , half the analysis i read says its bullish and the other half says it bearish
and when i apply my own analysis ,, its confussing as well , i wanna take advantage of the break out low or high but its too risky but profitable
  • #8,847
  • Nov 11, 2009 4:56pm Nov 11, 2009 4:56pm
Hello.. and I guess I should say Good Morning to all..


I am just wondering what the predictions are before the report.. and also if there are certain way to trade the report to be ahead of the game.. I usually straddle with a buy stop and a sell stop a few pips away. If I wait for number to be posted of FF then usually I miss the move..

Tommy
  • #8,848
  • Nov 11, 2009 4:58pm Nov 11, 2009 4:58pm
Quoting thadakman
Nope... just doing some hedging (in the real account, no longer the practice account with hedging like last week); using a grid system with AUD/CAD (exciting pair... should bounce around 0.9600-0.9900 for a while) and the EUR/CHF (boring pair; but using small 15 pip profit targets and resetting back at 1.51).
.
Hi Thadakman,

im familiar with grid system ,thats very good choice doing gridding on ranging pair such as eur/chf good luck buddy!
  • #8,849
  • Nov 11, 2009 5:03pm Nov 11, 2009 5:03pm
Jesus4748 ,Matouwah and all here some analysis and hope its useful


Inserted Video
  • #8,850
  • Nov 11, 2009 5:05pm Nov 11, 2009 5:05pm
Quoting Jesus4748
anyone has an open position on AUD , half the analysis i read says its bullish and the other half says it bearish
and when i apply my own analysis ,, its confussing as well , i wanna take advantage of the break out low or high but its too risky but profitable
'Good morning all,
At times like these I stay away and close my positions till after the news. the other thing taht can be done is the hedge your position. This, depending on your broker often works well.
Find a job that you love and you dont have to work again in your life.
  • #8,851
  • Nov 11, 2009 5:22pm Nov 11, 2009 5:22pm
Quoting Larseg
Good morning Aussie traders,

Excitement for AUD employment change is building up. 11:30 AEST and 19:30 EAST (00:30GMT) so we are a big group of attenders...

last releases:
aug. estimate-15k , actual -27.1
sept. estimate -10k , actual +40.6k

So estimates are horrible which is good and harder for them to actual happen...

If you pick the right direction 100pips should be an "easy" target...

the release in 2 hours are estimated to have a -9.7k
That is a too big difference compared to previous results...

But the direction is correct,...

It's a very good analisys, im on the same direction .. but i'm just looking 20 or 30 pips.

good luck
  • #8,852
  • Nov 11, 2009 5:23pm Nov 11, 2009 5:23pm
Quoting Larseg
Good morning Aussie traders,

Excitement for AUD employment change is building up. 11:30 AEST and 19:30 EAST (00:30GMT) so we are a big group of attenders...

last releases:
aug. estimate-15k , actual -27.1
sept. estimate -10k , actual +40.6k

So estimates are horrible which is good and harder for them to actual happen...

If you pick the right direction 100pips should be an "easy" target...

the release in 2 hours are estimated to have a -9.7k
That is a too big difference compared to previous results...

But the direction is correct,...
http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?p...d=aKKyUuUfYJVE
  • #8,853
  • Nov 11, 2009 5:39pm Nov 11, 2009 5:39pm
Its really difficult contemplating trading news, when you can't hedge. Any ideas, anyone?

Wile E
  • #8,854
  • Edited 6:07pm Nov 11, 2009 5:46pm | Edited 6:07pm
if the numbers are down a fair bit then the $$ will fall yeah? Im no fortune teller but if they are expecting -9.5, and they get better, even a positive number,...then that will be good for the $. But, what if everyone already knows that the negative estimate is to low...an that is already priced in...my head spins

Im hopeless...lol.

place your bets.
  • #8,855
  • Nov 11, 2009 6:02pm Nov 11, 2009 6:02pm
Quoting Greedo
It's a very good analisys, im on the same direction .. but i'm just looking 20 or 30 pips.

good luck
Is that to say your expecting positive news, thus 20 30 long pips?

Thanks
  • #8,856
  • Nov 11, 2009 6:18pm Nov 11, 2009 6:18pm
I think AUDUSD will sell during the news...I expect 20-30 pips on this news...







Cheers
"Buy on fear, sell on greed !!!
  • #8,857
  • Nov 11, 2009 6:19pm Nov 11, 2009 6:19pm
Why you say?

Thanks

Quoting Petar_Serbia
I think AUDUSD will sell during the news...I expect 20-30 pips on this news...







Cheers
  • #8,858
  • Nov 11, 2009 6:22pm Nov 11, 2009 6:22pm
Quoting ben10
Jesus4748 ,Matouwah and all here some analysis and hope its useful


http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MY5fzE-Gz6I
i watched that earlier 2 hours from now ,, funny that we r reading and listening to same analysis sources without knowing lol
  • #8,859
  • Nov 11, 2009 6:26pm Nov 11, 2009 6:26pm
market still ranging and no big move at all kiwi stop at 7395 with target at 7440 or going short aussie at 9340

http://img03.imagefra.me/img/img03/1...tm_dbaa95a.png
  • #8,860
  • Nov 11, 2009 6:32pm Nov 11, 2009 6:32pm
7410 x4
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