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AUD/USD

  • #8,761
  • Nov 10, 2009 8:30pm Nov 10, 2009 8:30pm
Quoting Kas1
I went long earlier today. To me its been ranging all day. I'm out by tomorrow open unless i see a signal in the same direction. Could go short by tomorrow but we'll see.
I got out at open with a very small gain. I did not see any signal it would continue upwards. I expect more ranging. Not trading the pair today.

Happy trading.
  • #8,762
  • Nov 11, 2009 2:23am Nov 11, 2009 2:23am
  •  G_Man
  • | Joined Aug 2009 | Status: getting ready for the next Battle | 781 Posts
short at 9328 AUD and EUR at 150.38
  • #8,763
  • Nov 11, 2009 2:34am Nov 11, 2009 2:34am
Just made 35 pips..thanks to AUD...! the shining star...
i think it will go up around the time when claimout news will come..!
As ppl will bet on GBP..so USD will go down..--> AUD should go up..!
but it wont rise too much as BOE inflation report is yet to come..!

Happy Trading..!

My account is slowly increasing..!
  • #8,764
  • Nov 11, 2009 2:47am Nov 11, 2009 2:47am
just as i assumed ,, consolidation near res. most probably break out
  • #8,765
  • Nov 11, 2009 2:54am Nov 11, 2009 2:54am
  •  G_Man
  • | Joined Aug 2009 | Status: getting ready for the next Battle | 781 Posts
so what is the next resistance level? anyone has any idea?

i am still trying to figure it out ... but i think its between 9360 - 9400
  • #8,766
  • Nov 11, 2009 3:26am Nov 11, 2009 3:26am
u know guys what i think is that investing and trading gold is the most secured now in the market
the chart is very easy to understand if u look to the 4h chart and it has a steady up trend and once u pick up a good spot that it sails from it up , u ll be so unstressed cause it goes really high
unlike AUD and other risk
anyone trading gold here
  • #8,767
  • Nov 11, 2009 3:27am Nov 11, 2009 3:27am
Quoting G_Man
so what is the next resistance level? anyone has any idea?

i am still trying to figure it out ... but i think its between 9360 - 9400
9375
9395
but u should have waited a little bit for the reports coming out after 10 mins
  • #8,768
  • Nov 11, 2009 3:36am Nov 11, 2009 3:36am
  •  G_Man
  • | Joined Aug 2009 | Status: getting ready for the next Battle | 781 Posts
Quoting Jesus4748
9375
9395
but u should have waited a little bit for the reports coming out after 10 mins
GBP wont do much to this currency ...

its been EUR and XAU ...
  • #8,769
  • Nov 11, 2009 3:52am Nov 11, 2009 3:52am
Quoting Jesus4748
u know guys what i think is that investing and trading gold is the most secured now in the market
the chart is very easy to understand if u look to the 4h chart and it has a steady up trend and once u pick up a good spot that it sails from it up , u ll be so unstressed cause it goes really high
unlike AUD and other risk
anyone trading gold here
Yeah I'm long gold, missed 2 more good oppertunities to pyramid today on the half hr RSI signals, this baby is a rocket at the moment, will be for a few more months yet !!
Price is what you pay. Value is what you get
  • #8,770
  • Nov 11, 2009 4:12am Nov 11, 2009 4:12am
Quoting Scalpin
Yeah I'm long gold, missed 2 more good oppertunities to pyramid today on the half hr RSI signals, this baby is a rocket at the moment, will be for a few more months yet !!
i m thinking of shorting it as its bouncing from the upper channel which happens to be the 161% of the last advance
what do u think and if u have a chart that u r working on plz post it here
  • #8,771
  • Nov 11, 2009 4:26am Nov 11, 2009 4:26am
I'm working from weekly, daily and the 4hr for entry signal with 20sma &40sma, also watching (but keep missing) 30min with rsi3 & rsi14 for short term day trades, but aiming to hold them if possible. (A good signal on the 30m at 7pm)
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
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Price is what you pay. Value is what you get
  • #8,772
  • Nov 11, 2009 4:30am Nov 11, 2009 4:30am
Morning Guys

I see USDX has broken to a new low for this year. Mmmmm, what to do, what to do

Had set some buy limits on AUD/JPY overnight which were filled at 83.10/83.20 and I've just closed them out. Never really traded this pair before but I've been playing around with it in the last couple of weeks and I like it. Haven't been analysing it to death or anything, just buying on dips so I guess you could call it gambling

Daily Market Strategy for those who are bored. Good trades

Attached File(s)
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Nothing worth having is easy.
  • #8,773
  • Nov 11, 2009 4:30am Nov 11, 2009 4:30am
Quoting Jesus4748
i m thinking of shorting it as its bouncing from the upper channel which happens to be the 161% of the last advance
what do u think and if u have a chart that u r working on plz post it here
Personaly I am long gold until the US starts raising interest rates, likewise long AUD. Its all up until then IMHO. When they raise rates then its sell, sell, sell.......
Price is what you pay. Value is what you get
  • #8,774
  • Nov 11, 2009 4:35am Nov 11, 2009 4:35am
Hi Patience

IMHO AUD is long against everything (except CAD which is similar to AUD) until USA raises rates, this is of course a long term perspective and there will be plenty of market noise in between.
Price is what you pay. Value is what you get
  • #8,775
  • Nov 11, 2009 4:50am Nov 11, 2009 4:50am
Quoting Scalpin
Hi Patience

IMHO AUD is long against everything (except CAD which is similar to AUD) until USA raises rates, this is of course a long term perspective and there will be plenty of market noise in between.
Yes, I would agree with you here. I think that is the only thing that can help the US$ at this point, since Capitol Hill can't seem to rein in their spending.

I would have to say though that even the mere hint of interest rate rises from Fed members in their speeches would move the market so I'll be paying attention to anything they say. The market tends to price interest rate rises in way before they actually happen so when the rate does rise it's usually a non-event. I think the Fed are into this "transparency" thing unlike the RBA and MPC who like to sometimes surprise the market so the Fed members (in their individual speeches) will probably start warning the market in advance.

I see Cable is taking a drubbing. I can't trade that currency to save myself even though I live in the country.

[EDIT] I should also add that because various currencies are high, bad data will probably start showing up as well i.e. EUR, NZD, AUD and at this time of year, the market tends to trend and all rules are broken (well that's what I've found).
Nothing worth having is easy.
  • #8,776
  • Nov 11, 2009 6:30am Nov 11, 2009 6:30am
anyone long AUD/USD @ actual area ?
  • #8,777
  • Nov 11, 2009 6:37am Nov 11, 2009 6:37am
Thought I'd check to see how FXCM's clients are placed. 70% short on EUR and 62% short on AUD. Must be going up then

AUDUSD - The ratio of long to short positions in the AUDUSD stands at -1.65 as nearly 62% of traders are short. Yesterday, the ratio was at -1.81 as 64% of open positions were short. In detail, long positions are 0.9% lower than yesterday and 21.2% weaker since last week. Short positions are 9.4% lower than yesterday and 31.5% stronger since last week. Open interest is 6.4% weaker than yesterday and 2.8% below its monthly average. The SSI is a contrarian indicator and signals more AUDUSD gains.

EURUSD - The ratio of long to short positions in the EURUSD stands at -2.35 as nearly 70% of traders are short. Yesterday, the ratio was at -1.87 as 65% of open positions were short. In detail, long positions are 16.5% lower than yesterday and 16.4% weaker since last week. Short positions are 4.8% higher than yesterday and 19.5% stronger since last week. Open interest is 2.6% weaker than yesterday and 2.9% above its monthly average. The SSI is a contrarian indicator and signals more EURUSD gains.
Nothing worth having is easy.
  • #8,778
  • Nov 11, 2009 6:42am Nov 11, 2009 6:42am
Entry 9305 TP 9345 Sl 9295.
Have a nice day,guys!
  • #8,779
  • Nov 11, 2009 6:44am Nov 11, 2009 6:44am
  •  G_Man
  • | Joined Aug 2009 | Status: getting ready for the next Battle | 781 Posts
Quoting Patience
Thought I'd check to see how FXCM's clients are placed. 70% short on EUR and 62% short on AUD. Must be going up then
im not sure what you mean !!! bit confused ...

if the percentage is bigger on short isnt it mean its going down?
  • #8,780
  • Nov 11, 2009 6:45am Nov 11, 2009 6:45am
Quoting G_Man
im not sure what you mean !!! bit confused ...

if the percentage is bigger on short isnt it mean its going down?
No, it's a contrarian indicator. As 95% of retail traders apparently lose, it's best to be on the opposite side of them

I don't trade off it, always interested to see how they are placed though. I can probably count on one hand the times that retail traders have been long the EUR in the last six months.
Nothing worth having is easy.
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