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AUD/USD

  • #8,681
  • Nov 10, 2009 10:48am Nov 10, 2009 10:48am
Quoting whinos
uiuiuiu eeeee by alborguet

short amigos
Nice harmonic pattern you got there, did you go for a bearish gartley ,butterfly or bat?
post them more aften here, they are usually tricky to figure out ,appreciate it
  • #8,682
  • Nov 10, 2009 10:51am Nov 10, 2009 10:51am
Quoting davidmaria1
Agreed, but is it a good short?
Hi ,
it just depends on what TF you are trading, even if you are long from ages ago, it doesnt hurt to do some recovery short trades from time to time
  • #8,683
  • Nov 10, 2009 10:59am Nov 10, 2009 10:59am
Quoting whinos
uiuiuiu eeeee by alborguet

short amigos
Hi Whinos, I looked at you bearish butterfly once again in detail,
you got it wrong, you are not allowed to have your C (Point) below your A (point), its not what the pattern is about .
but try to post your analysis more often, we can learn from each other

Peace
http://www.harmonictrader.com/bflybearre.jpg
  • #8,684
  • Nov 10, 2009 11:04am Nov 10, 2009 11:04am
the equities showing another signal of diving again , if it closes on this decent trend it ll be very bullish for the usd and bearish for the risk ,,
still we have like 4 hours to see the trend developing and changing direction maybe
  • #8,685
  • Nov 10, 2009 11:08am Nov 10, 2009 11:08am
equities (s&p 500 )testing the 1.09 level again ,, if it breaks it ,, we ll see another league down in the AUD,,
  • #8,686
  • Nov 10, 2009 11:20am Nov 10, 2009 11:20am
As I posted last week (its here once again) , the upside move form the recent low, is a 5 wave impulse, we are currenty in the 4th wave ,which is a correction and should consolidate or bring the price lower till .915 max , the next will be our final 5th, which I anticipate to make a new high in near future.
I'm short from .9282 , I have my hedge Stop Buy orders placed at .9325 in case the 5th wave starts sooner than what I expect
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: audusd6.gif Size: 12 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: audusd9.gif Size: 12 KB
  • #8,687
  • Nov 10, 2009 11:50am Nov 10, 2009 11:50am
Quoting shahab8b
Hi Whinos, I looked at you bearish butterfly once again in detail,
you got it wrong, you are not allowed to have your C (Point) below your A (point), its not what the pattern is about .
but try to post your analysis more often, we can learn from each other

Peace
http://www.harmonictrader.com/bflybearre.jpg

O desenho não precisa ser perfeito em relação aos níveis A B C e D.

o mais importante é a expanção fibonacci. 161.8 que é uma resistencia muito forte, sendo assim um ótimo ponto de venda, ja fiz 35 pips e vendi outra ves em 0.9290. vamos ver oque acontece ok

Abraços e obrigado.

English
The drawing does not need A B C and D was completed regarding the levels and more important is the fibonacci expansion at 161.8 that is a very strong resist, being so the best point of sale, was already made by me 35 pips and sold another in 0.9290. we are going to see that it excavates that it happens ok

Abraços and thank you.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: butterfly 3 AU D.jpg Size: 109 KB
My English its not very well, be patient
  • #8,688
  • Nov 10, 2009 12:03pm Nov 10, 2009 12:03pm
Quoting shahab8b
Nice harmonic pattern you got there, did you go for a bearish gartley ,butterfly or bat?
post them more aften here, they are usually tricky to figure out ,appreciate it
ok man i will post more when i see in graph i post in GU and EU too see in atach file here GU an EU. ok

Tks
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: butterfly 2 GU C.jpg Size: 112 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: butterfly 3 EU B.jpg Size: 97 KB
My English its not very well, be patient
  • #8,689
  • Nov 10, 2009 12:11pm Nov 10, 2009 12:11pm
Quoting whinos
O desenho não precisa ser perfeito em relação aos níveis A B C e D.

o mais importante é a expanção fibonacci. 161.8 que é uma resistencia muito forte, sendo assim um ótimo ponto de venda, ja fiz 35 pips e vendi outra ves em 0.9290. vamos ver oque acontece ok

Abraços e obrigado.

English
The drawing does not need A B C and D was completed regarding the levels and more important is the fibonacci expansion at 161.8 that is a very strong resist, being so the best point of sale, was already made by me 35 pips and sold another in 0.9290. we are going...
Thanx for the explanation & good luck with the trades
  • #8,690
  • Nov 10, 2009 12:46pm Nov 10, 2009 12:46pm
i m so confussed and still i dont wanna mess this trade chance ,
elliot waves may signal a short signal and long at the same time if there is a fifth wave up
93 level stop firm but the 9250 stood firm too
if i have hedging option i would have done it
as i studu here and analysis there ,, both signals prove strong as each other , long and short
what do u think guys
anyone has position already
  • #8,691
  • Nov 10, 2009 1:05pm Nov 10, 2009 1:05pm
Quoting Jesus4748
i m so confussed and still i dont wanna mess this trade chance ,
elliot waves may signal a short signal and long at the same time if there is a fifth wave up
93 level stop firm but the 9250 stood firm too
if i have hedging option i would have done it
as i studu here and analysis there ,, both signals prove strong as each other , long and short
what do u think guys
anyone has position already
I went long earlier today. To me its been ranging all day. I'm out by tomorrow open unless i see a signal in the same direction. Could go short by tomorrow but we'll see.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: AUDUSDH3.png Size: 40 KB
  • #8,692
  • Nov 10, 2009 1:07pm Nov 10, 2009 1:07pm
daily chart showing hammer that suggests trend reversal
elliot waves suggests another wave up to complete five waves to 95 maybe
93 resistance suggests some pull back before trying it again
fundmentals supports up trend
equities made some reversal but still hovering around the 90 area which left the market confussed after it took it down
gold same
dont know what to follow lol
any suggestion guys
  • #8,693
  • Nov 10, 2009 1:09pm Nov 10, 2009 1:09pm
Quoting Kas1
I went long earlier today. To me its been ranging all day. I'm out by tomorrow open unless i see a signal in the same direction. Could go short by tomorrow but we'll see.
i would agree with u ,, by tomorow things will be clear after the Equities closes today and the Aud find its direction to break the 93 or 9250
  • #8,694
  • Nov 10, 2009 4:05pm Nov 10, 2009 4:05pm
Quoting Jesus4748
i would agree with u ,, by tomorow things will be clear after the Equities closes today and the Aud find its direction to break the 93 or 9250
I think the dollar will go sideways today (may be a touch lower) awaiting the unemployment news on Thursday morning sudney time. Depending on how that turns out AUD could either hit new highs or down below the last low which was 9250 or so. So if you decide to make a pre-emtive to go long before the news just make sure you have enough equity to cover the dip or hedge with. Just my 2 pip worth.....
Find a job that you love and you dont have to work again in your life.
  • #8,695
  • Nov 10, 2009 4:13pm Nov 10, 2009 4:13pm
Here is a report just released for today by the fairfax group. Good luck all


2009-11-11

The Australian dollar has opened half a cent higher on anticipation of profit-taking in the domestic session after a quiet night on offshore equity markets.
At 0700 AEDT, the Australian dollar was trading at $US0.9303-06, up from Tuesday's close of $US0.9257/61.
During the overnight session, the unit traded in a tight range between $US0.9250 and $US0.9306.
Ozforex corporate dealer Darren Richardson said the local currency "really struggled" to break through the 93 US cent level during the overnight North American session.
"That was due to a lot of technical selling at that level and also some larger options in the interbank market, lying around the 93.25 level," Mr Richardson said from Toronto.
"That's been protecting any further depreciation in the US dollar."
He said the Australian dollar was contained within an extremely tight trading band.
The overnight session saw a "pretty quiet day" in equity markets, with not too much volatility, he said.
"Nothing significant to report in terms of equities. It's unchanged today.
"The price of gold is a little bit higher, but nothing significant."
Mr Richardson said the market had felt little volatility following comments by regional US Federal Reserve official Janet Yellen, who warned that US unemployment, now in double digits, may remain "high" for several years and dampen economy recovery from a brutal recession.
US unemployment jumped to double digits in October for the first time since 1983, reaching 10.2 per cent, although job losses narrowed to 190,000, the government said last week.
Mr Richardson expects the Australian unit to trade under the 93 US cents mark during the domestic session.
"We'll probably see some profit-taking in place and pushing down to 92.50," he said.
Expectations of domestic employment in November, due on Thursday in a Westpac-Melbourne Institute Survey, could have a bearing on the dollar, he said.
"If we see a great deviation from the expected 5.8 per cent, we'll see some volatility.
"If we see a negative number, or an increase in unemployment, we'll probably see the Aussie dollar back down to 92 (US cents)."
Find a job that you love and you dont have to work again in your life.
  • #8,696
  • Edited 4:54pm Nov 10, 2009 4:33pm | Edited 4:54pm
Didn't break lower as I thought it might - stuck in a range right now...clearly.

Interesting to see the 0.9260 level as the lower support for the range.

I think the 'failed' breakout of the 0.9280 level yesterday as quite a bullish sign, and ill keep my eye out for a retrace to the 0.9260 level for a range-buy, or a breakout long of the range.

Looks pretty uninteresting though
  • #8,697
  • Nov 10, 2009 4:50pm Nov 10, 2009 4:50pm
morning guys! the range trading will continue

http://img37.imagefra.me/img/img37/1...hm_b6c4210.png
  • #8,698
  • Nov 10, 2009 5:29pm Nov 10, 2009 5:29pm
Quoting G_Man
guys,

heres a small request to some of you ...

i think you should share your activity ... your open position, closed position, etc ... i always do it so as some of the other traders but not all of you ...

this way it makes easy for other traders to make decision ...
G'day Gman,

Hope you're pipping well.

Well, I am currently holding my short positions from .9120 and hedged half of them at .9270 with TP of .9325.

I am willing to hold on to this losing short position as I am confident that it will get to that level in next couple of weeks.

What position(s) are you holding currently"? I am also short EUR and made some pips on micro lot in GBP last night.

Cheers
  • #8,699
  • Nov 10, 2009 5:33pm Nov 10, 2009 5:33pm
Since CNBC isn't exactly providing world wide coverage at 8:30pm 11.11.09, New York time, can anyone tell me how I could catch the employment/unemployment numbers in realtime?

Thanks.

Wile E
  • #8,700
  • Nov 10, 2009 5:38pm Nov 10, 2009 5:38pm
Quoting puks
G'day Gman,

Hope you're pipping well.

Well, I am currently holding my short positions from .9120 and hedged half of them at .9270 with TP of .9325.

I am willing to hold on to this losing short position as I am confident that it will get to that level in next couple of weeks.

What position(s) are you holding currently"? I am also short EUR and made some pips on micro lot in GBP last night.

Cheers
i m thinking of building a good average short position on the AUD by buying one third of my position now and the second third on 94 and the last third on 95 if it hits there , that will make an average of 94 which i dont think it ll go so far up from it before the big fall which my happen at any week
what do u think
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