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Principles of market movements

  • #481
  • Oct 13, 2009 8:47am Oct 13, 2009 8:47am
DAMN!!!!arrrrr


http://savepic.ru/898909m.png
skype: aleksey_trader
  • #482
  • Oct 13, 2009 8:51am Oct 13, 2009 8:51am
definetly not my day

http://savepic.ru/892765m.jpg
skype: aleksey_trader
  • #483
  • Oct 13, 2009 9:24am Oct 13, 2009 9:24am
U.S. stocks fell, pulling the Standard & Poor’s 500 Index down from a one-year high, as analyst Meredith Whitney downgraded Goldman Sachs Group Inc. and said she was “far less bullish” on banking shares.

http://savepic.ru/903004m.png

but still 70% of analysts reccomend to buy with target price 204

http://savepic.ru/908124m.png

http://savepic.ru/909148m.png
skype: aleksey_trader
  • #484
  • Oct 13, 2009 9:29am Oct 13, 2009 9:29am
Almost Nice

Quoting Alex_S
DAMN!!!!arrrrr


http://savepic.ru/898909m.png
  • #485
  • Oct 13, 2009 2:15pm Oct 13, 2009 2:15pm
Commodity forecast:

http://savepic.ru/873302m.png

WTI quorterly forecast:

http://savepic.ru/862038m.png

yearly forecast:

http://savepic.ru/869206m.png
skype: aleksey_trader
  • #486
  • Oct 13, 2009 2:17pm Oct 13, 2009 2:17pm
Metals forecast:

http://savepic.ru/865110m.png

gold quorterly:

http://savepic.ru/854870m.png

gold yearly forecast:

http://savepic.ru/855894m.png
skype: aleksey_trader
  • #487
  • Oct 13, 2009 5:51pm Oct 13, 2009 5:51pm
This was an interesting day for the pound, if I may say. Here below are the volume charts showing how things shifted.

So we are now in a corridor between 1.5938(prev week max) and the new quarterly max which corresponds to the week before previous's max 1.5887-5892. Final pic shows some possible movements.
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: Intraday1310.jpg Size: 136 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: QuarterlyMaxVolumes1310.jpg Size: 101 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: WeeklyMaxVolumes1310.jpg Size: 114 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: PossibleMovement1310.jpg Size: 112 KB
  • #488
  • Oct 15, 2009 10:25am Oct 15, 2009 10:25am
Quoting bobblong
This was an interesting day for the pound, if I may say. Here below are the volume charts showing how things shifted.

So we are now in a corridor between 1.5938(prev week max) and the new quarterly max which corresponds to the week before previous's max 1.5887-5892. Final pic shows some possible movements.

Here are banks forecasts for GBPUSD:

http://savepic.ru/893595m.png


And for EURUSD:

http://savepic.ru/897691m.png
skype: aleksey_trader
  • #489
  • Oct 15, 2009 10:38am Oct 15, 2009 10:38am
some of yesterday`s trades:

s&p emini:

http://savepic.ru/867195m.jpg

euro:

http://savepic.ru/911226m.jpg
skype: aleksey_trader
  • #490
  • Oct 15, 2009 10:41am Oct 15, 2009 10:41am
some of yesterday`s and today`s trades:

s&p emini on european session:

http://savepic.ru/894594m.png

and on US session:

http://savepic.ru/860824m.png

Bank of America:

http://savepic.ru/852632m.jpg

and Apple:

http://savepic.ru/913051m.png
skype: aleksey_trader
  • #491
  • Oct 15, 2009 10:42am Oct 15, 2009 10:42am
and gold one, that was negative:

http://savepic.ru/916123m.png
skype: aleksey_trader
  • #492
  • Oct 15, 2009 10:45am Oct 15, 2009 10:45am
today`s S&P Index by each sector:

http://savepic.ru/856731m.png

most up:

http://savepic.ru/912026m.png

most down:

http://savepic.ru/909978m.png

And most traded by volume:

http://savepic.ru/916122m.png
skype: aleksey_trader
  • #493
  • Oct 15, 2009 11:05am Oct 15, 2009 11:05am
Very accurate trading Aleksey. Same strategy still? CME changed the way volume is reported on ES, is it affecting you?
  • #494
  • Oct 15, 2009 11:08am Oct 15, 2009 11:08am
Quoting bobblong
Very accurate trading Aleksey. Same strategy still? CME changed the way volume is reported on ES, is it affecting you?
I always try to develop my strategies, but still everything is based on volume...CME tries to make it less public, but anyway I get the same data as before from my feed sources.
skype: aleksey_trader
  • #495
  • Oct 15, 2009 11:15am Oct 15, 2009 11:15am
Can you explain the rationale behind this trade/exit ?
thx.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: 10-15-2009 6-14-48 PM.jpg Size: 70 KB
  • #496
  • Oct 15, 2009 11:19am Oct 15, 2009 11:19am
Quoting bobblong
Can you explain the rationale behind this trade/exit ?
thx.
I closed second half of long position I opened before, I usually have 2 targets, and this time closed +8pp as it is european session with low volatility.
skype: aleksey_trader
  • #497
  • Oct 15, 2009 11:26am Oct 15, 2009 11:26am
Here is nice one
History of recommendations about specific stock of one analytic from Ukrainian fund:

http://savepic.ru/915101m.png

Usually people bring money to such institutions hoping they would be managed wisely...

For people who doesn`t know "B" it is Buy recommendation...."D" - downgraded
skype: aleksey_trader
  • #498
  • Oct 15, 2009 11:30am Oct 15, 2009 11:30am
Quoting Alex_S
I closed second half of long position I opened before, I usually have 2 targets, and this time closed +8pp as it is european session with low volatility.
Here is GBP today after the big rally which started yesterday at the Max Quarterly Volume. The blue lines are also levels from the previous quarter's volume chart, and it still surprises me how accurate it is. The yellow is max 2hr volume. I find 1 hr max vol in forex makes for a lot of confusion and 2hr is a sweetspot, providing good targets for scalps and places for some support/resistance. Is this how you incorporate these small period max vols in your trading?
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: GBPUSD1510.jpg Size: 75 KB
  • #499
  • Oct 15, 2009 11:33am Oct 15, 2009 11:33am
Quoting bobblong
Here is GBP today after the big rally which started yesterday at the Max Quarterly Volume. The blue lines are also levels from the previous quarter's volume chart, and it still surprises me how accurate it is. The yellow is max 2hr volume. I find 1 hr max vol in forex makes for a lot of confusion and 2hr is a sweetspot, providing good targets for scalps and places for some support/resistance. Is this how you incorporate these small period max vols in your trading?
Mine are a bit more complicated, includes more parametres, but you are doing good, going in right direction, except one thing, try to take volume from futures markets, if you don`t do it still.
skype: aleksey_trader
  • #500
  • Oct 15, 2009 11:44am Oct 15, 2009 11:44am
Quoting Alex_S
Mine are a bit more complicated, includes more parametres, but you are doing good, going in right direction, except one thing, try to take volume from futures markets, if you don`t do it still.
Ok, I will think some more about the short periods and how to use them . About the futures volume, I understand that might be better, but logic says that if the futures fx trading only accounts for 10% of all the volume in the fx market, then using what I am using might be as good if I want to trade the spot market. Look how effective the levels are, even if the volume is possibly no more than 20-30% of total traded volume. The only benefit I see in using the futures volume is to see the number of contracts traded, because I'm not completely sure what are the units quoted in this volume I have, maybe millions. Who knows.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: GBPUSD1410.jpg Size: 142 KB
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