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AUD/USD

  • #6,401
  • Oct 12, 2009 8:56am Oct 12, 2009 8:56am
watching the paint dry tonite
  • #6,402
  • Oct 12, 2009 9:25am Oct 12, 2009 9:25am
In regards to people saying how many pips/points they made or lost in a day, is that relevant to position size, as in based on a 100,000 lot or just how many points u made regardless of position size?

Eg; I lost 15 pips on a short 20,000 AUDUSD and then made 13 pips on a long 40,000 AUDUSD.

In total still profitable. Sorry if this seems trivial im still learning,, much appreciated guys.
  • #6,403
  • Oct 12, 2009 9:44am Oct 12, 2009 9:44am
  •  G_Man
  • | Joined Aug 2009 | Status: getting ready for the next Battle | 781 Posts
Quoting puks
The break below to 90 to .8980 was the dip that people were talking about.

AUD finds enough buyers around that area and below it.

I closed my longs from .9020 with some profit, (should have waited to get more pips) but ah well............

Come tomorrow, AUD will break above 91 and possible a test of .9150 if NZ retail sales number come out good (which is widely expected)

cheers
sorry mate, i disagree ... thats not the correction ...

correction is lot more than 10 pips ...

its hard to do any prediction as US and CAD is closed today ...

we'll have to wait till tomorrow ...

i doubt that it will break 9110 without a drop back to 8780 area ...

lets see ..
  • #6,404
  • Oct 12, 2009 9:46am Oct 12, 2009 9:46am
  •  G_Man
  • | Joined Aug 2009 | Status: getting ready for the next Battle | 781 Posts
9070 major resistance ... this could be it ...

i am adding more short ...
  • #6,405
  • Oct 12, 2009 9:54am Oct 12, 2009 9:54am
Ideal situation...

USD sells off this week and makes 1 last minute spike to the downside after the FOMC on Wednesday... if that happens, I'm going Long USD with a big position (short EUR, AUD, NZD, etc... should all work out if this happens)...

If that happens, it shoud be able to run pretty good until Thurs/Friday or even possibly be the official start of a USD long trend.
  • #6,406
  • Oct 12, 2009 9:56am Oct 12, 2009 9:56am
Quoting G_Man
9070 major resistance ... this could be it ...

i am adding more short ...
I have shorts averaging out at 9033, however the only reason I see 9070 as any type of resistance is due to the U.S. market not being open, I'm holding firm with a wide stop, but don't see a drop or real movement until the Aussie opens, or when the Brit market opens and that one crazy banker makes it fly up or down, hope I'm wrong on current movement and it drops like a rock
Never been vouched
  • #6,407
  • Oct 12, 2009 10:04am Oct 12, 2009 10:04am
  •  G_Man
  • | Joined Aug 2009 | Status: getting ready for the next Battle | 781 Posts
http://cdn.forexfactory.com/images/m...dar_upnext.gif 8:45am NZD
Retail Sales m/m
http://cdn.forexfactory.com/images/m...dar_detail.gif
0.6%-0.5%
http://cdn.forexfactory.com/images/m...dar_upnext.gif 8:45am NZD
Core Retail Sales m/m
http://cdn.forexfactory.com/images/m...dar_detail.gif
0.5%-0.5%


I think this is coming as negative for NZD ...
  • #6,408
  • Oct 12, 2009 10:05am Oct 12, 2009 10:05am
Quoting G_Man
http://cdn.forexfactory.com/images/m...dar_upnext.gif 8:45am NZD
Retail Sales m/m
http://cdn.forexfactory.com/images/m...dar_detail.gif
0.6%-0.5%
http://cdn.forexfactory.com/images/m...dar_upnext.gif 8:45am NZD
Core Retail Sales m/m
http://cdn.forexfactory.com/images/m...dar_detail.gif
0.5%-0.5%...
NZD is underperforming compared to the other currencies against USD, so I'd say this is very likely.
  • #6,409
  • Oct 12, 2009 10:12am Oct 12, 2009 10:12am
i went short at 9054 earlier today...might have been too early however, i will add to it if it hits 9100...i think its is ready to tank hard.
  • #6,410
  • Oct 12, 2009 10:13am Oct 12, 2009 10:13am
Careful guys, 4 hour bullflag on AUD and DOW getting close to 10,000; this thing can potentially run hard this week...

My ideal post FOMC sees this at 0.9200-0.9300, which would be a very nice area to short.

Whoever is short now, just have a safe exit plan (and re-entry plan, b/c you don't want to miss the down move after hanging in this long!)... good luck out there, maybe you'll get a sell-off before this pair breaks to new highs.
  • #6,411
  • Oct 12, 2009 10:21am Oct 12, 2009 10:21am
What other positions are you guys holding/playing?

I'm long USD/CAD at 1.0325 (after getting stopped out earlier at 1.0400); reason is that BOC can intervene or make some comments to drive the CAD down and I think Oil will fall soon. (target only 1.0400 before FOMC on Wednesday; then hopefully get back in under 1.0325).

Also, long USD/CHF here at 1.0250; reason is that CHF is also not comfortable with their currency this strong and may also make some comments to drive it down. (target only 1.0350 before FOMC on Wednesday; then hopefully get back in under 1.0250).

Overall, I'm banking on a nice USD bounce and think CAD and CHF at these levels are safer to play right now (though both could go to parity)... looking to go short AUD 0.9200+ and EUR at around 1.5000 this week (right after FOMC).
  • #6,412
  • Oct 12, 2009 10:26am Oct 12, 2009 10:26am
short the pound
short the eur/usd
short the eur/jpy
long usd/cad (however stop was hit - need to get in again soon)
long usd/jpy (however almost hit stop)


Quoting thadakman
What other positions are you guys holding/playing?

I'm long USD/CAD at 1.0325 (after getting stopped out earlier at 1.0400); reason is that BOC can intervene or make some comments to drive the CAD down and I think Oil will fall soon. (target only 1.0400 before FOMC on Wednesday; then hopefully get back in under 1.0325).

Also, long USD/CHF here at 1.0250; reason is that CHF is also not comfortable with their currency this strong and may also make some comments to drive it down. (target only 1.0350 before FOMC on Wednesday; then hopefully get...
  • #6,413
  • Oct 12, 2009 10:39am Oct 12, 2009 10:39am
short it

http://img39.imagefra.me/img/img39/2...em_b04e659.png
  • #6,414
  • Oct 12, 2009 10:53am Oct 12, 2009 10:53am
add more short

http://img01.imagefra.me/img/img01/2...em_5001b3f.png
  • #6,415
  • Oct 12, 2009 10:55am Oct 12, 2009 10:55am
feel good when you trades is focus and no bla bla noise,
'c mon Thadakman jump in
  • #6,416
  • Oct 12, 2009 10:55am Oct 12, 2009 10:55am
Ben do you think the 60 EMA is acting as support for this pair on 5 min TF??
Im short at 9076 btw.
  • #6,417
  • Oct 12, 2009 10:59am Oct 12, 2009 10:59am
some profit taken
  • #6,418
  • Oct 12, 2009 11:11am Oct 12, 2009 11:11am
Quoting thadakman
What other positions are you guys holding/playing?

(right after FOMC).
Hi Thadakman,
Here in US is Columbos day , most of the states are in holiday, I live in FL no holiday here, I went to lab and went to my classes thinking the NYSE would be closed today, now I saw what a mistake I made, the good part is the DJI , S&P 500 broke to new high but this pair didnt move since I put a short order at .9062 this morning (4hr ago) , it means she runs out of fuel for now, if she wants to break higher she should have done it with stocks today, my bias is down, not deep though, may be around .89- .88 ish
  • #6,419
  • Oct 12, 2009 11:15am Oct 12, 2009 11:15am
Quoting shahab8b
my bias is down, not deep though, may be around .89- .88 ish
it seem reversal in the making (short side ) as long as fibo at 0.9094 not penetrated or break above

http://img38.imagefra.me/img/img38/2...jm_e6b814c.png

what do you think?
  • #6,420
  • Oct 12, 2009 11:16am Oct 12, 2009 11:16am
Quoting shahab8b
Hi Thadakman,
Here in US is Columbos day , most of the states are in holiday, I live in FL no holiday here, I went to lab and went to my classes thinking the NYSE would be closed today, now I saw what a mistake I made, the good part is the DJI , S&P 500 broke to new high but this pair didnt move since I put a short order at .9062 this morning (4hr ago) , it means she runs out of fuel for now, if she wants to break higher she should have done it with stocks today, my bias is down, not deep though, may be around .89- .88 ish
I'm in CA, I wish I had the day off from work, ah well.. at least watching stocks and forex can help pass the day (wasn't completely certain the stock market was going to be open)... my bias is down also, but not until Wednesday.. ended up going long USD against a few currencies way too early last week; I'm being more patient this week and going for safer entries. Good luck with your AUD short.
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