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AUD/USD

  • #5,661
  • Oct 6, 2009 7:54pm Oct 6, 2009 7:54pm
average now 0.8821 x 17
  • #5,662
  • Oct 6, 2009 8:15pm Oct 6, 2009 8:15pm
Quoting shahab8b
As I thought before, the Kiwi had some strong resistance at .7360-70 ,S now R back in Jan,08. I already took profit on some of my short positions from there, now it seems to me (sooner than what I expected) it's about to have a bearish cycle for 2-3 days, the min target is .7250 , I suspect the Assuie will follow with couple of hours delay
Hi Shahab8b, so many support to break

http://img01.imagefra.me/img/img01/2...7m_e7d103b.png
  • #5,663
  • Oct 6, 2009 8:27pm Oct 6, 2009 8:27pm
Quoting ben10
average now 0.8821 x 17
kiwi long average 0.7365 x 8, so aussie short got 50 percent hedge and aud/nzd cross synthetic short value at 8821/7365=1.1976

so i would like to go long on the aud/nzd cross below 1.1976

http://img01.imagefra.me/img/img01/2...im_5a6da33.png

still got another 9 trades ammo for the kiwi and 34 ammo for the crossses, will she pick me at 1.1800 or 1.1600?
  • #5,664
  • Oct 6, 2009 8:36pm Oct 6, 2009 8:36pm
Quoting ben10
average now 0.8821 x 17
Hi Ben and u all guys,

I agree: over reaction yesterday in many sectors in the global markets.

This could be in favour of a correction. Limited, but a correction.

At the moment Gold is "loosing ground": -3.38 net change.

Watch out. 2h30 London time where I am. Time to rest the eyelids.

AU finds support on your green S line ... ~0.8888.

Have a good day. See U all.

Claude
  • #5,665
  • Oct 6, 2009 8:46pm Oct 6, 2009 8:46pm
Quoting camoruso
Hi Ben and u all guys,

I agree: over reaction yesterday in many sectors in the global markets.
This could be in favour of a correction. Limited, but a correction.
At the moment Gold is "loosing ground": -3.38 net change.
Watch out. 2h30 London time where I am. Time to rest the eyelids.
AU finds support on your green S line ... ~0.8888.
Have a good day. See U all.

Claude
Hi Claude, most traders react to price move and reinforce it self to bid more ...therefore higher high is established, bull trend? you bet! whats the chart pattern significy? i just want to see top formation establish on any timeframe then i'll attack from there.

good trading to you too buddy
  • #5,666
  • Oct 6, 2009 8:49pm Oct 6, 2009 8:49pm
I couldn't believe it! AUD / USD move upward was totally overdone, along with the other AUD pairs. I agree with you guys, this thing topped out in my opinion, and is on its way down. The aussie, if they go on increasing rate, is going to be disastrous. Sell Sell Sell
  • #5,667
  • Oct 6, 2009 8:52pm Oct 6, 2009 8:52pm
average long position at 1.2121 x 2 rebuild and accumulate the cross after a very good run

http://img40.imagefra.me/img/img40/2...6m_99e6bb8.png
  • #5,668
  • Oct 6, 2009 9:01pm Oct 6, 2009 9:01pm
Quoting ben10
0.8936 should be the top for the week ! thats my call
so far so good and i add more short

http://img01.imagefra.me/img/img01/2...qm_b520e23.png
  • #5,669
  • Oct 6, 2009 9:07pm Oct 6, 2009 9:07pm
the 6 trades at the top average at 0.8889 i could close that for profit but move some of the stops instead to protect the gain
  • #5,670
  • Oct 6, 2009 9:09pm Oct 6, 2009 9:09pm
seems like 8871 will crack so i add more short at 8873
  • #5,671
  • Oct 6, 2009 9:12pm Oct 6, 2009 9:12pm
just incase she prove me wrong i set limit long for the kiwi at 0.7340
  • #5,672
  • Oct 6, 2009 9:13pm Oct 6, 2009 9:13pm
Limit sell at .8863 1st TP .8805 and 2nd TP .8750
  • #5,673
  • Oct 6, 2009 9:14pm Oct 6, 2009 9:14pm
Asian intra low and gold dipping to 1038.40 ....bit of profit taking today by the looks
  • #5,674
  • Oct 6, 2009 9:16pm Oct 6, 2009 9:16pm
0.8871 penetrated
  • #5,675
  • Oct 6, 2009 9:18pm Oct 6, 2009 9:18pm
Quoting siboy
Asian intra low and gold dipping to 1038.40 ....bit of profit taking today by the looks
G'day sunshine state of downunder, how is it going mate?
  • #5,676
  • Oct 6, 2009 9:23pm Oct 6, 2009 9:23pm
Quoting ben10
how is your position Fammira?
hi ben, short from 0,8872

waiting for a 150 - 200 pips downmove between today and tomorrow early european session
  • #5,677
  • Oct 6, 2009 9:27pm Oct 6, 2009 9:27pm
Quoting Qwert
Limit sell at .8863 1st TP .8805 and 2nd TP .8750
Hi Qwert, try set limit long on the kiwi/dollar above 0.7330 every 20 pips up for 200 pips range and limit short aud/usd below 0.8870 every 20 pips down for 200 range and just leave it until monday , see what happen.
  • #5,678
  • Oct 6, 2009 9:29pm Oct 6, 2009 9:29pm
Quoting fammira
hi ben, short from 0,8872

waiting for a 150 - 200 pips downmove between today and tomorrow early european session
your call is good so far !she start to fall this morning/today
  • #5,679
  • Oct 6, 2009 9:32pm Oct 6, 2009 9:32pm
Quoting blue_z_zz
this is for G_man & fammira we might have the first sign of a revesal but lets wait for confirmation
hey blue, no reversal signs for me, long term this goes up more, but needs a breath lower to go up more

we'll see profit taking before ECB and BOE rates decision, then up more until the weakness of USD is substainable (ie everyone turns bearish on the dollar)

at that moment (early november?) USD will bounce strong and all the ones that liquidated at these prices will be unhappy and feel pity for the mistake...but the bounce will be as strong as quick so that year end low liquidity will push EUR, GBP, CAD and AUD to the highs again

in November I therefore see 0.82 - 0.83 for this pair
  • #5,680
  • Oct 6, 2009 9:33pm Oct 6, 2009 9:33pm
Quoting ben10
Hi Qwert, try set limit long on the kiwi/dollar above 0.7330 every 20 pips up for 200 pips range and limit short aud/usd below 0.8870 every 20 pips down for 200 range and just leave it until monday , see what happen.
thats breakout model, then when you are in profit, hedge it by buy or sell more of the aussie or the kiwi , you will get better value of the aud/nzd synthetic short !whats next ? watch the aud/nzd only and ready to enter long
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