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AUD/USD

  • #4,141
  • Sep 22, 2009 9:32am Sep 22, 2009 9:32am
as im shorting it perhaps my thinking got emotional bias, any way if it fall i expect she will visit 8675 once again as ausiie consilidate/ranging a lot lately, what do you think guys?
  • #4,142
  • Sep 22, 2009 9:34am Sep 22, 2009 9:34am
Quoting shahab8b
Silver down, USD strenght on the card, I think the best pair to short now is NZDUSD
fingers cross Shahab8b
  • #4,143
  • Sep 22, 2009 9:36am Sep 22, 2009 9:36am
Quoting ben10
spread for the kiwi 2.8 pips and for the aussie 1.8 pips

range for the aussie 8758 - 8225 on 1 minute chart and break below, i'll add more short
i add more short 8723
  • #4,144
  • Sep 22, 2009 9:36am Sep 22, 2009 9:36am
Dow just made a new low of day and touched red... it's looking like a possible downtrend day today for that index, which should keep pulling the AUD down.
  • #4,145
  • Sep 22, 2009 9:40am Sep 22, 2009 9:40am
Quoting thadakman
Dow just made a new low of day and touched red... it's looking like a possible downtrend day today for that index, which should keep pulling the AUD down.
I 'm watching stocks too, NASDAQ still didnt break lower from yesterday high, if it does ,will be a good signal
  • #4,146
  • Sep 22, 2009 9:45am Sep 22, 2009 9:45am
guess what where she will hang around? 8756 (the first fibo target) and could travel to the second target of 0.8888 ouch that a bit hairy

http://img38.imagefra.me/img/img38/2...mm_b305c40.png

but thats mean she has to break 0.8775 resistance ! above 7250 i wll attack kiwi long
  • #4,147
  • Sep 22, 2009 9:46am Sep 22, 2009 9:46am
Quoting shahab8b
I 'm watching stocks too, NASDAQ still didnt break lower from yesterday high, if it does ,will be a good signal
Yeah, Nasdaq is a nice buoy, it needs to sink too... there was a volume spike on the dow when it went red, that usually signals a turn (which it's starting to do)... but as of now, the downtred still looks intact from the looks of the chart.
  • #4,148
  • Sep 22, 2009 9:47am Sep 22, 2009 9:47am
Quoting ben10
i add more short 8723
sometimes u get really confused , u mean u long on 8723 or u sold some of ur position ( short ) at 8723
  • #4,149
  • Sep 22, 2009 9:59am Sep 22, 2009 9:59am
seems like rangin tonite
  • #4,150
  • Sep 22, 2009 10:03am Sep 22, 2009 10:03am
Quoting Jesus4748
sometimes u get really confused , u mean u long on 8723 or u sold some of ur position ( short ) at 8723
the plan : i always short aud/usd and always long nzd/usd and always long aud/nzd cross synthetic play, shifting between bottom/top picker model to trend breakout model and vice versa
  • #4,151
  • Sep 22, 2009 10:03am Sep 22, 2009 10:03am
Quoting ben10
seems like rangin tonite
Yeah, doesn't look like we'll get any direction until after FOMC tomorrow.. that should run us to the end of the week, maybe Dow 10,000 or a pullback to 9500 by the end of the week.
  • #4,152
  • Sep 22, 2009 10:06am Sep 22, 2009 10:06am
no i never confuse , i cant afford to 'cos i want to be the best at this
  • #4,153
  • Sep 22, 2009 10:08am Sep 22, 2009 10:08am
Bull Flag forming on the AUD hourly chart... a break above 0.87500 can suggest a move to 0.8900... but that should only happen if the dollar sells off good tomorrow.
  • #4,154
  • Sep 22, 2009 10:13am Sep 22, 2009 10:13am
Quoting thadakman
Bull Flag forming on the AUD hourly chart... a break above 0.87500 can suggest a move to 0.8900... but that should only happen if the dollar sells off good tomorrow.
it's flag indeed , wow good eyes you got there
  • #4,155
  • Sep 22, 2009 10:19am Sep 22, 2009 10:19am
Quoting ben10
it's flag indeed , wow good eyes you got there
If the AUD happens to break to new highs, may not want to jump in and short too early... I'm waiting for 0.8800's.
  • #4,156
  • Sep 22, 2009 10:20am Sep 22, 2009 10:20am
if the aussie and the kiwi both shoot up what happen to the aud/nzd cross? down of course ,therefore reduce position

http://img38.imagefra.me/img/img38/2...1m_b79046d.png

just incase im got trap by the cross valuation
  • #4,157
  • Sep 22, 2009 10:25am Sep 22, 2009 10:25am
0.8800/0.7250=1.2137
0.8900/0.7350=1.2108
  • #4,158
  • Sep 22, 2009 10:42am Sep 22, 2009 10:42am
she fall back below 8750
  • #4,159
  • Edited 11:00am Sep 22, 2009 10:59am | Edited 11:00am
What do you think of another double top? see where the white lines are above the rises. It has happened two times before.

fxst

And div. maybe?
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  • #4,160
  • Sep 22, 2009 11:14am Sep 22, 2009 11:14am
Wow, a lot of divergence on the weekly. I wonder how much longer until it might have a chance to play out.
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