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AUD/USD

  • #4,021
  • Sep 21, 2009 7:39am Sep 21, 2009 7:39am
Quoting ben10
5 minute range 0.8620-0.8590 what the risk ? 20, 30 pips ? short it
http://img38.imagefra.me/img/img38/2...em_a96d8f6.png
  • #4,022
  • Sep 21, 2009 7:40am Sep 21, 2009 7:40am
Quoting ben10
bugger! why you stop playing the aussie, you know the characteristic of this pair inside out? i play it all the way in loss and in profit
I did not stop, I missed my entry point and I am anyway short EURUSD which does not make much different, I will be back on our beloved on the long side
  • #4,023
  • Sep 21, 2009 7:44am Sep 21, 2009 7:44am
  •  G_Man
  • | Joined Aug 2009 | Status: getting ready for the next Battle | 781 Posts
Quoting ben10
i dont hear G_MAN shouting , 'cmon .... i like pipping man
dude, below 8540 is my pay time ... i got a feeling she's gonna get stuck there for a while just to annoy me ... and then go back up to around 8700 - 8800 ... and then will go below that level sometime next week ... but i wanna get pay this week ...
  • #4,024
  • Sep 21, 2009 7:51am Sep 21, 2009 7:51am
Quoting fammira
I did not stop, I missed my entry point and I am anyway short EURUSD which does not make much different, I will be back on our beloved on the long side
o00ps got it!
  • #4,025
  • Sep 21, 2009 7:52am Sep 21, 2009 7:52am
Quoting G_Man
dude, below 8540 is my pay time ... i got a feeling she's gonna get stuck there for a while just to annoy me ... and then go back up to around 8700 - 8800 ... and then will go below that level sometime next week ... but i wanna get pay this week ...
fair enough
  • #4,026
  • Sep 21, 2009 7:57am Sep 21, 2009 7:57am
when the aussie and the kiwi move:

0.8700/0.7150=1.2167
0.8600/0.7050=1.2198
0.8500/0.6950=1.2230
0.8400/0.6850=1.2265

and the anticipation :

http://img38.imagefra.me/img/img38/2...jm_507925a.png
  • #4,027
  • Sep 21, 2009 7:57am Sep 21, 2009 7:57am
i see it forming some twitzers double or triple ,,, maybe it ll break up here for some league up
  • #4,028
  • Sep 21, 2009 8:01am Sep 21, 2009 8:01am
bugger she just hanging around 8600 better look opportunity somewhere else
  • #4,029
  • Sep 21, 2009 8:04am Sep 21, 2009 8:04am
Quoting Jesus4748
i see it forming some twitzers double or triple ,,, maybe it ll break up here for some league up
how is usd/cad trade going? ever try aud/cad and aud/usd?
  • #4,030
  • Sep 21, 2009 8:11am Sep 21, 2009 8:11am
Quoting ben10
how is usd/cad trade going? ever try aud/cad and aud/usd?
actually i mainly trade AUD/USD but occasionally i trade usd/cad .. u can plan ur work on a currency pair that is on a daily downtrend and this is why i dont do USD/CAD manily but i prefere to work on with the AUD/USD ,
by the look to the daily chart for it i can say its very unlikely that it breaks the daily uptrend and it ll bounce from it ,, and that would be at 8475 or maybe it ll just stop at 8550 and league up again
what do u think ?
  • #4,031
  • Sep 21, 2009 8:21am Sep 21, 2009 8:21am
As usual, early morning (NY session) dollar strengthens and then it sells off; it just can't hold it's gains later in the day... this has been happening consistently for a while now.

Side note: Nasdaq is now green and the Dow is only down about 30 points; once the Nasdaq goes green, the Dow usually follows... and the dollar goes down as a result... If the Dow does close deep in the red today we'll likely get a Turnaround Tuesday tomorrow; but today feels more like a flat close... Dow just needs to hurry up and test 10,000 now, it seems too close not to, that'll be a prime target for some people to start taking profits and it'll give the dollar a run.

Planned AUD shorts at 0.8700, 0.8750 and 0.8800 this week (I'm currently out of my entire short position as of now) and waiting for the big move in the dollar next week, when I think it may actually be able to hold onto a gain for a couple of days.
  • #4,032
  • Sep 21, 2009 8:22am Sep 21, 2009 8:22am
Quoting Jesus4748
actually i mainly trade AUD/USD but occasionally i trade usd/cad .. u can plan ur work on a currency pair that is on a daily downtrend and this is why i dont do USD/CAD manily but i prefere to work on with the AUD/USD ,
by the look to the daily chart for it i can say its very unlikely that it breaks the daily uptrend and it ll bounce from it ,, and that would be at 8475 or maybe it ll just stop at 8550 and league up again
what do u think ?
8550 is the bottom i think
  • #4,033
  • Sep 21, 2009 8:23am Sep 21, 2009 8:23am
reduce most of short position 8620 is broken
  • #4,034
  • Sep 21, 2009 8:25am Sep 21, 2009 8:25am
Quoting thadakman
As usual, early morning (NY session) dollar strengthens and then it sells off; it just can't hold it's gains later in the day... this has been happening consistently for a while now.

Side note: Nasdaq is now green and the Dow is only down about 30 points; once the Nasdaq goes green, the Dow usually follows... and the dollar goes down as a result.

.
hmmm very good observation Thadakman! i may look into it
  • #4,035
  • Sep 21, 2009 8:31am Sep 21, 2009 8:31am
i talk too much now i enter late and miss my 10 pips profit

http://img39.imagefra.me/img/img39/2...gm_a362c2d.png
  • #4,036
  • Sep 21, 2009 8:57am Sep 21, 2009 8:57am
I went short at .86402, at daily,S1. put the SL 8 pips/ I had my MACD(8,16,6) crossed
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: audusd16.gif Size: 15 KB
  • #4,037
  • Sep 21, 2009 9:27am Sep 21, 2009 9:27am
Fx 360 report by Boris Schlossberg
"If the talk out of the G-20 actually turns into some concrete policy action, the news of further government regulation of capital markets could cast a pall over risk assets and precipitate a profit taking sell off that many analysts have been anticipating for weeks. With latest COT report indicating that short dollar positions are at record yearly highs the environment appears ripe for a dollar rally this week and if the economic data along with concerns over G-20 fuel further risk aversion flows the EUR/USD could retrace to 1.4500, Aussie to 8500 and cable as we already noted could test the 1.6000 figure before the end of the week."
  • #4,038
  • Sep 21, 2009 9:29am Sep 21, 2009 9:29am
Quoting shahab8b
Fx 360 report by Boris Schlossberg
"If the talk out of the G-20 actually turns into some concrete policy action, the news of further government regulation of capital markets could cast a pall over risk assets and precipitate a profit taking sell off that many analysts have been anticipating for weeks. With latest COT report indicating that short dollar positions are at record yearly highs the environment appears ripe for a dollar rally this week and if the economic data along with concerns over G-20 fuel further risk aversion flows the [color=#004276]EUR/USD...
Those targets all seem very reasonable soon; with that said, anyone planning to go long at 0.8500?
  • #4,039
  • Sep 21, 2009 9:36am Sep 21, 2009 9:36am
Quoting thadakman
Those targets all seem very reasonable soon; with that said, anyone planning to go long at 0.8500?
It sounds wierd but I have been trading just short positions on AUDUSD since July coz that time I had the bias that it's rally was over. now you can tell how wrong I was!!! but hopefully althought I was tading on the wrong side for 3 months I have been pretty profitable, but now I'm really thinking to start going long if goes around .81-.82
  • #4,040
  • Sep 21, 2009 9:45am Sep 21, 2009 9:45am
Quoting shahab8b
It sounds wierd but I have been trading just short positions on AUDUSD since July coz that time I had the bias that it's rally was over. now you can tell how wrong I was!!! but hopefully althought I was tading on the wrong side for 3 months I have been pretty profitable, but now I'm really thinking to start going long if goes around .81-.82
My bias has been down for a while also (with the stock market in general; I felt very confident about a March rally but had no idea that it would be going on for this long!); but I have only been shorting the AUD for a couple of weeks... I do see a nice dip in the low 0.8000's also before a run to 0.9000...

On a side note, I am starting to hear "average" people talk about buying stocks, which usually signals a top... I still remember hearing "average" people talking about selling all their stocks near that March low, and look what happened lol.
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