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AUD/USD

  • #3,621
  • Sep 15, 2009 5:40pm Sep 15, 2009 5:40pm
We might be getting closer to a turnaround but I don't rely on RSI to tell me to buy or sell.

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: USDX-DAILY-16 SEP.PNG Size: 68 KB
Nothing worth having is easy.
  • #3,622
  • Sep 15, 2009 5:46pm Sep 15, 2009 5:46pm
Quoting ben10
hi buddy the range for aussie still under 200 pips for the week, what do ya think ? going for 300 pips range for the week?
Yeah, Kristo was questioning the ranges as well. Maybe one more big spike up before the great fall

This "green shoots" is a load of rubbish from what I read all about the place. But the US$ is so toast in my fundamental eyes.

If all the CB's get together it could be a different story though.

EUR is so close to hitting that high at 1.4718 (depending on your chart) that it hit last December in that big spike up. I've read that there are a lot of stops above 1.4720 which could carry it even further.

Until my chart tells me to short, I'm not shorting.
Nothing worth having is easy.
  • #3,623
  • Sep 15, 2009 5:50pm Sep 15, 2009 5:50pm
7065 broke on the kiwi add more long
  • #3,624
  • Sep 15, 2009 5:56pm Sep 15, 2009 5:56pm
Quoting Patience
Yeah, Kristo was questioning the ranges as well. Maybe one more big spike up before the great fall

This "green shoots" is a load of rubbish from what I read all about the place. But the US$ is so toast in my fundamental eyes.

If all the CB's get together it could be a different story though.

EUR is so close to hitting that high at 1.4718 (depending on your chart) that it hit last December in that big spike up. I've read that there are a lot of stops above 1.4720 which could carry it even further.

Until my chart tells...
the fundamental front i see lot of cash pouring in to risky asset and equities as the investors fear of missing ot the gain, they park the cash too long in treasuries and yield a little but they might be late or it could reinforce the bulls climb higher
  • #3,625
  • Sep 15, 2009 6:04pm Sep 15, 2009 6:04pm
Quoting ben10
the fundamental front i see lot of cash pouring in to risky asset and equities as the investors fear of missing ot the gain, they park the cash too long in treasuries and yield a little but they might be late or it could reinforce the bulls climb higher
I read the PPT were working overtime to keep the indices up

Thank gawd I don't do stocks because it seems like every man and his dog has been waiting for the correction for months now and getting spanked in the meantime.
Nothing worth having is easy.
  • #3,626
  • Sep 15, 2009 6:20pm Sep 15, 2009 6:20pm
Quoting Patience
I read the PPT were working overtime to keep the indices up

Thank gawd I don't do stocks because it seems like every man and his dog has been waiting for the correction for months now and getting spanked in the meantime.
LOL ... i dont do stock anymore, i see the usd index cracked too

http://img38.imagefra.me/img/img38/2...ym_bf85d7e.png
  • #3,627
  • Sep 15, 2009 6:23pm Sep 15, 2009 6:23pm
kiwi out! now short ausiie stop at 8660
  • #3,628
  • Sep 15, 2009 6:26pm Sep 15, 2009 6:26pm
but for longterm player please buy on dip! 0.8450 very strong support:

http://img39.imagefra.me/img/img39/2...hm_aee0ea1.png
  • #3,629
  • Sep 15, 2009 6:31pm Sep 15, 2009 6:31pm
Quoting ben10
kiwi out! now short ausiie stop at 8660
http://img37.imagefra.me/img/img37/2...im_c8cf48b.png

8650 cracked as i write this ,add more short
  • #3,630
  • Sep 15, 2009 6:43pm Sep 15, 2009 6:43pm
Quoting puks
G'day Traders,

It was yet another night of sheer frustration for AUSD shorties.

Instead of going down the pair keeps on recording new highs...

Famira, G_Man - your thoughts?

My hopes of gaining some profit are diminishing with each passing day...
still and again 0,8630 - 50 good to short
  • #3,631
  • Sep 15, 2009 6:47pm Sep 15, 2009 6:47pm
Quoting ben10
LOL ... i dont do stock anymore, i see the usd index cracked too

http://img38.imagefra.me/img/img38/2...ym_bf85d7e.png

That's an interesting chart.

This was a chart I used to ponder many months ago (USDX Weekly chart). It did what I thought it would do - I just don't know where it's going to turn around now Maybe next market crash ....

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: USDX WEEKLY.PNG Size: 68 KB
Nothing worth having is easy.
  • #3,632
  • Sep 15, 2009 7:23pm Sep 15, 2009 7:23pm
what we saw yesterday end US session and this morning early Jap session was just a contrarian move

USD will keep moving up this week
  • #3,633
  • Sep 15, 2009 7:42pm Sep 15, 2009 7:42pm
Quoting fammira
what we saw yesterday end US session and this morning early Jap session was just a contrarian move

USD will keep moving up this week
hi fammira, what is on my view USD may be not for this week just check this chart
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: usd index.gif Size: 31 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: usd index2.gif Size: 22 KB
  • #3,634
  • Sep 15, 2009 8:21pm Sep 15, 2009 8:21pm
Quoting Patience
I guess you are talking from a resistance point of view? What else is telling you to short (just out of interest?)
It's been pulling back a while now from this area, it's good resistance and a lot of economic news coming out of Australia lately has been lower than expectations have been... so I feel the AUD is less likely to break out to new highs (though I wouldn't be surprised if it did b/c the dollar's been so weak lately).

I basically like to go short at the top of a range (or long on the bottom of a range) in the direction of my bias; which is down for this pair... I figure, the loss can be minimal if you cut early enough and the profit can be much larger (dump half on the other side of the range and hold half for the possible break)... a lot of people like to go long or short right when they bust out of the range, in the same direction; but then they have to contend with head fakes after buying or selling at the top or bottom.
  • #3,635
  • Sep 15, 2009 8:36pm Sep 15, 2009 8:36pm
Quoting my30marahaba
hi fammira, what is on my view USD may be not for this week just check this chart
hi my30marahaba,

I still favour consolidation and bottom around these levels, unless 75.9 - 76 area is broken as well, I think we'll see some strenght coming out of the dollar this week and the next one
  • #3,636
  • Sep 15, 2009 8:37pm Sep 15, 2009 8:37pm
  •  G_Man
  • | Joined Aug 2009 | Status: getting ready for the next Battle | 781 Posts
Quoting fammira
what we saw yesterday end US session and this morning early Jap session was just a contrarian move

USD will keep moving up this week
Hi fammira, would you please be little bit more specific.
  • #3,637
  • Sep 15, 2009 8:52pm Sep 15, 2009 8:52pm
Quoting G_Man
Hi fammira, would you please be little bit more specific.
forex market usually does not show levels and false moves are ordinary

my opinion, based on what I see, or if you prefere my feeling, tells me that we are close to a strong USD bounce

equities probably will not fall yet, but USD fall could lose momentum and start consolidating before recovering

concerning AUDUSD, these levels and up to 0,87, which I doubt we will see, are chances to short
  • #3,638
  • Sep 15, 2009 9:01pm Sep 15, 2009 9:01pm
Quoting fammira
hi my30marahaba,

I still favour consolidation and bottom around these levels, unless 75.9 - 76 area is broken as well, I think we'll see some strenght coming out of the dollar this week and the next one
hi fammira,

I see what you mean, the bottom line in process this week and to be continue to the next week for up movement, but base on my view PA be making new spike of the lower point and established the bottom before break out the trend line to going up, just watch closely this part....
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: usd index3.JPG Size: 116 KB
  • #3,639
  • Sep 15, 2009 9:12pm Sep 15, 2009 9:12pm
Quoting my30marahaba
hi fammira,

I see what you mean, the bottom line in process this week and to be continue to the next week for up movement, but base on my view PA be making new spike of the lower point and established the bottom before break out the trend line to going up, just watch closely this part....
surely could be a possibility, but this would mean to see EURUSD and AUDUSD at around 1,49 - 50 and 0,88 -89 in the short term and I think this will not happen this year or at least before a strong correction

let's wait and see what happens, I will also be watching closely
  • #3,640
  • Sep 15, 2009 9:14pm Sep 15, 2009 9:14pm
Quoting fammira
surely could be a possibility, but this would mean to see EURUSD and AUDUSD at around 1,49 - 50 and 0,88 -89 in the short term and I think this will not happen this year or at least before a strong correction

let's wait and see what happens, I will also be watching closely
Just to let you know I don't have any nails left watching this pari go up.

I am really under pressure and can't afford to a) watch this pair go up to .87 b) add more money to my account.

God, please bless US and US$$
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