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Peaches`s trading log

  • #261
  • Jul 12, 2009 10:51am Jul 12, 2009 10:51am
Quoting 5ysfx
Hi P.

Please show us a TNX might be interesting again
Have a nice weekend.

Your wish shall be fullfilled: especially the daily tnx ichimoku chart is interisting, because price has entered the cloud plus the chinkou span (the green line) is going through the price line.

These are all indication for further fall of the TNX.
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  • #262
  • Jul 12, 2009 11:04am Jul 12, 2009 11:04am
I think for gbpaud there is nothing left to do, just wait the trade unfold:
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  • #263
  • Jul 12, 2009 11:17am Jul 12, 2009 11:17am
eur/usd weekly is inside the cloud, so inside the cloud is a choppy no trade area for ichimoku traders.

But daily is more interisting: On one hand we see the chinkou span going through the price line plus we see the kijun seen going down. Remember the kijun sen is the slow moving average with 26 period.

Price was rejected 3 times from the cloud, but this cloud is pretty big, which means this is high volume and big support.

Lets see if it managed to get into the cloud...
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  • #264
  • Jul 12, 2009 11:28am Jul 12, 2009 11:28am
For usdlfx we have seen in the past 7 weeks the price tried to get back into the cloud, but was rejected.

Trading will be much easier, if price found direction and was for sure rejected or pushed back into the cloud.

Daily picture is differend:

The price is held up nicely by the kijun sen for 11 trading days.

The kijun sen is pointing up, so the slow moving average is bullish

From my experience ranging periods are periods of accumulation, big traders know exactly where, price will go in the future, and are building positions.
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  • #265
  • Jul 12, 2009 11:36am Jul 12, 2009 11:36am
most interisting for me is the cadlfx:

If you look longtem charts, I think cad is most undervalue:
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  • #266
  • Jul 12, 2009 11:56am Jul 12, 2009 11:56am
hi p

consider this scenario as well
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  • #267
  • Jul 12, 2009 2:01pm Jul 12, 2009 2:01pm
Quoting 5ysfx
hi p

consider this scenario as well
A trendline break is not impossible, Iàm not in a trade yet, just waiting for direction, maybe there will be a decision next week.

My scenario will only happen, if kumo hold as resistance (in case it gets there)
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  • #268
  • Jul 12, 2009 2:03pm Jul 12, 2009 2:03pm
I have found an ichimoku file which is in japanese, so if someone is able to translate: Iàm interestet in the parts which are dealing with time-cycles

http://lounge.monex.co.jp/pdf/video/2008-04-15_68_1.pdf
  • #269
  • Jul 12, 2009 2:06pm Jul 12, 2009 2:06pm
welcome yen in bear land (or turn chart: in bull land)
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  • #270
  • Jul 13, 2009 12:04am Jul 13, 2009 12:04am
This is for tony
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  • #271
  • Jul 13, 2009 1:25pm Jul 13, 2009 1:25pm
Quoting peaches
most interisting for me is the cadlfx:

If you look longtem charts, I think cad is most undervalue:


Take profit and re-entered long
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  • #272
  • Jul 13, 2009 1:30pm Jul 13, 2009 1:30pm
Quoting peaches
I think for gbpaud there is nothing left to do, just wait the trade unfold:
I added another long
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  • #273
  • Jul 13, 2009 1:39pm Jul 13, 2009 1:39pm
Quoting peaches
This is for tony
dear trader



I entered short in the middle of the 4 h candle on gbp/lfx.

I did the same for

GBP/CHF

plus

GBP/JPY

I was stopped out +1 PIP on GBP/CHF, GBP/JPY, GBP/LFX

It is impossible to start a trend following trade, if price went back 12 hours later, where it was before to hit SL +1 PIP.

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  • #274
  • Jul 13, 2009 1:50pm Jul 13, 2009 1:50pm
the yen 2007, 2008 and 2009 after breaking the cloud.

Time for accumulation/building positions.

Have a nice day, IŽam watching TV.
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  • #275
  • Jul 13, 2009 2:12pm Jul 13, 2009 2:12pm
on My charts,it failled to close above the LINES,today ....tested the CLOUDS ,lets see if an UPDAY tommorow.......everyone seems to be BEARISH ..
always check 4 hr Tf on London open for nearest SENTIMENT..

baz
EUR_USD Spot.png
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  • #276
  • Jul 13, 2009 2:15pm Jul 13, 2009 2:15pm
and the PROBLEM for Euro...... overhead rssistance coming up

baz

EUR_USD Spot.png
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  • #277
  • Jul 13, 2009 3:53pm Jul 13, 2009 3:53pm
Quoting baz
and the PROBLEM for Euro...... overhead rssistance coming up

baz

EUR_USD Spot.png

Thank you baz for your charts and thinking.

This is the problem with currencys inside weekly cloud. Inside cloud, price is without orientation.

From ichimoku point of view, thre should only be a short sentiment, if broken below weekly cloud or below daily cloud.

Problem is, daily cloud is very big, this means there is much volum traded plus this is a big support.

Second BIG problem is USD/LFX does not manage to get into the weekly cloud.

USD/LFX has weekly tenkan sen as resistance above, weekly cloud above plus daily cloud above, so there is nothing much left for price then ranging.
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  • #278
  • Jul 13, 2009 3:57pm Jul 13, 2009 3:57pm
Quoting peaches
Thank you baz for your charts and thinking.

This is the problem with currencys inside weekly cloud. Inside cloud, price is without orientation.

From ichimoku point of view, thre should only be a short sentiment, if broken below weekly cloud or below daily cloud.

Problem is, daily cloud is very big, this means there is much volum traded plus this is a big support.

Second BIG problem is USD/LFX does not manage to get into the weekly cloud.

USD/LFX has weekly tenkan sen as resistance above, weekly cloud above plus daily cloud above, so there is...

Peter
if cloud is BIG,than i assume it is more convincing,and will be Difficult to break down....so if the price is rejected by this cloud,it shows as STRONG support....maybe not necessarly HIGHER PRICE ????


baz
  • #279
  • Jul 13, 2009 4:02pm Jul 13, 2009 4:02pm
every now and then I have a look at the volum, because basic of volume spread analyses should known by traders.

In a falling market we see for GU a rising volume.

So, this is telling us, there is interest,. that GU is not allowed to fall more (at this point in time).

So we see of course GU bounce above the cloud. To be more precisly: look left in the charts, where the chinkoun span make 2 angels, this have been points of support (to be honest ~ 60 pis above this).

So next question is, will there be a bullish breakout ? A bullish breakout of the trendline plus breaking the cloud would jump price back into old ranging area.
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  • #280
  • Jul 13, 2009 4:08pm Jul 13, 2009 4:08pm
man, this is crazy: back to kijun sen ?
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