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Peaches`s trading log

  • #201
  • Jul 2, 2009 3:03pm Jul 2, 2009 3:03pm
Quoting peaches
very much interisting for me is geppy, because I can not see an impulsive up move as reaction of touching the kijun sen.

Last time the daily doji has a nice impulsive up move, which made me think, that this was an automated trading, placed buy limit orders near the kijun sen.

If todays candle does not change to a hammer or doji, we have a good chance for a big big downmove towards the daily cloud.
Hi Peter & Baz!

I like your analysis on Geppy, take a look to this pattern:

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: gjd.gif Size: 27 KB


Just curious about that, I'm waiting a break of 156.7xx area, next parade is 155 and 150

Thanks!

Jhon
"THE ALL is Mind; the Universe is Mental--held in the mind of THE ALL."
  • #202
  • Jul 2, 2009 3:37pm Jul 2, 2009 3:37pm
Quoting JhonMonsalve
Hi Peter & Baz!

I like your analysis on Geppy, take a look to this pattern:

Attachment

Just curious about that, I'm waiting a break of 156.7xx area, next parade is 155 and 150

Thanks!

Jhon
GBP_JPY Spot.png


Jhon
you guys love Sushi....but looks BEARISH,i would not be suprised by a big fall over next few days

baz
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: GBP_JPY Spot.png Size: 9 KB
  • #203
  • Jul 2, 2009 4:00pm Jul 2, 2009 4:00pm
Quoting baz
GBP_JPY Spot.png


Jhon
you guys love Sushi....but looks BEARISH,i would not be suprised by a big fall over next few days

baz
Yes Sir! I do, as you love the Cable , but nice chart, thanks

Jhon
"THE ALL is Mind; the Universe is Mental--held in the mind of THE ALL."
  • #204
  • Jul 2, 2009 4:49pm Jul 2, 2009 4:49pm
Quoting baz
GBP_JPY Spot.png


Jhon
you guys love Sushi....but looks BEARISH,i would not be suprised by a big fall over next few days

baz

your wish shall be fullfilled within minutes
  • #205
  • Jul 2, 2009 4:52pm Jul 2, 2009 4:52pm
notice kijun sen is gone for geppy, there is no ichimoku support until the cloud, so we might see free fall till 152,5.

If second entry is available, tommorrow kijun sen will be re-tested,
but i doubt, big players like to have profit in short time.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: geppy.gif Size: 20 KB
  • #206
  • Jul 2, 2009 4:58pm Jul 2, 2009 4:58pm
kumo breask outs are a valid trading strategy in ichimoku trading.

But this means not, this strategy is always successfull, see aud/nzd.

Of course notice, that kumo traders put stopp loss oposite of the kumo break, above or below kumo, which is pretty large. So maybe aud/nzd has not failed, until price breaks upper part of kumo.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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  • #207
  • Jul 2, 2009 5:03pm Jul 2, 2009 5:03pm
for aus/usd daily chart kijun sen support is gone.

A full dailoy close below the kijun sen is an entry signal for
kijun sen traders (in this case for a short).

But notice weekly kumo cloud has been tested for 4 weeks, is it no support anymore ?

I see free fall for aud/usd...
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
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Click to Enlarge Name: audusdweekly.gif Size: 21 KB
  • #208
  • Jul 2, 2009 5:08pm Jul 2, 2009 5:08pm
For aud/jpy notice monthly fibo level and kumo cloud for short targets.

Question is, if there will be any retraces, because price 70 % in time, moves in waves, not in straight ways.

Have a nice day/night.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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  • #209
  • Jul 3, 2009 1:25am Jul 3, 2009 1:25am
I plan a serious investment in gbp/aud.

Just have a look at the daily, weekly and monthly ichimoku plus candlestick chart

Call me a bottom catcher
  • #210
  • Jul 3, 2009 7:18am Jul 3, 2009 7:18am
Quoting peaches
I plan a serious investment in gbp/aud.

Just have a look at the daily, weekly and monthly ichimoku plus candlestick chart

Call me a bottom catcher
My broker doesn't have this pair, I see that on SIGTrader.

"THE ALL is Mind; the Universe is Mental--held in the mind of THE ALL."
  • #211
  • Jul 5, 2009 11:03am Jul 5, 2009 11:03am
Hi dear traders.

For GU I wait for kijun sen break and retest of this broken support, turning into resistance. We have seen this in the past.

On the other hand, there is the kumo cloud below, where price will bounce.
So we might see a pretty zig-zag way for GU...
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
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Click to Enlarge Name: gu.gif Size: 18 KB
  • #212
  • Jul 5, 2009 11:11am Jul 5, 2009 11:11am
Quoting JhonMonsalve
My broker doesn't have this pair, I see that on SIGTrader.

So, why invest in GBP/AUD ?

Its a ranging pair for a lot of days.

But look at the weekly and monthly: maybe we are at the begining of building a double bottom here.
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
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  • #213
  • Jul 5, 2009 11:19am Jul 5, 2009 11:19am
But as an ichimoku trader there are only 2 arguments, which count:

The price tried to break kijun sen for 7 days, wasnīt successfull and has broken up above the kumo cloud now. Lets see, if it stays above kumo, or falls back below kijun sen.
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
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  • #214
  • Jul 5, 2009 11:26am Jul 5, 2009 11:26am
worth a notice is the hammer above the kijun sen for eur/lfx.

BUT: ichimoku works good in a trending market, not in a sideway market.

Maybe we will see a start of trend for eur/lfx now.

Also we see a bullish cross, which I would rate medium good, because it happens inside the cloud.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: eurlfx.gif Size: 23 KB
  • #215
  • Jul 5, 2009 11:33am Jul 5, 2009 11:33am
eur/cad daily has broken not only daily cloud, but also weekly cloud and kijun
sen, so this is s pretty strong bullish trend.
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: eurcadday.gif Size: 27 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: eurcadweekly.gif Size: 20 KB
  • #216
  • Jul 5, 2009 1:42pm Jul 5, 2009 1:42pm
Quoting peaches
So, why invest in GBP/AUD ?

Its a ranging pair for a lot of days.

But look at the weekly and monthly: maybe we are at the begining of building a double bottom here.
I'm agree Peter!
Your charts are very clear Sir!
I like EurCad long, I'll be analyzing this pair lately!
Hope you don't mind share some ideas accord to my trading style

Jhon
"THE ALL is Mind; the Universe is Mental--held in the mind of THE ALL."
  • #217
  • Jul 5, 2009 1:53pm Jul 5, 2009 1:53pm
Quoting JhonMonsalve
I'm agree Peter!
Your charts are very clear Sir!
I like EurCad long, I'll be analyzing this pair lately!
Hope you don't mind share some ideas accord to my trading style

Jhon
Hi jhon,

I think you are good in candlestick, and to add macd is all, a trader need (some say volume is all, that counts), but I think you donīt need more indicators. But use of which indicator is individual trading style, so stick, what you feel best.

For me, I stick to candlestick pattern with ichimoku (wich -in basic- are moving averages).
  • #218
  • Jul 5, 2009 2:43pm Jul 5, 2009 2:43pm
I just found a posting from james16 thread which I think about with much value:

http://www.forexfactory.com/showpost...ostcount=13438

Notice number of taken daily trades in ~8 month.

Then count how many trades YOU dear trader place in 8 month.

Less trades plus let the winners run, might be the key to success.
  • #219
  • Edited 11:47am Jul 6, 2009 6:57am | Edited 11:47am
Quoting peaches
Hi jhon,

I think you are good in candlestick, and to add macd is all, a trader need (some say volume is all, that counts), but I think you donīt need more indicators. But use of which indicator is individual trading style, so stick, what you feel best.

For me, I stick to candlestick pattern with ichimoku (wich -in basic- are moving averages).
Hi Peter!

Thanks Sir! I'm reading a lot about candlestick, is pretty nice, like you said, I trade with macd too, for divergences, and that's it

Here's my chart for EurCad:

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: ecad.gif Size: 31 KB


I'm waiting for a pullback to 1.61 - 1.60 area (if we'll be there), take a look to my sto and rsi, it's on the OB zone, and sto crossing down, I'll wait for a lil pullback and then: long
Candlestick pattern on daily is unclear at this moment.

Btw, take a long yesterday on EurGbp, is pretty nice, besides there's a bullish divergence on weekly charts, I hope at least a test of 0.90 , what do you think Peter?

Weekly:

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: egbpw.gif Size: 29 KB


I dunno why, but the pound is quit bearish these week

Take a look to pound index.

TIA!

Jhon
"THE ALL is Mind; the Universe is Mental--held in the mind of THE ALL."
  • #220
  • Jul 6, 2009 7:09am Jul 6, 2009 7:09am
Quoting peaches
I just found a posting from james16 thread which I think about with much value:

http://www.forexfactory.com/showpost...ostcount=13438

Notice number of taken daily trades in ~8 month.

Then count how many trades YOU dear trader place in 8 month.

Less trades plus let the winners run, might be the key to success.
Great post! I've been reading a lil bit of James thread, stunning, I'm learning a lot there.
"THE ALL is Mind; the Universe is Mental--held in the mind of THE ALL."
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