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AUD/USD

  • #1,501
  • Edited Jun 30, 2009 12:13am Jun 29, 2009 10:11pm | Edited Jun 30, 2009 12:13am
hi all!

as expected, AUD managed to overcome 0,81 again, though the upside seems quite limited from here

first short at 0,8113, with area 0,8120 / 30 that should hold for now

in case of new strenght, would increase my short position at 0,8150 - 60 and more at 0,8180

hi ben, during month ends volatility increases, trend is not clear so we must be faster than usual and catch ups and downs chances
I still see these moves as an anticipation of a trend reversal, but let's watch and trade with less risk as possible
  • #1,502
  • Jun 30, 2009 5:28am Jun 30, 2009 5:28am
Well it looks a bit crook where is it going, I am in fron t of the posse but they are closing. I think it is going to break up through .8250 ???
  • #1,503
  • Jun 30, 2009 5:35am Jun 30, 2009 5:35am
Quoting 95ford
Well it looks a bit crook where is it going, I am in fron t of the posse but they are closing. I think it is going to break up through .8250 ???
hi mate

I don't think so
But that's just my impression

I wait for a new spike to short again.
0,8150 - 0,818 could be a decent entry point.
Should overcome 0,82 I will short again, but as we said in the last days RBA is selling the strenght, and I think is a wise idea to follow them
  • #1,504
  • Jun 30, 2009 10:16am Jun 30, 2009 10:16am
http://www.blackswantrading.com/file...sccc063009.pdf
  • #1,505
  • Jun 30, 2009 10:17am Jun 30, 2009 10:17am
im still short by the way
  • #1,506
  • Jun 30, 2009 6:00pm Jun 30, 2009 6:00pm
Support Resistance Levels AUD

0,8097 - 0,8128 - 0,818 - 0,824 - 0,828

0,8071

0,8031 - 0,7966 - 0,7935 - 0,7914 - 0,7872

RSI divergence


.
  • #1,507
  • Jun 30, 2009 11:35pm Jun 30, 2009 11:35pm
my uptrend tl comes in around 8040, which is clearly bounced. i am waiting for it to break. i'm currently long gbp/aud, because i see this pair at a low, in which i expect it to bounce many pips. i really do not think the 8040 will hold, and see it falling. i just wish that forex wouldn't make me wait so long. i have the same opinion of the RBA that AUD is over priced. let's just see if the market agrees too.
  • #1,508
  • Jun 30, 2009 11:46pm Jun 30, 2009 11:46pm
Quoting Clouds
my uptrend tl comes in around 8040, which is clearly bounced. i am waiting for it to break. i'm currently long gbp/aud, because i see this pair at a low, in which i expect it to bounce many pips. i really do not think the 8040 will hold, and see it falling. i just wish that forex wouldn't make me wait so long. i have the same opinion of the RBA that AUD is over priced. let's just see if the market agrees too.
well i hope so as my short limit @ 0.8150 was taken and still on, i'll be buying eur/usd to locked in the gain and .... i'll be waiting for eur/aud to rise to short it
  • #1,509
  • Jun 30, 2009 11:50pm Jun 30, 2009 11:50pm
Quoting ben10
well i hope so as my short limit @ 0.8150 was taken and still on, i'll be buying eur/usd to locked in the gain and .... i'll be waiting for eur/aud to rise to short it
are u concerned at all that eur/aud just bounced off a monthly tl
  • #1,510
  • Jun 30, 2009 11:58pm Jun 30, 2009 11:58pm
Quoting Clouds
are u concerned at all that eur/aud just bounced off a monthly tl
whats is your better price to long eur/aud? 1.7200 - 1.6200?
  • #1,511
  • Jul 1, 2009 12:10am Jul 1, 2009 12:10am
Quoting ben10
whats is your better price to long eur/aud? 1.7200 - 1.6200?
well, the lowest price. ) but i dont trade that pair, here is monthly tl i was referring too though. at a turning point is usually most volatile, so if maybe better way until an established uptrend.
Attached Image
  • #1,512
  • Jul 1, 2009 9:03am Jul 1, 2009 9:03am
Quoting Clouds
well, the lowest price. ) but i dont trade that pair, here is monthly tl i was referring too though. at a turning point is usually most volatile, so if maybe better way until an established uptrend.
Attachment
Hi Clouds ,

your chart is an established uptrend (red line),if i enter long above the last candle it might be too late!
  • #1,513
  • Jul 1, 2009 5:42pm Jul 1, 2009 5:42pm
Support Resistance Levels 2 July 2009

0,8128 - 0,818 - 0,824 - 0,828 - 0,833

0,8097

0,8071 - 0,8031 - 0,7966 - 0,7935 - 0,7914


Diamond pattern
  • #1,514
  • Jul 1, 2009 9:04pm Jul 1, 2009 9:04pm
Quoting errich fx
Support Resistance Levels 2 July 2009

0,8128 - 0,818 - 0,824 - 0,828 - 0,833

0,8097

0,8071 - 0,8031 - 0,7966 - 0,7935 - 0,7914


Diamond pattern
zigzag for few weeks now, do think aud/usd will break/explode soon?
  • #1,515
  • Edited 11:29pm Jul 1, 2009 10:06pm | Edited 11:29pm
Quoting ben10
zigzag for few weeks now, do think aud/usd will break/explode soon?
hi ben,

I am waiting for 0,81X maybe 0,82 to short

if you are short already, just be patient, I think the reversal will be there as new month starts...

meanwhile I am trying a long on the 0,8052 level with a stop below today's low at 0,804
wish to see a new upward spike before a short
  • #1,516
  • Jul 1, 2009 11:30pm Jul 1, 2009 11:30pm
Quoting fammira
hi ben,

I am waiting for 0,81X maybe 0,82 to short

if you are short already, just be patient, I think the reversal will be there as new month starts...

meanwhile I am trying a long on the 0,8052 level with a stop below today's low at 0,8045
wish to see a new upward spike before a short
spot on Fammira the aud/usd established flag formation and day reversal , i pray to the lady markets for fat pipping.

my limit short still standing and up to 0.8300, your long should be ok (fast finger) too.

http://img27.picoodle.com/img/img27/...dm_4027db2.png

good trading to you!
  • #1,517
  • Edited 4:32am Jul 2, 2009 1:31am | Edited 4:32am
Quoting ben10
spot on Fammira the aud/usd established flag formation and day reversal , i pray to the lady markets for fat pipping.

my limit short still standing and up to 0.8300, your long should be ok (fast finger) too.

http://img27.picoodle.com/img/img27/...dm_4027db2.png

good trading to you!
cheers mate, agree with your view

I am holding on, did not use a stop today cause due to data release I suspect we will se volatility...
  • #1,518
  • Jul 2, 2009 8:33am Jul 2, 2009 8:33am
the lady markets granted my prayer , move stop loss below the short position and ride ....
  • #1,519
  • Jul 2, 2009 11:14pm Jul 2, 2009 11:14pm
down
  • #1,520
  • Jul 3, 2009 3:24am Jul 3, 2009 3:24am
Quoting ben10
the lady markets granted my prayer , move stop loss below the short position and ride ....
well done mate, me I had one of my worst trades ever, waiting to recover hope scarves won't be too big

that's when one wants too much, posting about a reversal coming and being long must not be a very clever move
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