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Central Banks Watch

  • #41
  • Oct 4, 2005 7:41am Oct 4, 2005 7:41am
Quoting merlin
ahh yes! you know im loving this iso

she is breaking now, i feel gravity pulling hard now!

when i entered in august, this is where i thought the market was. i was 60 days too early.

i bet pimco aint long bonds no more
your call last month to jump in looks better every day...

maybe i should of ignored Rob B's advice to test first and just test "expensively" instead!!!!!!

oh well thats "discipline" for ya!!!!!!!
  • #42
  • Oct 7, 2005 5:25pm Oct 7, 2005 5:25pm
Quoting Isotonic
your call last month to jump in looks better every day...

maybe i should of ignored Rob B's advice to test first and just test "expensively" instead!!!!!!

oh well thats "discipline" for ya!!!!!!!
LOL!

well looking at today, bonds broke the support, but then rebounded. we are essentially at the same spot we were a week ago.

hey man it looks like we a little ahead of ourselves on that russell 2k discussion. did you see what happened this week? the stock markets just kept diving lower and lower, and they werent going slow! gosh, i thought we were in for another black friday today.
Relax and be happy.
  • #43
  • Oct 21, 2005 7:20pm Oct 21, 2005 7:20pm
this situation is getting kind of shady iso. whats up with the rally today? could it be that bonds bottomed on wednesday? technically speaking, bonds could drop a hellofa lot more, but fundamentally speaking, HOW MUCH WORSE CAN IT GET? shit man, every day you have some fed president shooting off about inflation, CPI around the world is soring bigtime, yet bonds drop in little teenie tiny increments. i just dont get it. either we are in for one heck of a selloff or the bear market is over. i hope its the former. i need confirmation by the end of the month. if i dont get that, im out of this damn position. how long have i been in now? 3 years or something
Relax and be happy.
  • #44
  • Oct 25, 2005 5:08pm Oct 25, 2005 5:08pm
just paying my respect to the greatest fed chairman we will ever have. im sad and happy at the same time. sad to see the old man go, happy for him that he has had such an incredible life. what an incredibly great man he is, i honestly dont think the US would be even close to as strong as we are today if he had not been chairman. just knowing he is holding the purse strings always gave me a warm sense of comfort.
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Relax and be happy.
  • #45
  • Oct 25, 2005 6:22pm Oct 25, 2005 6:22pm
Gotta admit, when he talked, a poopload of people listened.
Because helping each other is a good thing.
  • #46
  • Oct 25, 2005 6:41pm Oct 25, 2005 6:41pm
And never understood a word he said...

Man had a sense of humor.
  • #47
  • Oct 25, 2005 6:50pm Oct 25, 2005 6:50pm
Quoting SouthernFried
And never understood a word he said...

Man had a sense of humor.
The CHARTS understood him; BEEP BEEP ZIP TANG!!
(anyone care to answer that trivia?)
Because helping each other is a good thing.
  • #48
  • Oct 27, 2005 11:49am Oct 27, 2005 11:49am
The man was defenitly a genius...I liked his decisions and how he used to wisely deal with almost all aspects of a complex economy like the US one. Not only dealing with the US economy, he also knew that almost all other economies are being affected in a way or another by his decisions, that's why I consider him one of the wisest

Too bad he is retiring, but that's how the world actually goes. Hope that Bernanke will be as wise as Greenspan, or even wiser, or is this just a dream???

Thanks,

Nader
  • #49
  • Oct 27, 2005 1:13pm Oct 27, 2005 1:13pm
Quoting ElectricSavant
...he just got married last year too!
yeah and his wife is very cute. shes one of the reporters on CNN. i forget her name...
Relax and be happy.
  • #50
  • Oct 27, 2005 1:16pm Oct 27, 2005 1:16pm
Quoting narafa
Hope that Bernanke will be as wise as Greenspan
i like bernanke, but only time will tell how good he will be. i just ordered his books from amazon, i figure i should get to know the new fed chairman as it could only help with trading decisions. anyone who feels the same may want to consider these....

http://www.amazon.com/exec/obidos/tg...books&n=507846

http://www.amazon.com/exec/obidos/tg...books&n=507846

http://www.amazon.com/exec/obidos/tg...books&n=507846
Relax and be happy.
  • #51
  • Oct 27, 2005 1:18pm Oct 27, 2005 1:18pm
Quoting merlin
i like bernanke, but only time will tell how good he will be. i just ordered his books from amazon, i figure i should get to know the new fed chairman as it could only help with trading decisions. anyone who feels the same may want to consider these....

http://www.amazon.com/exec/obidos/tg...books&n=507846

http://www.amazon.com/exec/obidos/tg...books&n=507846

http://www.amazon.com/exec/obidos/tg...books&n=507846
Oh Merlin, you didn't waste anytime, did you?? lol

Thanks,

Nader
  • #52
  • Oct 27, 2005 1:24pm Oct 27, 2005 1:24pm
Looks like his books are grabbing attention and popularity as Amazon says for 2 out of the 3 books, "Usually ships in 8-10 days".

Thanks,

Nader
  • #53
  • Oct 27, 2005 1:29pm Oct 27, 2005 1:29pm
Quoting narafa
Oh Merlin, you didn't waste anytime, did you?? lol

Thanks,

Nader
well i always felt that other traders knew greenspan better than me. so when i heard he was resigning this year, i pledged to get to know the new chairman as well as anyone. and you can learn A LOT about how someone thinks by reading their book. i was actually very excited when they announced bernanke because i knew he had written quite a few books, him being from the academic world and all.
Relax and be happy.
  • #54
  • Oct 28, 2005 5:52pm Oct 28, 2005 5:52pm
Quote of the Week ...

“The U.S. government has a technology, called a printing press (or, today, its electronic equivalent), that allows it to produce as many U.S. dollars as it wishes at essentially no cost. By increasing the number of U.S. dollars in circulation, or even by credibly threatening to do so, the U.S. government can also reduce the value of a dollar in terms of goods and services, which is equivalent to raising the prices in dollars of those goods and services. We conclude that, under a paper-money system, a determined government can always generate higher spending and hence positive inflation. ”
 - BEN BERNANKE, 11-21-02, Fed Chairman Elect (as of 2/1/2006)

I receive a weekly Gold and precious metals newsletter and as stated, this is the quote of the week. If the printing presses start up, does that mean that, for instance the the USD would drop in value in comparison to the EUR . And what would happen if both Europe and the US were to startup the printing presses at the same time.
And what does the term "positive inflation" mean. Is this what you meant Merlin when you mentioned in your Journal thread about - (my wording here-) a controlled bursting of the housing bubble.

Thank You
In trading, there is no bullshit. You either make money or you don't.
  • #55
  • Oct 31, 2005 3:04pm Oct 31, 2005 3:04pm
Well I think the economy is fairly steady even after the pretty sharp Oct sell off in stocks. I think Merlin said inflation is on the rise a little. I have no experience of the US Housing market so I'm guessing it will remain flat (does anybody read the US monthly housing reports?). Bonds are still slippin'. And higher rates should boost the dollar. But since this next move is so well expected I would expect it to be all discounted anyway - so perhaps a muted reaction?

What are the "proper" economists saying anyway?

Between my charts and Merlin's matrix...who cares!?!
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  • #56
  • Nov 2, 2005 2:25pm Nov 2, 2005 2:25pm
Quoting Isotonic
Between my charts and Merlin's matrix...who cares!?!
haha! yeah man we are pretty spot on!

the only "matrix prediction" that didnt come true is the heavy dollar strength. however, dollar has been gaining strength over the past month, so there was not much more it could go up when the actual 4.0% rate hike came out.
Relax and be happy.
  • #57
  • Nov 18, 2005 8:46am Nov 18, 2005 8:46am
Why i don't see on nobody calendar of ecb president speaking?
If I Go Broke Trying Then I Will die happy.
  • #58
  • Nov 18, 2005 9:17am Nov 18, 2005 9:17am
Quoting Moe
Why i don't see on nobody calendar of ecb president speaking?
It was for all all intents and purposes unscheduled...
  • #59
  • Nov 18, 2005 11:01am Nov 18, 2005 11:01am
Quoting Beachie41
It was for all all intents and purposes unscheduled...
Oh ya, and the mess and insane end of week moves on my chart here was intended to be unsceduled too


Thanks,

Nader
  • #60
  • Nov 18, 2005 1:52pm Nov 18, 2005 1:52pm
Quoting narafa
Oh ya, and the mess and insane end of week moves on my chart here was intended to be unsceduled too


Thanks,

Nader
They did a hell of a job causing me a whole lot money today.
If I Go Broke Trying Then I Will die happy.
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