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Auslanco - GBP/JPY and GBP/USD (newstrade)

  • #171,501
  • Apr 18, 2009 9:42am Apr 18, 2009 9:42am
Quoting OrionsWay
Naaa, not crazy, it will rally sunday monday and sell off the rest of week into the 24th and will be bought up again prolly touching 141 but it will be a measured selll off as it has been for many days now
you got it bro...no one is expecting a steady shoot..what i see is we either open low to 140/break this range.slide down some 400-600pips..then get in to a 300pips pullback/retracement,we go into a short range of abut 250-300pips and head down again..will post as it comes...
Just my 2cent..
Imanuel Parsifal
  • #171,502
  • Apr 18, 2009 9:42am Apr 18, 2009 9:42am
Quoting msniper
guys take a look at the prices during weekend

GJ price is 140.87 !!! thats insane

i dunno if those sites give the correct information any idea

http://quotes.ino.com/chart/?s=FOREX_GBPJPY&v=i

http://www.forex-markets.com/quotes.htm

Bro, thank you for pointing on this but this is what is happening.
Ino.com is a very good company and I dont have any informations where they are getting the data feed from but when I compare the prices looks tjhat they are tenfore data driven, as the Forex-market gets the data from Tenfore.com;
Tenfore is a data provider connected and mostly EU based (something simillar as eSIgnal) recently Bought by Morning Star [ http://corporate.morningstar.com/US/...&filter=PR4345 ]. the site tenfore.com is down, as they are updating the new one.

Little bit more information about tenfore you can find here: [the only data FEED provider which is interconnected with banks and weekend orders]

http://www.mistnet.net/tenfore.asp

=====================================================
BUT, something else is GOIN ON HERE..
=====================================================

GBPJPY has a drop of 500 pips
EURJPY has a drop of 500 pips
CHFJPJ has a drop of 400 pips => all Eu crosses with JEN has a very big drop overnight [weekend].. something I personaly havent seen..

EURUSD has a drop of 500pips [1.254 current price]
AUDJPY has a drop of 40pips

GBPUSD ... none..

====================================================

the other think is when you look at the chart from http://www.forex-markets.com/quotes.htm with Tenfore data feed, and pay attention on last colomn [contributors] -> means that those informations are taken from some over weekend orders or transfers form those Banks [MRIT, DRES, EUAM].. very unusual, but seams very REAL.

so if this is true, we are going to have a big Mess on monday Sydney opening.. LOL

Some charts:
Attached Images
  • #171,503
  • Apr 18, 2009 9:49am Apr 18, 2009 9:49am
2 charts only to compare, EU and GU.

pay attention on activities, GU has no activity on saturday, but EU has Saturday activity with 500p drop..
Attached Images
  • #171,504
  • Apr 18, 2009 9:55am Apr 18, 2009 9:55am
Quoting Piters
Bro, thank you for pointing on this but this is what is happening. Ino.com is a very good company and I dont have any informations where they are getting the data feed from, as the Forex-market gets the data from Tenfore.com; Tenfore is a data provider connected and mostly EU based (something simillar as eSIgnal) recently Bought by Morning Star [ http://corporate.morningstar.com/US/...&filter=PR4345 ]. the site tenfore.com is down, as they are updating the new one.

Little bit more information about tenfore...
was busy analysing those hot news i was posting around in threads across FF and here are some extract that made enter a last minute sell b/4 closing of trade yesterday..Canada Afternoon: C$ Ends Lower On Continued Profit Taking,MARKET TALK: Fed Buys Just $1.5B Of Inflation-Linked Tsys,my major guess:1) continues profit taking in the euro zone and americas,2) ECB joins the FEDS in excessive money printing campaign..if this be the case the new week opening is going to have one of the most volatile fluctuating sessions of all time..for this reason and more am going to stay awake till trading opens 2mmorrow..just my 2cent..
Imanuel Parsifal
  • #171,505
  • Edited 10:19am Apr 18, 2009 9:59am | Edited 10:19am
some links to keep an Eye on:
[GBPJPY] http://quotes.ino.com/chart/?s=FOREX_GBPJPY&v=i
[EURJPY] http://quotes.ino.com/chart/?s=FOREX_EURJPY&v=i
[CHFJPY] http://quotes.ino.com/chart/?s=FOREX_CHFJPY&v=i
[AUDJPY] http://quotes.ino.com/chart/?s=FOREX_AUDJPY&v=i
[USDJPY] http://quotes.ino.com/chart/?s=FOREX_USDJPY&v=i
[EURUSD] http://quotes.ino.com/chart/?s=FOREX_EURUSD&v=i
[GBPUSD] http://quotes.ino.com/chart/?s=FOREX_GBPUSD&v=i
[GBPAUD] http://quotes.ino.com/chart/?s=FOREX_gbpaud&v=i

[only EU pairs are affected, cadjpy, usdjpy, gbpusd are not]
  • #171,506
  • Apr 18, 2009 10:07am Apr 18, 2009 10:07am
2009.04.17 14:35:39India Forex Reserves $252.977B On Apr 10; Down $2.183B On Wk
2009.04.17 14:38:28 Fed's Fisher: Treasurys, Dollar Have Benefited From Fed Actions
2009.04.17 15:04:12 MARKET TALK: Euro Down On ECB's Trichet, Uncertainty
2009.04.17 15:07:31 =UPDATE: Asian Shares End Mostly Higher; Tech Stocks Surge
2009.04.17 15:30:51MARKET TALK: Will Treasury Yields Soon Be Moving Higher?
2009.04.17 15:29:38 2nd UPDATE: SNB To Intervene Decisively In FX Mkt If Need Be..they shall have intervened....more
Imanuel Parsifal
  • #171,507
  • Apr 18, 2009 10:16am Apr 18, 2009 10:16am
Quoting GodfreyH
... and here's a multiple time frame gann , if anyone's interested. remember though, that...
thanks GodfreyH i was waiting for something like that
  • #171,508
  • Apr 18, 2009 10:22am Apr 18, 2009 10:22am
no... not yet. just a little bit more time, to lure in more suckers.
by the way, COT reports look weird: large guys are positioning for shorting the buck and the yen... hm.

Quoting Piters
or he Signaled his buddies in Wall Street, that Short Sell is ON now for next FEW WEEKS...

today, we had 2 signals Generated:

BEN,

Trichett

Enjoy your Shorts from now Guys...
Nihil Sine Deo.
  • #171,509
  • Apr 18, 2009 10:23am Apr 18, 2009 10:23am
lets see how she plays out tommre..bye all and see u 2mmrw
Imanuel Parsifal
  • #171,510
  • Apr 18, 2009 10:25am Apr 18, 2009 10:25am
Quoting Scrat
no... not yet. just a little bit more time, to lure in more suckers.
by the way, COT reports look weird: large guys are positioning for shorting the buck and the yen... hm.

if commercials are short $ yen this is a hedge for its true nature me thinks
"Millionaires don't use astrology, billionaires do"
  • #171,511
  • Apr 18, 2009 10:31am Apr 18, 2009 10:31am
take a look here:
http://www.forexfactory.com/news.php?do=news&id=164184
i was talking about large traders, not commercials.

Quoting OrionsWay
if commercials are short $ yen this is a hedge for its true nature me thinks
Nihil Sine Deo.
  • #171,512
  • Apr 18, 2009 10:36am Apr 18, 2009 10:36am
The information contained in INO Quotes and all Chart pages is compiled for the convenience of site visitors and is furnished on a Exchange delayed basis by DTN, Nanex, and Tenfore ("Quote Providers").
The Exchange, INO and Quote Providers furnish quotes delayed at least 20 minutes without responsibility for accuracy and is accepted by the site visitor on the condition that transmission or omissions shall not be made the basis for any claim, demand or cause for action. The information and data was obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but we do not guarantee its accuracy. Neither the information, nor any opinion expressed, constitutes a solicitation of the purchase or sale of any futures or options..

http://quotes.ino.com/exchanges/?e=FOREX
  • #171,513
  • Apr 18, 2009 10:37am Apr 18, 2009 10:37am
just an example for euro. looks to me like overall sentiment has flipped already (look at the bottom of the picture, red, green and blue lines)... volume is decreasing, while price is SUPPOSEDLY heading towards 1.2860 support. i will go long at the first sign of an upward breakout.

Quoting OrionsWay
if commercials are short $ yen this is a hedge for its true nature me thinks
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: euro_globex.png Size: 48 KB
Nihil Sine Deo.
  • #171,514
  • Apr 18, 2009 10:41am Apr 18, 2009 10:41am
Quoting Scrat
take a look here:
http://www.forexfactory.com/news.php?do=news&id=164184
i was talking about large traders, not commercials.

nice page can we see last weeks report as well?
"Millionaires don't use astrology, billionaires do"
  • #171,515
  • Apr 18, 2009 10:43am Apr 18, 2009 10:43am
We Shall Have Sell Rally Next Week.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: ew.gif Size: 20 KB
MY OPINION NOT FINANCIAL ADVISE
  • #171,516
  • Apr 18, 2009 10:44am Apr 18, 2009 10:44am
Quoting Scrat
just an example for euro. looks to me like overall sentiment has flipped already (look at the bottom of the picture, red, green and blue lines)... volume is decreasing, while price is SUPPOSEDLY heading towards 1.2860 support. i will go long at the first sign of an upward breakout.

YES indeed my eyes are seeking as well, i think small dip more yet

i atually thought we had it friday but NOPE maybe monday tuesday
"Millionaires don't use astrology, billionaires do"
  • #171,517
  • Apr 18, 2009 10:44am Apr 18, 2009 10:44am
Quoting Scrat
no... not yet. just a little bit more time, to lure in more suckers.
by the way, COT reports look weird: large guys are positioning for shorting the buck and the yen... hm.
Isn't it commercial traders that we need to pay attention to?
  • #171,518
  • Apr 18, 2009 10:44am Apr 18, 2009 10:44am
Quoting Piters
2 charts only to compare, EU and GU.

pay attention on activities, GU has no activity on saturday, but EU has Saturday activity with 500p drop..
Could it be the GM news?
  • #171,519
  • Apr 18, 2009 10:59am Apr 18, 2009 10:59am
Quoting mktjong
Could it be the GM news?
Trichet last speach in TOkyo yesterday.. me think..after market close, it is like some verbal intervention.. check FF calendar bro..

That is the second signal he is giving last few days!
  • #171,520
  • Apr 18, 2009 11:01am Apr 18, 2009 11:01am
Quoting sycho
i would not be surprised if we deep tha low...i was expecting a daily move of about 1000pips in a particular but not shall which day it would be...am still holding on to my old targets: 1st 130, 2nd 118...and recently 3rd 92..yeah call me crazy...
it will not get anywhere near those levels, there was already talk of japan intervening recently. the main reason it has struggled over the last 2 weeks is repatriation flows from big jap companies taking money home for the year end, and on friday a lot of japanese eur bonds that expired and were not renewed, pushing eurjpy down and hepling gbp to go with it. I expect it to go back UP next week, not down

i think a price feed is broken, its not possible ot have all europe pairs affected by 600 pips and the US pairs not move at all from it, if gj and ej are going to drop 600 pips then UJ *WILL* also drop by a good amount and thse charts are not showing it.
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