Principles of market movements

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On Tuesday at the beginning of trading session the market formed max volume of the day till 6:30 on the price 1,367:

http://savepic.ru/391161.png

As treand is gaining, that pushed market higher again.

Till 8:00 max volume of the day was made on the price 1, 3675:


http://savepic.ru/377849.png

Till 10 o`clock max volume of the day was transferred to the price 1,37:

http://savepic.ru/381945.png

Both volumes were "worked off" with rebound from these levels and intraday trades on "buy".That was acknowledgement that market will gain:

http://savepic.ru/331760.png


Each carrying over of maximal volume, and each rebound from these levels, was acknowledgement that market will gain.

Awesome volume analysis Alex.

We appreciate your time posting your charts.

I was lucky enough to catch a 200 pip ride on EURUSD today.

Carl

Good to youThanks.I`ll show today some of my trades and my analysis.

EUA
pipsing 17.12
Some of today`s trades on euro futures.Today is quite a volatile day.On tick charts you see max volumes in 7 minutes interval.
Rules of pipsing are simple: buy on lows and sell on hights, I look for big positions in that places, wait till market rebounces from that price
and enter my own position.There must be no price drifting of important levels.

http://savepic.ru/363274.png

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S&P 500 e-mini futures
pipsing 17.12

http://savepic.ru/366349.png

Do you prefer to use the 10 minute chart most of the time?

Only for pipsing.Short time period chart and max volumes for such periods.It`s very good way to trade euro.
But I always consider max volume accumulation of previous day, week, of contract.That helps me to understand trend and minimise risks.

s&p
current situation.
Max volume of yesterday 62914 lots on the price 903.Really a lot.Max volume of the week on the price 909.In this "corridor" my advice- to do nothing.Waiting till they make here large volume of the contract and than will be strong movement.

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EUA
fresh trade on pipsing

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GC
Gold trend is still gaining.Max volume of yesterday is 868, and this is also one of the maximal volumes of current week.

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Going under 868 means possible reverse-if it will be confirmed by intraday trade.We will pay attention to today`s Chicago mood

For people interested in volumes: free trial access to software with volume data.
more information: [email protected]

Today`s shot on s&p

http://savepic.ru/363286.png

system longterm trade.reasons why from there will be tomorrow.

Yesterday analysis on s&p 500.
Wednesday closed session with high volumes in a rage 903-909.Tuesday formed max volumes in a range 903-909.Thursday: we have large volumes formed on 903-909 and there must be strong movement of the market.Looking for intraday enter for position trade.In "corridor" 903-909 we just sit and watch.Chicago formed max volume of the day on 904 and max volume of an hour on 907.25.Max volume of the contract 903-904.Under 903 sell and above 907-909 - buy.
Happened next- nice intraday trade "sell" and position sell which pulled the marked to max volume of Tuesday.There I closed half of my position and now hold other half.S/l to the opening price.

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19.12 s&p 500 e-mini analysis
Yesterday was the same trade as on Thursday.About 8 a.m. (Chicago time) market started to gain on news Bush administration will save automobile industry.Large volume accumulated from 8 to 9 pushed the market higher up to the price with max volume of the contract 903.Big positions on 903 are sell orders and market declined from it on Thursday.Above that level trend will be reversed and we will be in a "buy zone".On friday 903 was "worked off"-market tested that price, made large volumes there(from 8 to 9 a.m.), and declined again.Nice trade on "sell again".

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EUR
euro futures analysis 18.12
Sell from maximal volumes of the day.
At the "top" market formed max volumes till 7:00 a.m. on such prices:
(volume counter)

http://savepic.ru/332593.png

From 7:00 to 8:00 a.m. market makes max volume of an hour below these prices- on 1,4591



Than we observe "working off" of the bottom level 1,4610 that says us that market will decline.No support levels below.Nice opportunity to put sell-stop order under max volume of hour 7-8:00:

http://savepic.ru/340788.png

Clothing position only when maximal volume, that can reverse the market, will be formed.On the price 1,426 market makes new max volume of the week.Close position.

http://savepic.ru/377648.png

EUA
One more time about pipsing.Some people are making mistakes so I make it clear.
On the first picture we see how in the market appeared position of 96 lots.Than, price with 96 lots, must be tested, market have to "touch" it and rebound.


Market gained and than, above appeared 100 lots, that means that "sell" is possible, but there was no rebound from that price.Later market went above that price, came back, touched it and gained.That is a good trade, we should buy there.

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http://savepic.ru/343862.png

Some explanations.
When I say max volume must be "worked off" I mean such things:

http://savepic.ru/373672.png

http://savepic.ru/356264.png

Prices with max volumes should be touched and than market "rebounds" from them.Market always confirms importance of large volumes. In shape of "rebound" from the prices with maximal volumes.Like you see on a pictures.That`s what I call "worked off".

GC
Next week analysis.
During this week(15-19.12) market has formed maximal volumes on such prices:

(Volume counter)

http://savepic.ru/331568.png

Key days of the week on Gold market are Thursday and Friday.They formed max volumes on such prices:

(Volume counter)

http://savepic.ru/391987.png

We put this prices on the chart, showing all week (15-19.12):

http://savepic.ru/359233.png

We see a "corridor" of prices with max volumes.Above that "corridor" we will be looking for a position "buy" because if the market will be above that volumes, that means- such a big volume is mostly big positions on "buy", and big traders are pushing it much higher, we will be looking for position "buy", as trend will be gaining.
And absolutely opposite situation will be if the market will go under that "corridor"- declining trend, we look where to sell.
That I call "buy zone" and "sell zone".On Monday usually market gives good trades from max volume of the week and THU+FRI volumes.

EUA analysis
Last(15-19.12) week began trading above max volume of the contract (1,335) and was gaining all week till Thursday.During last week the market formed max volume of the contract on the price 1,4025 and max volume of week(15-19.12) is on the price 1,4028.
Current week opened below max volume of the contract and max volume of previous week.Now the market is in a "sell zone", where we are looking for intraday positions to sell.
On the chart you can see all max volumes of the days from previous week and max volumes of the contract.
1.Monday
2.Tuesday
3.Wednesday
4.Thursday
5.Friday
6.Contract and week.

First short sell- sell from max volume of the contract to max volume of Friday.Why?Because market moves from one large volume to another.Market may make some big volume on 1,39 and gain back to max volume of the contract.If market will go under max volume of Friday, than its going to max volume of Monday and Tuesday.If they will go under max volumes of Monday and Tuesday, than our positions will be holded to old price of the contract 1,335.
Other variant: if market will gain and make volume above price with max volume of the contract, our possible "buy" positions will be hold to max volume of the Thursday.

http://savepic.ru/388951.png

All zones of sales and purchases are specified. Further market movements will depend on a formation of new volumes.

S&P
Market is now is "sale zone" because it opened below max volume of contract and last week(903).
Today market opened lower max vol of Friday and on europe session market tested that price 887.But open sell position only when market goes below 881.25, comes back and rebounds from 881.25.That price is a resistance and we should sell below that.If the sale will be - market will go to max volume of monday-868.75
If Chicago session makes volume on 887(max volume of Friday) and gains from it the market may probably come back to 903(max volume of contract), but its risky, because trend is declining.
Christmas holidays began and because of that on the market are low volumes.

1.Monday
2.Tuesday
3.Wednesday
4.Thursday
5.Friday
6.Contract and previous week

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