Principles of market movements | Page 3 | Forex Factory

Options

Go to
Permalinks
Print Thread

Similar Threads

Supply and demand zones and EW principles 1 reply

principles of a profitable trade 15 replies

The three principles: PA, S/R and balance 48 replies

Naked Trading Principles 7 replies

The three market movements: 3 replies

Attachments: Principles of market movements
Exit Attachments

Principles of market movements

  • #41
  • Dec 15, 2008 7:15am Dec 15, 2008 7:15am
thanks alex and lubo for reply

regards lodol
  • #42
  • Dec 15, 2008 8:01am Dec 15, 2008 8:01am
Quoting ayour2a
Hello Alex,
it would do us lots of help if u post chart on the pairs u trade here so we could watch out for those levels too as we do not have such indicator u use.what do u guys feel?Just a brotherly request.Thanks.

Ayour2a
I plan to post here analysis on euro, s&p and gold futures.Realtime- ok, such levels that I posted on pipsing.But only when I have some free time- understand me- I trade too
skype: aleksey_trader
  • #43
  • Dec 15, 2008 8:02am Dec 15, 2008 8:02am
hi alex

what you mean with

"....large quotations or smth.."?

thanks for explanation
  • #44
  • Dec 15, 2008 8:17am Dec 15, 2008 8:17am
Quoting lodol2
hi alex

what you mean with

"....large quotations or smth.."?

thanks for explanation
I ment If u dont see the volumes its hard.But on the simple chart u may pay ur attention to the places where the market stayed for making some volume and u will see that from that prices there will be system movements.

http://savepic.ru/350172.jpg


http://savepic.ru/338908.jpg
skype: aleksey_trader
  • #45
  • Dec 15, 2008 9:45am Dec 15, 2008 9:45am
GC
Gold mostly trades positionally, with long positions made from max week volumes and prices with max volumes per contract.
Lets look at situation that happened last week:

From 24.11.08 to 28.11.08 market formed large volume.Max volumes are at the prices 814 and 815 and 816:

http://savepic.ru/389073.jpg

Red week(24-28.11) forms big volume on prices 814/815/816:

http://savepic.ru/336843.jpg

After market declined green week(1-5.12) made max volume on prices 770 and 772:

http://savepic.ru/340939.jpg

Next week- white(started 8.12): on Monday forming of volume in the same price range-must be a strong movement.Tuesday the market gave perfect oppotunity to buy.Non-risk system deal.T/p on max volumes of red week s/l below green levels.Such positions are usually held untill new max volumes that can reverse the trend are made.
skype: aleksey_trader
  • #46
  • Dec 15, 2008 1:05pm Dec 15, 2008 1:05pm
GC
Today Gold gained from max volumes made on the prices 829/828/827/823 during Thursday and Friday.
Under that prices we might look for intraday sell, above- buy.

http://savepic.ru/351189.png


http://savepic.ru/342997.png

Today`s max volume 840.We will see where the market will close and where will be max volumes to make some conclusions.But Monday often gives nice trades from max volumes of previous days.
skype: aleksey_trader
  • #47
  • Dec 15, 2008 2:40pm Dec 15, 2008 2:40pm
Pipsing.s&p
Today was quite an interesting day.First of all-information about prices with large volumes in real-time will be posted later-I am intraday trader too
Lets begin...Today at 09:01:01 someone opened big position of 1006 and 607 lots on the price 872,50 .This is a tick volume that shows us real deals on the market.That must be an insider and we shoud join him
Second "Big Man" appeared at 09:23:02.That was 565 lots.
From 9:00 to 10:00 there was few opportunities to sell.

http://savepic.ru/345045.jpg


On this chart you see how the market reacts to the prices where big positions are.I put there limit orders.

http://savepic.ru/354263.jpg
skype: aleksey_trader
  • #48
  • Dec 15, 2008 3:03pm Dec 15, 2008 3:03pm
Quoting Alex_S
Pipsing.s&p
Today was quite an interesting day.First of all-information about prices with large volumes in real-time will be posted later-I am intraday trader too
Lets begin...Today at 09:01:01 someone opened...
can u pls post for EURUSD?
  • #49
  • Dec 16, 2008 4:35am Dec 16, 2008 4:35am
hi alex thanks for clearing this

and how long such area are valid signals
for instance : you have one area (max volume) and if its touched one time then you drop it or will this area stay valid also for later touchings?

lodol
  • #50
  • Dec 16, 2008 5:02am Dec 16, 2008 5:02am
Quoting lodol2
hi alex thanks for clearing this

and how long such area are valid signals
for instance : you have one area (max volume) and if its touched one time then you drop it or will this area stay valid also for later touchings?

lodol
It depends on what volume you consider:
Such big positions on tick volumes are valid as level for trade from 5 to about 30 min or a bit more...depends on how big is this position to other volumes during the day.
If you take as a level max volume of an hour- you have not more than 30 min of next hour to trade from it.
Max volumes of a day- are good for next day and all the days in the current week.
Max volumes of the week- are levels for next few weeks.
Max volumes for the contract are important for all 2.5 month of the contract.
Everything depends on how large the volume is in the shortest period of time.
skype: aleksey_trader
  • #51
  • Dec 16, 2008 5:09am Dec 16, 2008 5:09am
Quoting ayour2a
can u pls post for EURUSD?
I post here analysis on EUA.This is euro futures.It has the same price as a EURUSD but on the futures I can see the volumes, what I can not do on FX.
So if I can not see the volumes on forex- I will only loose there money, like other people, trading with indicators...I post here volumes on euro- that operates EURUSD price.
skype: aleksey_trader
  • #52
  • Dec 16, 2008 7:31am Dec 16, 2008 7:31am
Quoting wiztrader
This is currency futures.

How is that volume related to the spot market??

I don't see the relationship.
cash is king

forex is the cash market and the future ALWAYS has to follow the cash price. same with dow jones futures.

so there is an unbearable big relationship. without that rule, there even wouldn't be thousands of arbitrage traders which take care for the futures price aligning to the spot.
  • #53
  • Dec 16, 2008 7:35am Dec 16, 2008 7:35am
alex, very interesting approach and different to my regular vsa business.
i have some similar setup for end of session globex trades.

very good work! appreciate it.
  • #54
  • Dec 16, 2008 9:53am Dec 16, 2008 9:53am
S&P
Some of today`s shots:
Today the market has opened over Monday. We were in a "buy zone".On the Europe trading session the market gave nice trade.Now on the price 881,25 Chicago formed volume of more then 30000 lots that may pull the price lower.


http://savepic.ru/371684.png



http://savepic.ru/377828.png

Today is a FOMC meeting announcment.My advice is to be careful and out of market from 13:00 (Chicago time).
skype: aleksey_trader
  • #55
  • Dec 16, 2008 9:57am Dec 16, 2008 9:57am
Quoting Dr.Geppynius
alex, very interesting approach and different to my regular vsa business.
i have some similar setup for end of session globex trades.

very good work! appreciate it.
I`m glad that there are people interested in volumes
skype: aleksey_trader
  • #56
  • Dec 16, 2008 10:25am Dec 16, 2008 10:25am
Current situation on s&p: max volumes.interval-an hour.Today is FOMC announsment so volatility may be very low untill 13:00.Max volume in 5 min interval on the price 884.5 - 9000 lots.

http://savepic.ru/341988.png
skype: aleksey_trader
  • #57
  • Dec 16, 2008 10:30am Dec 16, 2008 10:30am
Quoting Alex_S
I`m glad that there are people interested in volumes
Indeed there are.....I expected to find Dr G passing by as I do too......thanks for posting.....http://www.forexfactory.com/images/icons/icon14.gif
Trading Levels with WRBs
  • #58
  • Edited 12:25pm Dec 16, 2008 12:13pm | Edited 12:25pm
EUR
Today`s pipsing trades on euro futures.

http://savepic.ru/385017.png

Big positions on tick volumes means pure big trades on stock exhange- rebound-sell.

http://savepic.ru/369657.png
skype: aleksey_trader
  • #59
  • Dec 16, 2008 12:15pm Dec 16, 2008 12:15pm
Later today I will post nice position trades on euro futures.
skype: aleksey_trader
  • #60
  • Dec 17, 2008 3:26am Dec 17, 2008 3:26am
EUA
Current situation on euro. Position movement from the rating prices.
11.12 last week there was a transition to the new contract (MAR09).
During Thursday and Friday the market formed new max volume of the contract on the price 1,335:

http://savepic.ru/328678.png

Begining of new week:

http://savepic.ru/352251.png
At the beginning of the week the market opened above max volume of the contract-that means that trend is gaining.
Max volume of Monday till 6:40 was above max contract levels.

http://savepic.ru/335846.png


http://savepic.ru/387066.png

First max volume made on Monday gave a "hit" to the market.Max volume of the day- intraday buy after rebound from 1,3473.Such trades are hold as position or longtime trade.

http://savepic.ru/360432.png


.......continuation in next post
skype: aleksey_trader
0 traders viewing now