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Principles of market movements

The analysis on S&P 500 mini futures.That day began changing from DEC`08 contract to MAR`09. On tis chart you can see 3 last weeks, and prices with max volumes per week.
Dark blue is the week from 1 to 7.12 with max volumes 834/835/844,5
Red week - 24-30.11 formed volumes on the 849-850 prices.
Volumes of two weeks in a narrow range.Huge volume is formed in the bottom.That pushed the market higher.
Yellow week (8-14.12) opened above this large volume that means the market is in a "buy zone".But for 3 days from monday to wednesday, unusually big volume appeared on 898/898,25/898,50.153491 lots for 3-4 days.That is about 540 million dollars only on one price.Must be a strong movement.And we have to join it
Thursday the market gave intraday deal from that price: market rebounded from 898 and went under intraday volumes.Big players reversed the market to the levels of previous weeks.
On the chart 870 and 869 are max volumes for all the contract.

http://savepic.ru/335800.png

On this chart you see how happened a sell-deal from 898 level, with rebound from that price.

http://savepic.ru/337848.png

Here are all intraday volumes with interval of 1 hour.Max volumes are coloured-we see how was fomed volumes for selling.

http://savepic.ru/342968.png

This are max volumes per week.

http://savepic.ru/340920.jpg

This contract was quite volatile wiht not as big volumes as it was in previous, but it wasn`t a problem for trading.
skype: aleksey_trader
This week`s trading situations on euro futures.
Nice positions are from the max volume of the previous day.
Current week-white chart, opened above previous week- red chart, and above max volumes per contract, that means we are in a "buy zone".
It means we are looking for positions on "buy", but if there will appear large volumes on the hights, it may be a reverse.The market
usually pull through prices with less volume concentrations, and rebound from prices with big volumes.
Support, and the price from which we look for position to buy, will be prices with max volumes of the week before previous.
That is week 24-30.11, and it is the green chart.
Volumes (24.11-28.11):

http://savepic.ru/364475.png

Trend is gaining.we look for ponit where to buy from prices 1,29 / 1,286 / 1,2885.

http://savepic.ru/368571.png

The best deal was afer makret formed a normal volume of a current week( for 2 days 8.12-9.12 on the price 1,2896).It usually makes a "platform from volume" from which to start a nice movement.
That was an acknowledgement that market will gain.
Final "buy" on wednesday is from category non-risky deals.Deals on which you can searly open all deposit.

http://savepic.ru/356283.png
skype: aleksey_trader
Great thread Alex. Keep them coming!
Very insightful volume analysis Alex.
Thanks a lot.

Carl
This is a very cool concept...You are basically finding the fractals within the volume. While a lot of us use extreme swings to trade off, you have an edge by trading that which is unseen- that being these high volume fractals. I look forward to learning more from you. I am seeing some really strong possibilities with what you are teaching when connected to my fib methodologies.

Thanks,

Scotty B
Quoting Scotty B
This is a very cool concept...You are basically finding the fractals within the volume. While a lot of us use extreme swings to trade off, you have an edge by trading that which is unseen- that being these high volume fractals. I look forward to learning more from you. I am seeing some really strong possibilities with what you are teaching when connected to my fib methodologies.

Thanks,

Scotty B

Nice to hear that.Ill keep the information coming)
skype: aleksey_trader
Hi Alex,

Your lesson is open my eyes how to deal with volume analysis.
Thanks man, i'll learn from you....

Regards

KG
Analysis for 11.12
After strong gain of the market, at top 1.3265-1.3269 great volumes were generated. In the range of two hours only on the price 1.3266 was total positions of 1425 lots. The maximum volume for a day + the maximum volumes in an hour, after strong movement. Someone`s trying to reverse the market, though a trend and gaining, but to the bottom volumes speculative sale should pass.
On the chart violet-is an hour from 8 to 9, green chart-is an hour from 9 to 10.I use this stuff for intraday trading
The market was forming volume for an hour and a half.That`s enough for reversing. Time factor is really important too.
Volume, price, time.
We wait till the market rebounds from prices with maximum volumes .That happened at 9:35 than under 1.326 it was necessarily to selldeal with very low risk.
This is chart with volumes formed for 60 min per every cluster( max are coloured):

http://savepic.ru/365442.png

http://savepic.ru/366466.png
skype: aleksey_trader
12.12 analysis
Short intraday sell, from intraday max volumes.By the way-new max volume of the contract - 1,335.Not large yet.

http://savepic.ru/353209.png

Above the price with max volume of contract the market was forming volume for about 2,5 hours, and what is interesting-max volumes are in close price intervals. When max volumes of hours are in close price intervals that tells about high interest of the market to that prices.That means deal from that levels will have very-low risk character.

http://savepic.ru/342989.png

This situation on bar chart:


http://savepic.ru/330701.png

Sell stop limit under the contract price, sell against price with max volume for a contract is unprofitable
P.S.The weather in Kiev is awful, its time to go on South
skype: aleksey_trader
Friday analysis on s&p.Intraday.
It began trading on a new contract, now it forms volumes to start a nice movement that surly will be next week=)
On Friday there was only one deal-a good oppotunity to buy in 11th hour.
To make it clear -the volume of 9th and 10th hours forms the "mood" of the market till the end of a trading session.There may be some reversing large volumes in the second half of the day-but they are easily seen.Volumes of 9th and 10th hours may be considered as a "corridor" of two prices.If market is under that prices-we are in a "sell zone", what means you shouldn`t buy=)
If market is above-we should look where to buy.
Friday`s max volumes per hours:

http://savepic.ru/354255.png


Market "gave deal" from volume of 10th hour and max volume of the day.One important thing-before you open your position - make sure that you aren`t opening position against max volume of previous 15 min.It is a very good ensurance=)
That means we should buy above and sell below max volume of previous 15 min.

http://savepic.ru/339919.png


Cutting one chart on many, with interval-an hour and their imposing against each other helps to evaluate better a current situation concerning last time periods and volumes. So that happens speculative movements.
skype: aleksey_trader
I also earn money on EUA on pipsing.I wont go into details, just show the mechanism.I take time from 8:00 to 10:00.show not all deals, just some of them for example.I take as a base some time interval-5 min.I have tick chart and tick volumes.I look for 5 minutes with maximum tick volume.Its usually a quotation with large volume concentration.On chart they are painted red.Prices with big volume accumulation.The market does not punch these prices and jumps aside.It s usually not hard to open position.

http://savepic.ru/338825.png

http://savepic.ru/337801.png

If such things are interesting-Ill continue to post here pipsing deals.pluses of such method-many deals-with 5 pips at once, minuses-you shoul pay a lot on comission.But I usually open positions less times but they are longer.
skype: aleksey_trader
Hey alex,

I am very interested in learning more of your analysis. This is really good stuff. I see tons of potential in what you are teaching. Where did you learn these things?

Thanks,

Scotty B
Quoting Scotty B
Hey alex,

I am very interested in learning more of your analysis. This is really good stuff. I see tons of potential in what you are teaching. Where did you learn these things?

Thanks,

Scotty B
I had an honour to study from a person with very big experience in the market.Tommorow I will post some trades on Gold futures with the same principle.By the way-anyone interested in FTSE?Write me-I`ll show here how it works
skype: aleksey_trader
hi

very intresting stuff here

is there a possibility to use this knowledge with metatrader

no chance or?

lodol
hi,
no it isen't possible with MT4 the same strategy, because on forex spot is not possible to know the total volume of contracts couse is an OTC market and it hasen't centralized exchange market like futures, and also because on MT4 there aren't currencies futures data.
I think the only way to use this method is to have a platform for look at the currency futures volumes and prices and their relation with FX-Spot.

Lubo.
If I know how, I tell You!! Few but Good!!
Quoting lodol2
hi

very intresting stuff here

is there a possibility to use this knowledge with metatrader

no chance or?

lodol
there is a chance...if you understand the system, and see on metatraider where the makret stays longer-large quotations or smth..where large volume must be.But I wouldn`t do that.First of all it`s risky- if you trade big money mt will only help to lose them.
skype: aleksey_trader
Quoting LuboLabo
hi,
no it isen't possible with MT4 the same strategy, because on forex spot is not possible to know the total volume of contracts couse is an OTC market and it hasen't centralized exchange market like futures, and also because on MT4 there aren't currencies futures data.
I think the only way to use this method is to have a platform for look at the currency futures volumes and prices and their relation with FX-Spot.

Lubo.
Yes you are right.Later it would be nice to have a synthetic instrument with volumes from futures on currencies and forex charts.It will be much easier.
skype: aleksey_trader
Last week.
Pipsing.few days and some deals.
Deals are made from max volumes for a short period of time(4-7 min).Principle is easy- on hights you look where to sell, on the lows- where to buy.If a max volume appeared- concentration of large positions on one price during short time, I waite and look how the market will react to that prices-if rebounds I open position.From one large concentration to another goes systemly.
11.12:

http://savepic.ru/345998.png

12.12:

http://savepic.ru/390106.png

later:

http://savepic.ru/392154.png
skype: aleksey_trader
Thanks Alex I like very much your technique

Keep going
Quoting Alex_S
Last week.
Pipsing.few days and some deals.
Deals are made from max volumes for a short period of time(4-7 min).Principle is easy- on hights you look where to sell, on the lows- where to buy.If a max volume appeared- concentration of large positions on one price during short time, I waite and look how the market will react to that prices-if rebounds I open position.From one large concentration to another goes systemly.
11.12:

http://savepic.ru/345998.png

12.12:



http://savepic.ru/390106.png

later:

http://savepic.ru/392154.png...


Hello Alex,
it would do us lots of help if u post chart on the pairs u trade here so we could watch out for those levels too as we do not have such indicator u use.what do u guys feel?Just a brotherly request.Thanks.

Ayour2a
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