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Spuds Stochastic Thread Theory

  • #181
  • Aug 6, 2008 1:06am Aug 6, 2008 1:06am
Quoting skyline
I was able to keep in touch with him some months ago through a pm in another forum (not forex related) , this is his reply :

"Hi, nice to hear from you.

Unfortunately, Forex Factory and I had a bit of a falling out, so to speak. Also, I was also being inundated with too many requests from people who never read what I wrote...just wanted to know the next trade was going to be. Last but not least, I didn't have any time to trade!

Having said that, I may one day put it all and more into a book...if time permits. My goal is still to return to the roots and layout a guide for people to make an income from trading. I hope you took my last piece of advice before I left capitalizing on the CAD/USD going par. Every time the CAD falls below par against the USD by about 2 cents, I'm buying more CAD. It's like a money machine.

Take care.
"

What sounds strange in his reply is when he said : Last but not least, I didn't have any time to trade!
Now if he was a real trader as he stated many time, it's strange that he don't have anymore time to trade Or maybe he did so much $$ with trading and now is busy to spend them

Skyline
Thanks for that interesting info on Spud...
  • #182
  • Aug 25, 2008 3:50pm Aug 25, 2008 3:50pm
Found this thread alert on a japanese blog...
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: thread alert.gif Size: 25 KB
Attached File(s)
File Type: mq4 Thread_Hist_1.mq4   3 KB | 1,557 downloads
  • #183
  • Oct 1, 2008 5:53pm Oct 1, 2008 5:53pm
let's bump this thread again... one of the best forex factory theories
seriously... read it.. you will be thankful.
  • #184
  • Oct 1, 2008 9:05pm Oct 1, 2008 9:05pm
Quoting emda
let's bump this thread again... one of the best forex factory theories
seriously... read it.. you will be thankful.
You couldn't be more right
This is my favorite thread by my favorite poster. Great info in the pages.
  • #185
  • Oct 1, 2008 11:45pm Oct 1, 2008 11:45pm
Hi Emda and all the threads user,

Could you please sharing this with more charts showing how you exactly to find the entries and exits (timing), and most important is how u make this trading method become your edge and earn pips consistently [e.g. with good Money Management(how?), with other indicators (leading and lagging?), etc] .


Nevertheless, pls tell us also what are the traps or fault signals could be and most important what is the techniques to avoid them? (one of the examples: after a peak is formed in OB/OS area, according to spud we can enter the trade, however it is not uncommon that the price is going further down in OS or further high in OB.)

Hope somebody could spare his/her precious time to share your knowledge with us.

Thanks in advance,

Noob
  • #186
  • Oct 2, 2008 1:04am Oct 2, 2008 1:04am
hi,

Anyone got the clue or info regarding the remarks given by spud shown in the chart under the same post : [Need more info].


And want to clarify the last sentence from spud : "i get all the info out there". ??????? all ????????. I afraid not. Could somebody lead? PLS.

Thanx.
  • #187
  • Oct 2, 2008 2:18am Oct 2, 2008 2:18am
Hi,

Just compiling the posts from this thread, have a look.
Attached File(s)
File Type: pdf Spuds Stochastic Thread Theory_book3_Rev01.pdf   673 KB | 2,960 downloads
  • #188
  • Oct 2, 2008 2:27am Oct 2, 2008 2:27am
...
Attached File(s)
File Type: zip Spuds Stochastic Thread Theory_book3_Rev01.zip   1.6 MB | 2,254 downloads
  • #189
  • Oct 2, 2008 2:58am Oct 2, 2008 2:58am
Quoting cubicrey
hi,

Anyone got the clue or info regarding the remarks given by spud shown in the chart under the same post : [Need more info].


And want to clarify the last sentence from spud : "i get all the info out there". ??????? all ????????. I afraid not. Could somebody lead? PLS.

Thanx.

Give me a link to the post and I will see if I can help you out. I'm not sure what you are asking
  • #190
  • Oct 2, 2008 3:37am Oct 2, 2008 3:37am
----
  • #191
  • Oct 2, 2008 3:38am Oct 2, 2008 3:38am
Thanx for your respond, the link is here,

http://www.forexfactory.com/showpost...7&postcount=18
  • #192
  • Oct 2, 2008 7:06am Oct 2, 2008 7:06am
Quoting cubicrey
hi,

Anyone got the clue or info regarding the remarks given by spud shown in the chart under the same post : [Need more info].


And want to clarify the last sentence from spud : "i get all the info out there". ??????? all ????????. I afraid not. Could somebody lead? PLS.

Thanx.

this chart illustrates 3 different entry points

the first one - entry when the blue LTFS are heading down and all to the left

the second one - entry when the blue LTFS are heading up and all to the right (this one did not pay off since it turned south)

the third one - entry when the blue LTFS are heading up again and all to the right side (depending on where you set your stop this one might pay off as price eventually heads north)

it is hard to say with hindsight, but I might have skipped the second entry point and held the first one while it still goes down toward the 90 line. Of course, you cannot always count on the rope hitting the 90 line. In a certain sense you have to watch it move to get the feel of the Stoch Rope - I cannot describe that 'feeling' on paper, but it is a useful component in this method.


What I learn from this chart is to enter only on a clear signal, listen to market sentiment and control risk (no more than 2% and use well thot out stop settings)

hope this helps
  • #193
  • Oct 2, 2008 9:26am Oct 2, 2008 9:26am
Hi Kudzufx,

haha, I believe u r very tired during writing this message. typo error on left right, 10/90....However, I'm appreciate your reply.

I need some further explanation on how u define the "clear signal" from that chart. and what does it meant market sentiment..sorry of the rookie questions.

Thanks.

God bless you.
  • #194
  • Oct 2, 2008 10:00am Oct 2, 2008 10:00am
Quoting cubicrey
Hi Kudzufx,

haha, I believe u r very tired during writing this message. typo error on left right, 10/90....However, I'm appreciate your reply.

I need some further explanation on how u define the "clear signal" from that chart. and what does it meant market sentiment..sorry of the rookie questions.

Thanks.

God bless you.

here's one idea of a signal window - what do you think?
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: thread window.gif Size: 21 KB
  • #195
  • Oct 2, 2008 11:31am Oct 2, 2008 11:31am
Hi Kudzufx,

Thanks for your chart and the entries you mark is very clear.

Few quetions, when u using this method , r u stick to the 80/20 rule [maybe even 50 as well], or enter the trade inside the OB/OS zone once the peak is formed, as I know spud may enter even ealier once the rope is appear before the peak.

Or something else?
  • #196
  • Oct 2, 2008 11:52am Oct 2, 2008 11:52am
Hi
I only use the cross of 50 level now... it's less risky .. as you say cubic.. sometimes.. being OS or OB doesn't mean that it will reverse... it can just keep going... but not many times bends after crossing 50 level... you miss some pips.. but you are safer and there is a good chance of having a good trade... but you have a bigger stoploss. .. and jnust trade the ropes... forget if there is a spreaded thread... only ropes! trade other pairs if you don't see a good opportunity... you make more money waiting for the trade than overtrading. Monitor multiple currencies... many times the opportunity appears at the same time in many pairs.. choose the best one.
  • #197
  • Oct 2, 2008 12:48pm Oct 2, 2008 12:48pm
Hi Emda,

Thanx for your advice, which TF r u using for this particular method? only 1H?

The 50% rule [spud50] mentioned by spud in the MTF Stoch thread is very unclear for me. starting from post 651 to post 657, pg 44. I totally lost about the entries and exits given by spud in his example. I've pulled out the historic data, using the SBFX mt4, but i still can not figure out how he got the result/pips gain for each TF. as he never mentioned the price of entry and exit.

Emda if your method have something link to spud50, could you pls take this oppurtunities to explain it once again [preferably with chartss ].

May be other traders here could help as well.

Thanks.
  • #198
  • Oct 2, 2008 1:13pm Oct 2, 2008 1:13pm
Whoever enter this trade, LOST. unless he din use SL or his capital is big enough so that the 2% MM can cope the drawdown [about 60 pips]. I'm very struggle with this, I always being trapped and I've never ever experienced less than 25 pips drawdown. shame.
Attached Image
  • #199
  • Oct 2, 2008 1:21pm Oct 2, 2008 1:21pm
i'll try to explain a bit better later night... I'm a bit busy right now
  • #200
  • Oct 2, 2008 1:32pm Oct 2, 2008 1:32pm
No Problem , Thanking you.
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