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New Mouteki Method...

  • #1,001
  • Sep 24, 2008 9:01am Sep 24, 2008 9:01am
Quoting Barak's pip
by the way , how does this currency pair fits in inside the rulles ?

it touched the 61.8 and respected it - but since there was no move
I guess that its waiting for news - fundementals & / or volume......
Trading Levels with WRBs
  • #1,002
  • Sep 24, 2008 9:53am Sep 24, 2008 9:53am
looks great up to 610 FZ, all fibo respect. lets see
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  • #1,003
  • Sep 24, 2008 10:07am Sep 24, 2008 10:07am
take a look at this pair , it looks like it's getting ready for a large move - my opinion , down !

the reasons :
1. in 1hr chart the b. bands is squizing the price
2.the place where the price stopped at and left tails is exactlly the 2584 FZ from the 0 zone - 2.1557
3.it's also 987 FZ of the up move
4.strong trends like we've seen in the last weeks doesn't change over night , so my guess is that this up move was only a correction for this trend.

it's only my opinion ..
I'll be happy to know what your analissys on this pair.
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  • #1,004
  • Sep 24, 2008 10:18am Sep 24, 2008 10:18am
IMO, I don't see any respect of the Fib Retracement on U/J. Please take a closer look and you will see that we have a few bars that closed below the yellow 61.8% Fib Retracement levels.

TimeFreedom

Quoting Sergio
looks great up to 610 FZ, all fibo respect. lets see
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  • #1,005
  • Sep 24, 2008 10:42am Sep 24, 2008 10:42am
I have a small doubt. In the fibs and fundies video 2 mouteki said he took the eu long trade after spotting those 2 reversal candles. These candles were formed on 19 but his entry was on the 18.
  • #1,006
  • Sep 24, 2008 10:49am Sep 24, 2008 10:49am
Quoting TimeFreedom
IMO, I don't see any respect of the Fib Retracement on U/J. Please take a closer look and you will see that we have a few bars that closed below the yellow 61.8% Fib Retracement levels.

TimeFreedom
you rigth, but take a look on 1h, in the begining of the movement, there are respect, isīn it??

thaks for reply
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  • #1,007
  • Sep 24, 2008 11:24am Sep 24, 2008 11:24am
OK. eur/usd has hit the 233 zone starting from the top 4866, so I pulled fibs going down, and it has respected the 50% retracement. So I'm thinking we are looking for it to hit the 1st FE at 4589 and then retrace to a 38.2, 50, or 61.8. Then maybe continue the move down once we have confirmation?? Not sure. I guess just thinking out loud, and to see what you guys think.
  • #1,008
  • Sep 24, 2008 11:38am Sep 24, 2008 11:38am
Here is my H1, U/J chart and you can see that a number candles closed below the 61.8% Fibo Retracement level.

TimeFreedom

Quoting Sergio
you rigth, but take a look on 1h, in the begining of the movement, there are respect, isīn it??

thaks for reply
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  • #1,009
  • Sep 24, 2008 11:42am Sep 24, 2008 11:42am
Quoting 4xisfun
OK. eur/usd has hit the 233 zone starting from the top 4866, so I pulled fibs going down, and it has respected the 50% retracement. So I'm thinking we are looking for it to hit the 1st FE at 4589 and then retrace to a 38.2, 50, or 61.8. Then maybe continue the move down once we have confirmation?? Not sure. I guess just thinking out loud, and to see what you guys think.
I think we haven't seen the end of the big down move ... just me.

in the daily chart - you can see the stop on the 38.2 FR , it is very important to see how this daily candle will close
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  • #1,010
  • Sep 24, 2008 12:07pm Sep 24, 2008 12:07pm
watch this...maybe a new 0 point...
the yellow line is the 233 fibzone
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  • #1,011
  • Sep 24, 2008 12:21pm Sep 24, 2008 12:21pm
Quoting Potax
watch this...maybe a new 0 point...
the yellow line is the 233 fibzone
very nice , it can deffinatelly can be our new zero
  • #1,012
  • Sep 24, 2008 12:31pm Sep 24, 2008 12:31pm
Hi,

I would like to offer my view on the current Euro-Dollar setup.
We definitely have a move within a move, most recent of which has been south. Now i believe the major uptrend to still be in place as we have not broken past the 23.6 fibo level which just happens to be the 233 of the current down move.
However, the current down move has hit the 233 and then gone back to test the 144 and retrace to the 50% fibo. The 61.8 expansion for the current down move lies at 4596, so i believe a break of this will see the downtrend continue to the 4492 level (which is an overlap off the down 377, 38.2 fibo retrace up and up 610 level).
In order for the uptrend to continue i see the 4492 level as crucial in being hit before the 1597 is taken out.

Red= Trend up fib sequence
Blue= Trend down fib sequence
Yellow= Fib retracements up trend
Green= Fib retracements down trend

Apologies if any of my levels are incorrect! Feedback welcome
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The customer is always right!
  • #1,013
  • Sep 24, 2008 12:39pm Sep 24, 2008 12:39pm
Quoting Sergio
you rigth, but take a look on 1h, in the begining of the movement, there are respect, isīn it??
Sometimes you have to zoom in to H1 indeed to see where the retracement occured (H4 could be misleading).
One Chart is Worth Ten Thousand Words.
  • #1,014
  • Edited 12:53pm Sep 24, 2008 12:47pm | Edited 12:53pm
26/09/2008 @ 08:00 GMT = 03:00 EST EurUsd may be at 1.4492 for a BIIGGG move north...
Lower Median Line on the yellow Shiff fork.
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  • #1,015
  • Sep 24, 2008 12:53pm Sep 24, 2008 12:53pm
Quoting booster
26/09/2008 @ 08:00 GMT = 03:00 EST EurUsd may be at 1.4492 for a BIIGGG move north...
That's the area I'm looking for it to bounce from as well.
  • #1,016
  • Sep 24, 2008 1:08pm Sep 24, 2008 1:08pm
this may develope to the new setup , for now it looks like a respect of the fib 50 level ...
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  • #1,017
  • Sep 24, 2008 1:12pm Sep 24, 2008 1:12pm
Quoting Yaad
That's the area I'm looking for it to bounce from as well.
You can add me to that queue too. I'm watching that level with much interest. Only after a failure of that level will I start considering a new zero point.
  • #1,018
  • Sep 24, 2008 1:27pm Sep 24, 2008 1:27pm
guys what about opening more threads for every single pair with mouteki's strategy instead of messing up here?
  • #1,019
  • Edited 1:32pm Sep 24, 2008 1:28pm | Edited 1:32pm
On UsdChf we have an important point ( 38.2 fib retracment + intersection of the Upper Median Line on the yellow Pitchfork whith bearish bias ) and you know when?... 26/09/2008 @ 08:00 GMT = 03:00 EST
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  • #1,020
  • Sep 24, 2008 1:43pm Sep 24, 2008 1:43pm
Quoting Barak's pip
this may develope to the new setup , for now it looks like a respect of the fib 50 level ...
That could be vary possible but some fundies have to come to play for such a reverse to happen.

Will the US dollar become stonger ?
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