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AUD/USD

  • #781
  • Sep 3, 2008 12:45pm Sep 3, 2008 12:45pm
http://3.bp.blogspot.com/_nmIuQsC9b-...itled++aud.bmp
{Promotion Removed}
  • #782
  • Sep 4, 2008 4:43am Sep 4, 2008 4:43am
Hi everyone this is my first post on FX and I think it is very interesting here. I have started looking at the AUD/USD and pleasantly surprised to find a blog just for that currency. Thanks guys.
  • #783
  • Sep 4, 2008 5:42am Sep 4, 2008 5:42am
I have AUD/USD Long...0.8350

sonic
  • #784
  • Sep 8, 2008 3:40am Sep 8, 2008 3:40am
monthly TL broken. Sunday gap filled. A long way don to go.
Attached Image
TRADE FOR SWAP
  • #785
  • Sep 8, 2008 5:03am Sep 8, 2008 5:03am
Hey Cg,

How are you?
Patience + Humility + Study = Success
  • #786
  • Sep 8, 2008 8:06am Sep 8, 2008 8:06am
very well thankyou, although not around on FF much due to being a wage-slave.
TRADE FOR SWAP
  • #787
  • Sep 8, 2008 10:27am Sep 8, 2008 10:27am
7 year trend-line well-and-truly broken now. Could be 30,000 pips on the table!!!??? lol.
TRADE FOR SWAP
  • #788
  • Sep 8, 2008 1:36pm Sep 8, 2008 1:36pm
Quoting cgldsmth
very well thankyou, although not around on FF much due to being a wage-slave.
I know the feeling, I'm an academic slave. Good to see you. I'm watching that Aud T/L break with great interest. Tonight might be the start of a nice downtrend eh?
Patience + Humility + Study = Success
  • #789
  • Sep 8, 2008 3:09pm Sep 8, 2008 3:09pm
Who's short ?
Don't Blame Yourself This Is Forex...
  • #790
  • Sep 8, 2008 5:30pm Sep 8, 2008 5:30pm
AUD/USD suffered on the back of cross selling, in particular AUD/JPY.
Fundamentally the AUD should be supported through interest rate differentials, however cross plays are dictating and putting pressure on the downside.
This should wane once USD/Yen finds support.
Despite the RBA governor saying inflation is the key we have some economist calling for interest rate fall next month.
What the economist dont realise is that if the AUD/USD continues to fall inflation will remain high eg. Oil has fallen, the AUD has fallen but petrol prices remain high.A large component of inflation.
Technicals pointing down.
Too many conflicting indicators for clear direction.
If in doubt stay out.
  • #791
  • Sep 10, 2008 3:35am Sep 10, 2008 3:35am
well the TA says strongly down, you cannot ignore a break of such a long-term trendline.

also, a lot of very clever market peeps are calling for a protracted decline in gold, which is very bearish for the aussie.
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  • #792
  • Sep 14, 2008 1:02pm Sep 14, 2008 1:02pm
price has come right back up to the long term TL (monthly chart) which should now be major resistance so I'm expecting a drop down to 7300 area.
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  • #793
  • Sep 14, 2008 1:06pm Sep 14, 2008 1:06pm
Quoting cgldsmth
price has come right back up to the long term TL (monthly chart) which should now be major resistance so I'm expecting a drop down to 7300 area.
Right with you bro.
Patience + Humility + Study = Success
  • #794
  • Sep 14, 2008 3:38pm Sep 14, 2008 3:38pm
Quoting cgldsmth
price has come right back up to the long term TL (monthly chart) which should now be major resistance so I'm expecting a drop down to 7300 area.
I wouldnt be predicting anything right now.
The fundamentals arent clear.We have the U.S. banking system in turmoil.
Banks are re-valueing their credit lines with others , which means liquidity with get thinner and volatility will increase.

Can I ask why you think the USD should appreciate when their financial system is in such a massive crisis?
  • #795
  • Sep 15, 2008 6:23am Sep 15, 2008 6:23am
Quoting lasty
AUD/USD suffered on the back of cross selling, in particular AUD/JPY.
Fundamentally the AUD should be supported through interest rate differentials, however cross plays are dictating and putting pressure on the downside.
This should wane once USD/Yen finds support.
Despite the RBA governor saying inflation is the key we have some economist calling for interest rate fall next month.
What the economist dont realise is that if the AUD/USD continues to fall inflation will remain high eg. Oil has fallen, the AUD has fallen but petrol prices remain high.A large component of inflation.
Technicals pointing down.
Too many conflicting indicators for clear direction.
If in doubt stay out.
I am liking long on differential. If I was a US millionaire I would be piling into Aussie treasuries. Been in and out twice today for nice gains...so far
  • #796
  • Sep 15, 2008 12:06pm Sep 15, 2008 12:06pm
Rate cut priced in???
  • #797
  • Sep 15, 2008 2:33pm Sep 15, 2008 2:33pm
http://3.bp.blogspot.com/_nmIuQsC9b-...D_USD+Spot.png
{Promotion Removed}
  • #798
  • Sep 16, 2008 1:34pm Sep 16, 2008 1:34pm
caught snoozing on this one. Looked so uncertain on the chart. I will have to look around to find the catalyst.

The long trade is starting to look "long" in the tooth, but I don't have the cahones to go short.
  • #799
  • Sep 16, 2008 6:02pm Sep 16, 2008 6:02pm
Keep an eye out on the daily for a reverse H&S formation, which may be forming.
We are currently at the 38.2% retrace from the upmove from .4773-.9847.
This could be a great buying opportunity!
  • #800
  • Sep 16, 2008 8:49pm Sep 16, 2008 8:49pm
Quoting falcon232
Keep an eye out on the daily for a reverse H&S formation, which may be forming.
We are currently at the 38.2% retrace from the upmove from .4773-.9847.
This could be a great buying opportunity!
This thing has tried to rally but cant seem to hold above .8000 which is frustrating the bulls.
When a currency has strong fundamentals but it cant rally it spells disaster.
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