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Majors & Exotics [EUR / GBP / JPY / CAD / AUD]

  • #61
  • Aug 29, 2008 10:39am Aug 29, 2008 10:39am
Quoting Vmv
What do you mean by: " Us and asian lows are taken away" ???
What I mean by saying "take away" is to break above/below the highs/lows (ex: let's say lows are around 1.4670s, as was for Eur/Usd yesterday; and we read lower marks around 1.4650s)
  • #62
  • Aug 29, 2008 10:48am Aug 29, 2008 10:48am
Eur/Usd

Taking short around 1.4720s turned out to be the right decision, reducing the exposure to Usd short; turning the position to Weak Bullish. It looks like the Eur/Usd could begin to slide if we fall below 1.4660s. It is weak bullish now, but I think it is Strong Bearish below the 1.4660s mark.

See you next week.

SG
  • #63
  • Edited 11:27am Aug 29, 2008 10:57am | Edited 11:27am
Quoting preneur
Eur/Usd

Taking short around 1.4720s turned out to be the right decision, reducing the exposure to Usd short; turning the position to Weak Bullish. It looks like the Eur/Usd could begin to slide if we fall below 1.4660s. It is weak bullish now, but I think it is Strong Bearish below the 1.4660s mark.

See you next week.

SG

Don't you think that the two possible hurricanes that are coming towards the US (Gustav - going into Mexico gulf and Hanna going to Eastern Florida) can seriously affect the USD during the weekend?
Many oil platforms have been shut down in the gulf. Do you think oil price will go up, hence Usd will go down?
  • #64
  • Aug 29, 2008 10:57am Aug 29, 2008 10:57am
By the way thanks for the previous answer! just saw it...
  • #65
  • Aug 30, 2008 4:10pm Aug 30, 2008 4:10pm
hello preneur, gbpcad is being traded at above 1.9310s so it should be in a strong bullish right now or there's another possibilities?
I recommend you read something else as this sentence is now concluded.
  • #66
  • Sep 2, 2008 4:14am Sep 2, 2008 4:14am
Quoting Obaidah
hello preneur, gbpcad is being traded at above 1.9310s so it should be in a strong bullish right now or there's another possibilities?

After pair briefly jumping briefly above 1.9310s, GBP weakness is pulling it down again. It still looks bearish in my view.
  • #67
  • Sep 2, 2008 4:17am Sep 2, 2008 4:17am
A long weekend, relaxed time for short period.

A recap:

The positions taken Friday looks positive; EUR/USD moved a lot lower after giving away the 1.4660s, which I actually started shorting higher, yes with a bit more risk, around 1.4720s.

GBP STILL heading a lot lower.

GBP/JPY continued its slide almost 700 more pips, from 200 levels. I thought it would move a lot lower, and during lack of a strong US session, pair moved to 193s.


Will be publishing some charts today.

Welcome back everyone
  • #68
  • Sep 2, 2008 4:23am Sep 2, 2008 4:23am
EUR/USD

I am looking to decrease exposure to USD longs, and take the Strong Bearish sentiment in the pair to Weak Bearish sentiment. (exiting some shorts). Will load them back if pair fails and moves below 1.4470s.

Charts coming.
  • #69
  • Sep 2, 2008 4:28am Sep 2, 2008 4:28am
Incredible GBP weakness Everyone short GBP?
  • #70
  • Sep 2, 2008 4:53am Sep 2, 2008 4:53am
EUR/AUD & GBP/AUD

Incredible sell off in AUD. It would be more interesting if we don't see any retracements from these levels.

Charts coming up.
  • #71
  • Sep 2, 2008 5:13am Sep 2, 2008 5:13am
JPY crosses


Exiting most JPY longs, and turning the pairs (USD/JPY, EUR/JPY, GBP/JPY, ...) to Weak Bearish, until the lows of Asian and EU sessions fail.
  • #72
  • Sep 2, 2008 7:59am Sep 2, 2008 7:59am
EUR/USD


USD strength which started mid summer (2nd week of July) still continues, pushing majors to levels not seen since last 18 months. EUR/USD Asian and EU session lows gave way for further decline. First targets around 1.41-1.43 are important, and if they fail, 1.33 mark could be possible looking forward to the post-election period.


http://www.hostdump.com/host/out.php...encapture2.jpg
  • #73
  • Sep 2, 2008 8:08am Sep 2, 2008 8:08am
EUR/AUD & GBP/AUD


AUD sell off spurred massive moves in EUR/AUD and GBP/AUD pairs. The lack of retracement so far is a strong signal that the pairs are destined to move higher during the next few sessions. Beware of violent moves.


http://www.hostdump.com/host/out.php...encapture3.jpg


http://www.hostdump.com/host/out.php...encapture4.jpg
  • #74
  • Sep 2, 2008 8:18am Sep 2, 2008 8:18am
GBP/JPY


As been stating since last couple of weeks, JPY strength combined with GBP weakness presented massive opportunities and profits for this pair. GBP/JPY moved almost 1000 pips in less than a couple of weeks. It could start sideways action around these levels. I reduced the exposure to GBP weakness and JPY strength, and closed 2/3 of shorts until the Asian and EU sessions give way for further declines.


http://www.hostdump.com/host/out.php...encapture5.jpg
  • #75
  • Sep 2, 2008 9:07am Sep 2, 2008 9:07am
EUR/JPY

In addition to being Strong Bullish in USD/JPY and CAD/JPY, have now turned to Weak Bullish in EUR/JPY. JPY might lose some ground during upcoming sessions.
  • #76
  • Sep 2, 2008 5:02pm Sep 2, 2008 5:02pm
JPY


The exited shorts in EUR/JPY and GBP/JPY during the EU and US sessions turned out to be a wise move, as the pairs moved sideways for the most part. Will be looking to load the shorts once again as the US session lows fail during the Asian session. Still hold the weak bearish in GBP/JPY and recently turned the EUR/JPY weak bullish to weak bearish sentiment.

For the JPY to face a sell off, hence carry EUR/JPY and GBP/JPY higher, the EU and US session highs should be vioalted and higher marks need to be in place.
  • #77
  • Edited 6:32pm Sep 2, 2008 6:05pm | Edited 6:32pm
Quoting preneur
JPY


The exited shorts in EUR/JPY and GBP/JPY during the EU and US sessions turned out to be a wise move, as the pairs moved sideways for the most part. Will be looking to load the shorts once again as the US session lows fail during the Asian session. Still hold the weak bearish in GBP/JPY and recently turned the EUR/JPY weak bullish to weak bearish sentiment.

For the JPY to face a sell off, hence carry EUR/JPY and GBP/JPY higher, the EU and US session highs should be vioalted and higher marks need to be in place.

1. I appreciate if you can tell me the time of EU, US and Asian sessions in E.Time or C.Time.

2. I am holding my sell positions of GBP/JPY till now, don't seem bad at all.
Are you implying that tonight EU session/ Asian session, there is possible to hit higher? (Just need to understand by English, not to quote your word.)

Oright, I think that I read your message over and over again, this is it:

the US session lows fail during the Asian session - meaning EUR/JPY and GBP/JPY fail to come down at the overlap time of US and Asian session.

For the JPY to face a sell off, hence carry EUR/JPY and GBP/JPY higher, the EU and US session highs should be vioalted and higher marks need to be in place. - meaning, in order for the JPY to be a sell off and EUR/JPY and GBP/JPY to be higher, the EU and US session highs should be made happen. However, since the EU and US session highs didn't happen today, there is not possible to make any higher for this two pairs.
  • #78
  • Sep 3, 2008 1:49am Sep 3, 2008 1:49am
Any AUD/JPY analysis out there? I'm looking for reassurance that my short is ok
Do you think the karate kid knows kung-fu?
  • #79
  • Sep 3, 2008 2:44am Sep 3, 2008 2:44am
Recap

* All majors against the USD failed to hold their positions and continued their slide.

* Majors against JPY are failing to hold the US lows one by one, hence EUR/JPY, GBP/JPY, AUD/JPY ... all turning to Strong Bearish.

* AUD sell off continued, EUR/AUD reaching 1.7530s. If we don't see a substantial pull back today either, expect further gains.


Charts upcoming.
  • #80
  • Sep 3, 2008 3:02am Sep 3, 2008 3:02am
Well I hit my t/p
Do you think the karate kid knows kung-fu?
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