I never proved anything

Aha, so that's how the Financial Institutions make their money!
No analysis, just buy low and sell high.

If only I'd seen this post seven years ago......

David

Tdion I enjoy your posts about probability a lot, so at last I just have to tell it.

We all know, that in random market it's gonna be around 5% superwiners and 5% superloosers [those laid outside of two standard deviation] - so there is some small number of those blind childrens in a fog that guessed correctly 97% percent of times and now they are famous and all the rest of us buy their books etc [exept of tdion that don't read to many as mentioned in profile ]

So if you see it's not gonna be you that makes 95% winners - you'd better quit.
How to make sure is that not you?
simple.
Create a method that trades once per ten years [f.e. sell on every total moon eclipse]. If your first trade was looser - you have no chance to get those 95% winner cause your life is too short.

Is that what FX is all about?

i appreciate your humor.