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AUD/USD

  • #501
  • Aug 6, 2008 5:16am Aug 6, 2008 5:16am
Quoting Clouds
no, i was shorting aud/cad , and long aud/usd, but now just short uj lol, i get around
i'm 2 trades in line with you but not the cad..
  • #502
  • Aug 6, 2008 5:28am Aug 6, 2008 5:28am
Quoting Pirin
Are there any longs (radical optimists) left ?
Hmm, UJ has ranged from 108-104 for past 3 months, so unless it breaks up out of it's range significantly, then there should be a usd bear run.
  • #503
  • Aug 6, 2008 5:48am Aug 6, 2008 5:48am
Possible scénario ...??? Time will tell... http://img181.imageshack.us/img181/4...ly60808lu7.jpg
http://img181.imageshack.us/img181/4...179e1bdf5d.jpg
link to image : http://img181.imageshack.us/img181/4...ly60808lu7.jpg
Trade at Your Own Risk.
  • #504
  • Aug 6, 2008 7:39am Aug 6, 2008 7:39am
we will see below .91 AUDUSD
  • #505
  • Aug 6, 2008 7:48am Aug 6, 2008 7:48am
hey hussin
where do u think this thing is gonna stop falling?
where is the next support?

thanks
  • #506
  • Aug 6, 2008 7:53am Aug 6, 2008 7:53am
Quoting emadanton
hey hussin
where do u think this thing is gonna stop falling?
where is the next support?

thanks

Next stop, 90. My two cents. That is a firm, long term support.
  • #507
  • Aug 6, 2008 7:57am Aug 6, 2008 7:57am
90.80
  • #508
  • Aug 6, 2008 7:57am Aug 6, 2008 7:57am
Quoting emadanton
hey hussin
where do u think this thing is gonna stop falling?
where is the next support?

thanks
Next support is 0.91 after 0.90 and after 0.895 quote from january 2006...

But we don't know were the market can go... but i don't think it will broke 0.895 this month...
Trade at Your Own Risk.
  • #509
  • Aug 6, 2008 8:42am Aug 6, 2008 8:42am
ouch maxium pain is taking effect. anyone else getting killed. i feel like a badminton shuttle.
http://www.shuttlebusters.com/feathers.gif
http://www.mtnlakes.org/Recreation/B.../badminton.jpg
  • #510
  • Aug 6, 2008 8:49am Aug 6, 2008 8:49am
If 0.91 strongly broken!!!

I guess...0.907x region (1 apr 08) support!!

sonic
  • #511
  • Aug 6, 2008 8:57am Aug 6, 2008 8:57am
Quoting Trader Neal
ouch maxium pain is taking effect. anyone else getting killed. i feel like a badminton shuttle.
http://www.shuttlebusters.com/feathers.gif
http://www.mtnlakes.org/Recreation/B.../badminton.jpg
i'm still in my bear usd trades, because i'm thinking this may be end of the usd rally, temporarily
  • #512
  • Aug 6, 2008 8:58am Aug 6, 2008 8:58am
Quoting Clouds
i'm still in my bear usd trades, because i'm thinking this may be end of the usd rally
can't go up in a straight line that's for sure.. we'll see a correction..
  • #513
  • Aug 6, 2008 9:03am Aug 6, 2008 9:03am
109.30 should see selling pressure. some possibility it could hit 110.. one of my au shorts may have just turned as i type this but we'll see.
  • #514
  • Aug 6, 2008 9:04am Aug 6, 2008 9:04am
hangman usd/jpy?
  • #515
  • Aug 6, 2008 9:16am Aug 6, 2008 9:16am
109.11 short usd/yn should i hold it?

au/usd firmed before a support 90.80 still bearish pressure.
firmed but not reversed.
  • #516
  • Aug 6, 2008 9:30am Aug 6, 2008 9:30am
Quoting Trader Neal
109.11 short usd/yn should i hold it?

au/usd firmed before a support 90.80 still bearish pressure.
firmed but not reversed.

I wouldn't EVER bet against the dollar when it's being bullheaded like this. Much too risky. But that's just me.
  • #517
  • Aug 6, 2008 9:41am Aug 6, 2008 9:41am
Quoting seesaw
I wouldn't EVER bet against the dollar when it's being bullheaded like this. Much too risky. But that's just me.
thats not the issue with me.... USD really has no fundamentals too.

but what makes me feel nauseous is how people keep trying to pick bottoms, i've been quietly arguing this notion for days.
But i was praying for a bull repieve too, coz right now, oppurtunities for me are limited
  • #518
  • Aug 6, 2008 9:45am Aug 6, 2008 9:45am
Quoting jest1081
coz right now, oppurtunities for me are limited
welcome to the club i'm in the same boat of hard knocks.
i keep getting better but my capital is thin. i lost all my money in stocks last year and then i learned skills that could make money but no capital to make leveraged trades. my system works but without capital i can't get in on any realistic trades and have had to resort to scalping to stay alive.
  • #519
  • Aug 6, 2008 9:47am Aug 6, 2008 9:47am
Quoting jupiter_peak
Hey fellow traders,

From what I can observe, this reversal/correction is a bit far from over.

Minimum target I see is 0.8513.

Cheers,

JP.
I had made the above post a few days ago. Please, consider having a serious look into it.

I gave hint about this and warned some of you who were going long 200 pips ago.

If one takes a close look at the MACD divergence for the weekly channel, he/she should see a valley contained inside the divergence. That valley bottom should be the minimum target. Correlate with pric valley bottm and you will get the target.

Also, take a lok at oil. The last support area (minimum) target or 38.2 correction/retracemnt is about to be broken. I wuldn't be surprised if it did next week or even this week.

If it does, we should be looking at oil prices around 97.90 by the end of the year. With that in mind,we should see strongerUSD acrss the board.

Cheers.
JP.
  • #520
  • Aug 6, 2008 9:50am Aug 6, 2008 9:50am
Quoting Trader Neal
welcome to the club i'm in the same boat of hard knocks.
i keep getting better but my capital is thin. i lost all my money in stocks last year and then i learned skills that could make money but no capital to make leveraged trades. my system works but without capital i can't get in on any realistic trades and have had to resort to scalping to stay alive.

I feel your pain. I'm the same boat. Lost a ton of money in stocks last year. But there is a small valuable lesson I learned in Forex (from the limited exp. I have). Don't try to time your trades. If the trend is strong, it will eat up your entry points. Case in point AUD/ USD.

Whenever the pair rallies, I am shorting it. I believe eventually it will HAVE to land at a sub 89 value--there's no other way. I have learned to think long term because when I scalp or short term trade I get burned.
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