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Non farm question

  • #1
  • First Post: Aug 1, 2008 7:13am Aug 1, 2008 7:13am
How much of a delay can you expect? Calender says it should have been posted at 7:30 EST but still no digits. Just wondering how it works. Thanks
Lets do this...
  • #2
  • Aug 1, 2008 7:16am Aug 1, 2008 7:16am
It's another 15 minutes to come out.Be patient and tweak your clock setting.cheers

Quoting jcminvest
How much of a delay can you expect? Calender says it should have been posted at 7:30 EST but still no digits. Just wondering how it works. Thanks
  • #3
  • Aug 1, 2008 7:17am Aug 1, 2008 7:17am
Quoting jcminvest
How much of a delay can you expect? Calender says it should have been posted at 7:30 EST but still no digits. Just wondering how it works. Thanks
8:30 EST not 7;30
  • #4
  • Aug 1, 2008 7:21am Aug 1, 2008 7:21am
hmm i must adjust my clock then I suppose haha bummer
Lets do this...
  • #5
  • Aug 1, 2008 7:21am Aug 1, 2008 7:21am
Quoting jcminvest
How much of a delay can you expect? Calender says it should have been posted at 7:30 EST but still no digits. Just wondering how it works. Thanks
10 mins to go.
Heres my secret plan.
sell ej 167.93, buy gc 2.0653, buy eg 7845..ofcourse none of these may get triggered.

  • #6
  • Aug 1, 2008 7:21am Aug 1, 2008 7:21am
Anyone have any predictions other then whats given?
Lets do this...
  • #7
  • Aug 1, 2008 7:22am Aug 1, 2008 7:22am
yeah it should be interesting... im gonna hang on here to see what everyone thinks when it comes out
Lets do this...
  • #8
  • Aug 1, 2008 7:24am Aug 1, 2008 7:24am
My guess it will be at +5k... I'm expecting a positive number, consensus at -75k...
  • #9
  • Aug 1, 2008 7:25am Aug 1, 2008 7:25am
Quoting MarkGavalda
My guess it will be at +5k... I'm expecting a positive number, consensus at -75k...
So you would look for the eur/usd to bull up? I like the move following the TL with my 4 hour GBP/USD. But it's a wild card here so we'll see
Lets do this...
  • #10
  • Aug 1, 2008 7:26am Aug 1, 2008 7:26am
carefull, we might have a huge doji forming on the first hour post release, and then you never know the direction from the news. Last month was a buy the rumour sell the news effect, it might be the exact opposite today.... just be carefull
  • #11
  • Aug 1, 2008 7:27am Aug 1, 2008 7:27am
4:30pm +4gmt ,just over 2 minutes left
fontu
Not understand?better not follow my analyses!doubt clearer first, risks ++
  • #12
  • Aug 1, 2008 7:27am Aug 1, 2008 7:27am
Quoting MarkGavalda
My guess it will be at +5k... I'm expecting a positive number, consensus at -75k...
If that is based on ADP...who knows...they were way off last few times.
  • #13
  • Aug 1, 2008 7:39am Aug 1, 2008 7:39am
anyone see a report yet?
Lets do this...
  • #14
  • Aug 1, 2008 7:40am Aug 1, 2008 7:40am
Well a nice boost to the USD for now. A good primer (although not always accurate) to where NFP would go would be the ADP report that comes out the wed. before. In this case, it was the right direction.

-James
  • #15
  • Aug 1, 2008 7:49am Aug 1, 2008 7:49am
matched 51 K better then what was expected. So what is everyone expecting to see?
Lets do this...
  • #16
  • Aug 1, 2008 7:49am Aug 1, 2008 7:49am
could be priced in already, don't know if the $ will keep going up
  • #17
  • Aug 1, 2008 7:54am Aug 1, 2008 7:54am
haha im gonna take my 14 pips and walk haha
Lets do this...
  • #18
  • Aug 1, 2008 7:55am Aug 1, 2008 7:55am
Not a big movement as numbers were only slightly better than forecast. UCAD making a strong move...will sell at 320 if it gets there tonight.
Right now buying UJ on the dips for scalps is way to go.
  • #19
  • Aug 1, 2008 7:56am Aug 1, 2008 7:56am
Quoting jcminvest
So you would look for the eur/usd to bull up? I like the move following the TL with my 4 hour GBP/USD. But it's a wild card here so we'll see
If the number is more positive than the forecast, (+5k was wwaaay more positive than the expected -75k) then it's GOOD FOR USD, which means that EUR/USD would go DOWN just like it did now. I was trading GBP/USD though, managed to take out +50pips, the direction of my forecast was okay, I was off of the actual amount though.
  • #20
  • Aug 1, 2008 7:59am Aug 1, 2008 7:59am
Quoting MarkGavalda
If the number is more positive than the forecast, (+5k was wwaaay more positive than the expected -75k) then it's GOOD FOR USD, which means that EUR/USD would go DOWN just like it did now. I was trading GBP/USD though, managed to take out +50pips, the direction of my forecast was okay, I was off of the actual amount though.
well done my friend. I've been watching the GBP/USD hard this week but got burned on that spike but welcome to the game right? Is anyone following Bearish TL on EUR/USD? Think it will continue?
Lets do this...
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