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Help needed in OANDA + users from Malaysia 105 replies

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Malaysia

  • #15,101
  • Jul 3, 2008 6:57am Jul 3, 2008 6:57am
The remaining SHORT hit SL at 1 pip Green while I was swimming. Staying out for now. NFP coming out.
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  • #15,102
  • Jul 3, 2008 7:02am Jul 3, 2008 7:02am
As predicted... 1st scenario played out well... PRICED IN... now let see the 2nd scenario when NFP release.

7:45am EUR http://www.forexfactory.com/images/m...mpact_high.gif Minimum Bid Rate 4.25% 4.25% 4.00%

Quoting Malaysia
Here is the scenario tomorrow. Just my prediction not recommendation. For EU... highly expected HAWKISH and hiking IR. Tomorrow Euro News will cause Fiber to pricing in meaning Bullish and might go up higher during the News release. The thing is... how HIGH it can go? What happen if everything already PRICED IN?

What happen if ECB suddenly change their mind and decided to hold IR the same?... that is another story. Possibility is there since the culprit of high INFLATION not because of booming economy situation but rather the high cost of OIL.

However, after that... NFP will be announced. If GOOD NFP... wow weee... I can see the GIGANTIC WHIPSAW already whereby Fiber will FREE FALL with the surprising GOOD NFP. If BAD NFP... Fiber will continue the journey up depending on how much it has been PRICING IN.

For CABLE... I am still CLUELESS. Bias a bit on the BEAR for CABLE since I don't see yet UK Economy is doing OK. As long as CABLE below the psychological Resistance at 2.0000... the bear still having influence. Above that... another story.

Anyone else wanna share scenario possibility for tomorrow? Big Day!!!

Trade At Your Own Risk.
  • #15,103
  • Jul 3, 2008 7:43am Jul 3, 2008 7:43am
8:30am EUR http://www.forexfactory.com/images/m...mpact_high.gif ECB Press Conference
8:30am USD http://www.forexfactory.com/images/m...mpact_high.gif Nonfarm Employment Change -62K -60K -62K
8:30am USD http://www.forexfactory.com/images/m...mpact_high.gif Unemployment Rate 5.5% 5.4% 5.5%
8:30am USD http://www.forexfactory.com/images/m...act_medium.gif Average Hourly Earnings m/m 0.3% 0.3% 0.3%
8:30am USD http://www.forexfactory.com/images/m...act_medium.gif Unemployment Claims 404K 384K 388K

Overall bad... but immediate effect... looks like USD is strengthening. Perhaps BAD is normal for US now... as long as not as bad as surprising BAD. Market not that volatile though. We've seen worst than this.
  • #15,104
  • Jul 3, 2008 7:53am Jul 3, 2008 7:53am
Anyone with me on this? I already got SL 1 pip on the green

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  • #15,105
  • Jul 3, 2008 7:55am Jul 3, 2008 7:55am
Quoting Malaysia
Anyone with me on this? I already got SL 1 pip on the green


me
  • #15,106
  • Jul 3, 2008 7:55am Jul 3, 2008 7:55am
Anyone with me on this one? I also already got SL 1pip on the green for this one

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  • #15,107
  • Jul 3, 2008 8:03am Jul 3, 2008 8:03am
Quoting Malaysia
Anyone with me on this one? I also already got SL 1pip on the green for this one

i'm again
  • #15,108
  • Jul 3, 2008 8:07am Jul 3, 2008 8:07am
Quoting tma_21
i'm again
You better not blaming me If CABLE and FIBER suddenly shoot up

Still got more news coming out... and the DJI performance after confirming itself in the bear market yesterday. Let see in about half an hour time for NYSE to active. Will DJI submerge from the BEAR Territory?
  • #15,109
  • Jul 3, 2008 8:19am Jul 3, 2008 8:19am
Me also
  • #15,110
  • Jul 3, 2008 8:27am Jul 3, 2008 8:27am
Quoting Malaysia
You better not blaming me If CABLE and FIBER suddenly shoot up

Still got more news coming out... and the DJI performance after confirming itself in the bear market yesterday. Let see in about half an hour time for NYSE to active. Will DJI submerge from the BEAR Territory?


never mind bro...
i'll never blame u..
hehe...always "T.A.Y.O.R"....
anyway..u r my sifu...
  • #15,111
  • Jul 3, 2008 8:42am Jul 3, 2008 8:42am
CLOSED all my SHORT!!! Happy enough

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  • #15,112
  • Jul 3, 2008 8:44am Jul 3, 2008 8:44am
Quoting Malaysia
When I first found out that DJI officially confirmed in the BEAR MARKET... I straight away SHORTed GJ because expecting RISK AVERSION psychology later on.

My SL about 130pips away... which is well above the weekly Pivot. Looking at a higher TF... I noticed that GJ had tested the same RESISTANCE level for 5 times on H4 chart. Very important level that is. Since it failed on the last attempt... I am expecting a move down very likely.

T.A.Y.O.R.

Still got this SHORT on GEPPY floating. I'll be happy if I manage to close this at BE.
  • #15,113
  • Jul 3, 2008 9:04am Jul 3, 2008 9:04am
USA still in trouble... DJI still in the bear territory. The bear still strong with no sign of the bull at all.

Plus this RED News just came out... magnifying things out.

10:00pm USD http://www.forexfactory.com/images/m...mpact_high.gif ISM Non-Manufacturing Composite 48.2 51.1 51.7
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  • #15,114
  • Jul 3, 2008 9:17am Jul 3, 2008 9:17am
Watch this... priced in... n channel does not broken.. will place PO around resistance level...

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placing one PO for buy stop around 1.9860...

T.A.Y.O.R!!!
  • #15,115
  • Jul 3, 2008 9:41am Jul 3, 2008 9:41am
And then... the BULL appear. Will it be strong enough to get back into the BULL Territory?
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  • #15,116
  • Jul 3, 2008 10:16am Jul 3, 2008 10:16am
Man... I missed the 1000th page. hehe. anyway, my Cable short reach my target. but USD/JPY is floating around 40pips+ before NFP, and make a 10m platform dive, hit my SL 2 pip above BE, and make its way up 100pip+. erghh... next time need more breathing space. but my posts on demo account still running for USD/JPY. alhamdulillah...
  • #15,117
  • Jul 3, 2008 11:15am Jul 3, 2008 11:15am
I'm looking forward for a completion of corrective subwave e (cyan) and ii (yellow) before expecting any possible bearish continuation movement. A strong resistance from the major upper green trendline (triangle) would bolster this point of view. But please be carefull if the price make a true breakout to the upper green triangle trendline. Good luck.
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  • #15,118
  • Jul 3, 2008 11:48am Jul 3, 2008 11:48am
Quoting johnbaem
Watch this... priced in... n channel does not broken.. will place PO around resistance level...
placing one PO for buy stop around 1.9860...

T.A.Y.O.R!!!
wahh!!,..same thinking with u bro...

here is my standing point on gu & eu..
still stare on the last candle on gu will it break the yellow line or not!!! got another 18 min.
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"A smooth sea never made a skilled mariner"
  • #15,119
  • Jul 3, 2008 11:59am Jul 3, 2008 11:59am
Quoting Malaysia
And then... the BULL appear. Will it be strong enough to get back into the BULL Territory?
So far... still not strong enough. Still in the BEAR Territory.
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  • #15,120
  • Jul 3, 2008 12:08pm Jul 3, 2008 12:08pm
Quoting AWIE
still stare on the last candle on gu will it break the yellow line or not!!! got another 18 min.
the result is,...hmmm it closed smack right in the middle of the line,..maybe continue to rubber set...arggh another 4hr,..just wait until subuh.. better of to sleep now,..
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"A smooth sea never made a skilled mariner"
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