Auslanco - GBP/JPY and GBP/USD (newstrade)

Quoting lilmoe

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that's what i was pointing out, but i think mine is clearer since i don't have the bold arrow, lol

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Quoting shakesfx

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Or 1.9400*103.10=200.01

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Quoting Jerry

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nice analyze

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Quoting hussin naiji

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only fell payrolls in U.S can help to us

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Quoting shakesfx

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Or 1.9400*103.10=200.01

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Quoting hussin naiji

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with high probably
http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?p...F8s&refer=home

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Quoting Jerry

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we are in one board
im yen bear now
http://imgs14.stockmediaserver.com/t.../gwil14017.jpg

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Quoting lilmoe

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the last time something similar happend was back in may of 1999, and a very slow 3000pip drop happened after that. this might be as slow as the other one, or even slower, might take months to reach the bottom before the carry gets it's winding ass back. it would be virtually impossible to actually figure out the bottom. i'm not sure if 177 will be enough for this movement, but anything's possible.

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Quoting auslanco

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Dear traders....
I decided to start my own thread because there are some other great traders who can provide very valuable analysis of GBP/JPY on the other thread , and I feel that my trade calls are overshadowing those good analysis contributed by other experienced traders.
This thread is mainly focused for new traders who want to learn my trading methods.

Money Management & Trading habits:
Maximum 2% risk per pair. What that means is when you calculate your stop losses your stop loss amount has to be within 2% of your account .If the trade goes against you, the maximum you will loose is 2% of your account. This way it also prevents you from getting panic attacks when the trade retrace against you resulting you close the trade pre maturely. If your desired stop losses do not come within 2% of your account don’t take that trade. As I always say, you may miss one trade but there are millions more to come.
You always have to calculate your risk every time before you enter your trades.
Your risk to profit ratio has to be minimum 1:1. That means if you are taking a 2% risk on a trade make sure your profit target would be at least 2%.
Always have realistic targets. My aim is 300 % capital growth per year. The lesser your target is lesser the risk of losing your own money. Even if you have 50% capital growth per year you are doing better than 90% of the worlds biggest hedge funds.
More trades you take the more you expose your account for losses. No trader in this world can profit from every single market move.
Patience plays a big part in trading. Take the trades only if you are at least 90% sure of profiting from it. If you are not sure stay away from the trade. Staying on the sideline is as good as winning.
Never trade against the trend. Specially with a high volatile pair like GBP/JPY. It may give you couple of winning trades. But it’s going to get you in the long run.
Always have a trading strategy ... make a habit to stick to it doesn’t matter how desperate you are. Always trust your strategy but not bloomberg or some statement from citibank. Don’t go with your gut feeling because 95% of the time your gut feeling is wrong.
Your charts are your forex bible. Everything what you need to know about forex is on your charts. You will learn something new everyday from you charts.
Specialize in one or two pairs. Every single pair has it’s own characteristics. No two pairs are the same. Don’t trade all the pairs your broker can offer. If you specialize in one or two pairs very soon you will be able to read the pair like a road map .
Stay away from the ranging markets. There will be enough of trend break outs on this pair than you ever want. Why take any extra risks trying to chase 20 pips on a ranging markets when you can grab 200 pips on a break out.
As Monarc mentioned traders are a greedy bunch. Less greedy once are the most successful once.
Don’t try to chase every single pip or market movement. Have a realistic weekly or monthly target as a percentage of your account . Not the number of pips. If you have already achieved that target stay away from the market. As I mentioned before.. the more you trade there is more risk of losing your money.
The losses are part of the game. Do not try to cover all your previous losses from your next trade. First your trading plan has to include at least 50% of losing trades. Then you can cut down on the number of losing trades while you gain experience and confidence.
When you start you must demo trade at least for the first 3 months to build a trading strategy. Then for the next 3 months trade on a demo account or a micro account and test your strategy coupled with a good money management strategy. When you are fully confident then trade with your real account.
Use minimum account leverage. Don’t abuse it. My recommendation for new traders is maximum one mini lot for every $2500 or one full lot for every $25000.
At last ... remember there is no easy way to become a good consistently profitable trader. No one can become a profitable trader overnight. As everything else in life it takes time, patience lots of sacrifices and learning. Don’t be afraid of mistakes.
It took me 8 months to make my first consistent $100 per week. Since then making money is like a walk in the park.

Edit 07/31/07:
Notes about SI:
Quote:
Originally Posted by ovidiu http://www.forexfactory.com/images/buttons/viewpost.gif
I promise to not ask anything else that's not related directly to your strategy from now on, cause I realize that I am flooding with all this SI thing, but could you point me from where can I get that indicator, cause know is all I need to have an exact replica of your setting.

Add "Qualitative Quantitative Estimation" to VT. It is the same as "SI". A's is a commercial product that he can't pimp on this thread. PM him if you want to pay for it.

This info would be good on page 1 as well. It has been asked a thousand times.

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Quoting forexpert

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Learn the basics first is what I have to say.

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Quoting forexpert

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Learn the basics first is what I have to say. Auslanco's advice to take the trades only if you are at least 90% profiting is what I go by. So remember the basics.

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Quoting hussin naiji

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but lilmoe
im with you

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Quoting OrionsWay

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One might call that a reversal bar

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Quoting shakesfx

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Hope everyone had a great weekend!
I eventually managed to sort out my firewall, so can now post charts again.


Here's what I see:

First Chart DAILY - Notice the Z MACD, Z Stochs, QQE and Price Action. Also note the conjested area of the SMA's (white SMA is 156). Price jumps above before large drop.

Second Chart DAILY - Zoom in of the Bearish divergence on Z MACD, Triple top etc

Third Chart 4hr -Bearish divergence, indicators identical to the Feb. drop.

I am holding Short from 208.60 area witha SL above 210, and thought to myself (check previous post about me thinking the big boys would spike before a drop, which as you know happened in a 30 sec. period last thing on Friday):.. that if I was a large institution and IF we were to drop - I certainly wouldn't let everyone else on board.
I would know that Buy orders were triggered at 208.20, more were just above 209.20/45, and SL's were also building just above 209.00/45...so I would spike up triggering the buy orders and SL's before dropping Price back down.

Tonight and tomorrow will show the way...If this is the drop, I think we can expect to see all resistance and TL's smashed and a retest of 198 quicker than you can drop a hat, my guess is a 1000 pip move down by Friday close. Of course this pair will do what it wants, but I've realised that by trading the opposite to the general market view is keeping me on the right side of trades these days.

Looking forward to the next few days bros!

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Quoting Küster

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What's going on?????????My broker aint opened yet...

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