Attachments: Cesarnc's market talk, gossips, rumours & fun

Cesarnc's market talk, gossips, rumours & fun

#8,081
May 2, 2008 1:02am May 2, 2008 1:02am

ganymedes
| Joined Aug 2006 | Status: Trader | 320 Posts

Quoting Ash

Disliked

I'm totally with you. Let's trade. This up and down shit market has taken it's toll on long term investors. We need those 1000+ pip trades. We want those 1000+ pip trades!!!!!!!!!!!!!

Ignored

Oh, yesss...

Yesterday was quite excellent, actually

I'm a "long volatility" kind of guy, so nothing pisses me off more than those 0,0x% days or endless whipsawing...

#8,082
May 2, 2008 1:34am May 2, 2008 1:34am

ganymedes
| Joined Aug 2006 | Status: Trader | 320 Posts

Quoting cesarnc

Disliked

Since de123 didn't show up this time, here goes the:

NFP Poll

Last: -80K
Forecast: -80K

Actual:

a) worse than or equal to -80K
b) better than -80K
c) cooked +80K
d) I have no idea, I'll just long the dollar if good, short the dollar if bad, just to see my account being sucked out by the big modafoka sharks.

I'm C

Ignored

B, but C would be perfectly fine too

I expect it to be better than the forecast, but will definately regard a too good number as cooked BS or statistical noise.

Looking for a continuation of yesterday's run in the markets today.
Let's hope the employment numbers and earnings will support that.

Dow is down < 2% for the year, so a year high is very close now...

#8,083
May 2, 2008 1:48am May 2, 2008 1:48am

Ash
Joined Jul 2007 | Status: Never Give In | 2,518 Posts

Quoting cesarnc

Disliked

Since de123 didn't show up this time, here goes the:

NFP Poll

Last: -80K
Forecast: -80K

Actual:

a) worse than or equal to -80K
b) better than -80K
c) cooked +80K
d) I have no idea, I'll just long the dollar if good, short the dollar if bad, just to see my account being sucked out by the big modafoka sharks.

I'm C

Ignored

I would have to save b but wouldn't be suprised with c.

Now let's see if the bulls have big enough balls to break the next barrier in the S&P which is 1430.

Humble Lifetime Member

#8,084
May 2, 2008 5:35am May 2, 2008 5:35am

ganymedes
| Joined Aug 2006 | Status: Trader | 320 Posts

BTW, what's up with cable? Why a rally today..?
We have dollar strength and today's GBP data was below the forecast?

#8,085
May 2, 2008 5:43am May 2, 2008 5:43am

cesarnc
Joined Nov 2006 | Status: Shoot all the clowns.. Shoot'em all | 14,520 Posts

Quoting ganymedes

Disliked

BTW, what's up with cable? Why a rally today..?
We have dollar strength and today's GBP data was below the forecast?

Ignored

To me it is - for some reason - GJ on the move ahead of the news. NFP can erase this whole morning move, though.

From CNBC:
Investors are anticipating another gloomy reading on U.S. employment on Friday, though market reaction may be somewhat muted.

Stock market participants appear to believe they have already taken into account current economic weakness.With the government sending stimulus checks out to taxpayers and Federal Reserve rate cuts still working their way through the financial system, many investors are confident the economy will rebound in the second half of the year.

"What we're seeing is that maybe the economy is not falling off a cliff, but perhaps leveling off," said Peter Cardillo, chief market economist at New York-based brokerage house Avalon Partners. "I think the Fed (rate-cutting campaign) is over with, even though the Fed's statement didn't say that."

#8,086
May 2, 2008 5:45am May 2, 2008 5:45am

Clouds
Joined Apr 2008 | Status: Trader | 7,674 Posts

Quoting ganymedes

Disliked

BTW, what's up with cable? Why a rally today..?
We have dollar strength and today's GBP data was below the forecast?

Ignored

I don't know why. But it's ok, yes?

#8,087
May 2, 2008 5:46am May 2, 2008 5:46am

de123
Joined Sep 2006 | Status: Trader | 2,272 Posts

Quoting cesarnc

Disliked

Since de123 didn't show up this time, here goes the:

NFP Poll

Last: -80K
Forecast: -80K

Actual:

a) worse than or equal to -80K
b) better than -80K
c) cooked +80K
d) I have no idea, I'll just long the dollar if good, short the dollar if bad, just to see my account being sucked out by the big modafoka sharks.

I'm C

Ignored

its just money

#8,088
May 2, 2008 6:31am May 2, 2008 6:31am

ganymedes
| Joined Aug 2006 | Status: Trader | 320 Posts

Quoting cesarnc

Disliked

To me it is - for some reason - GJ on the move ahead of the news. NFP can erase this whole morning move, though.

Ignored

Hmmm, maybe time to short it then....

#8,089
May 2, 2008 6:41am May 2, 2008 6:41am

ganymedes
| Joined Aug 2006 | Status: Trader | 320 Posts

OK, I'm ready:
Short EURUSD, short GBPUSD, long Dow.
Let's party!

#8,090
May 2, 2008 6:43am May 2, 2008 6:43am

cesarnc
Joined Nov 2006 | Status: Shoot all the clowns.. Shoot'em all | 14,520 Posts

Quoting ganymedes

Disliked

Hmmm, maybe time to short it then....

Ignored

I'd wait until the release. NFP can be really tricky, specially with carries, specially if there is big revision.

I've seen so many crazy reactions to NFP that brokers should be obligated to supply LSD to the customers in the NFP week

#8,091
May 2, 2008 6:56am May 2, 2008 6:56am

ganymedes
| Joined Aug 2006 | Status: Trader | 320 Posts

Quoting cesarnc

Disliked

I'd wait until the release. NFP can be really tricky, specially with carries, specially if there is big revision.

I've seen so many crazy reactions to NFP that brokers should be obligated to supply LSD to the customers in the NFP week

Ignored

Yes, short cable is probably a bit silly of me. It's actually strong across the board today, gains against EUR, USD, CAD, CHF, JPY, AUD, you name it...

#8,092
May 2, 2008 7:00am May 2, 2008 7:00am

ganymedes
| Joined Aug 2006 | Status: Trader | 320 Posts

Quoting cesarnc

Disliked

I'd wait until the release. NFP can be really tricky, specially with carries, specially if there is big revision.

I've seen so many crazy reactions to NFP that brokers should be obligated to supply LSD to the customers in the NFP week

Ignored

True

#8,093
May 2, 2008 7:26am May 2, 2008 7:26am

myles
| Joined Aug 2007 | Status: C.E.O. of Pips | 141 Posts

Quoting cesarnc

Disliked

I'd wait until the release. NFP can be really tricky, specially with carries, specially if there is big revision.

I've seen so many crazy reactions to NFP that brokers should be obligated to supply LSD to the customers in the NFP week

Ignored

Heard the other day that the guy that discoverd (by accident) LSD
took his final trip @ 100 or so years old!

To laugh, to learn, and to teach!