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Auslanco - GBP/JPY and GBP/USD (newstrade)

  • #75,321
  • Apr 24, 2008 4:11pm Apr 24, 2008 4:11pm
guys how do i clear my attachments, they are getting too much. does it affect my browsing speed. thanlks
  • #75,322
  • Apr 24, 2008 4:12pm Apr 24, 2008 4:12pm
Quoting Clouds
True. But do you think CHF will not weaken either? I just it was funny, that IF GBP/JPY goes up, it's doing same thing as GBP/CHF a day late.
this day is sort of wicked, safe haven CHF and YEN were sold in favour of a bullish USD. i dont know what they are up to or what they know what i dont. however, if nothing else moves but the USD part, all currencies move likewise up/down.
  • #75,323
  • Apr 24, 2008 4:15pm Apr 24, 2008 4:15pm
Quoting frevd
this day is sort of wicked, safe haven CHF and YEN were sold in favour of a bullish USD. i dont know what they are up to or what they know what i dont. however, if nothing else moves but the USD part, all currencies move likewise up/down.
Maybe they are loading up on dollars, to sell them tomorrow?
  • #75,324
  • Apr 24, 2008 4:19pm Apr 24, 2008 4:19pm
Quoting Clouds
Maybe they are loading up on dollars, to sell them tomorrow?
i'd really like to know for what reason they should do that all together, not tomorrow, there is no news for that. it smells like having sth. to do with the interest rate statement on wednesday. or a desperate try to push usd higher as a type of sentiment it has been down long enough lol. however, no reason for that to believe either. so what can it be? a nice experiment in what risk taking can achieve for a trend change, a silent collective central bank intervention or a bull trap. however, i stay short usd till i have a real reason for getting out.
  • #75,325
  • Apr 24, 2008 4:23pm Apr 24, 2008 4:23pm
Quoting frevd
i'd really like to know for what reason they should do that all together, not tomorrow, there is no news for that. it smells like having sth. to do with the interest rate statement on wednesday. or a desperate try to push usd higher as a type of sentiment it has been down long enough lol. however, no reason for that to believe either. so what can it be? a nice experiment in what risk taking can achieve for a trend change, a silent collective central bank intervention or a bull trap. however, i stay short usd till i have a real reason for getting out.
I posted this in another thread. but this may have something to do with it.
Purchase Date Thursday, 24 April 2008
Swiss National Bank's US Dollar Auction of
22 April 2008
http://www.snb.ch/en/mmr/reference/p...0080422.en.pdf
  • #75,326
  • Apr 24, 2008 4:28pm Apr 24, 2008 4:28pm
yeah, the date would fit. but the snb is not the only one to sell usd, boj does as well as many others.
my theory is that we currently see all currencies winding down, for that we will see bull phases of usd. so usd isnt getting any better, but the effects on world economy weaken the other currencies so that usd appears better just in relation. this as least would make sense of the silly up and down of all currencies over the recent months.
i know, sounds a bit paranoid but i can see no reason for a bottom of that process yet.
  • #75,327
  • Apr 24, 2008 4:30pm Apr 24, 2008 4:30pm
Quoting frevd
yeah, the date would fit. but the snb is not the only one to sell usd, boj does as well as many others.
my theory is that we currently see all currencies winding down, for that we will see bull phases of usd. so usd isnt getting any better, but the effects on world economy weaken the other currencies so that usd appears better just in relation. this as least would make sense of the silly up and down of all currencies over the recent months.
i know, sounds a bit paranoid but i can see no reason for a bottom of that process yet.
and finally this would explain why we can see a steady rise in commodities. this then measures the real deficit.
  • #75,328
  • Apr 24, 2008 4:33pm Apr 24, 2008 4:33pm
Quoting frevd
yeah, the date would fit. but the snb is not the only one to sell usd, boj does as well as many others.
my theory is that we currently see all currencies winding down, for that we will see bull phases of usd. so usd isnt getting any better, but the effects on world economy weaken the other currencies so that usd appears better just in relation. this as least would make sense of the silly up and down of all currencies over the recent months.
i know, sounds a bit paranoid but i can see no reason for a bottom of that process yet.
Look at USD/CHF daily, that's an auction candle. I don't think gold will go much more down, and euro will bounce back up. The US wants a devalued dollar until they are out of Iraq. imho.
  • #75,329
  • Apr 24, 2008 4:34pm Apr 24, 2008 4:34pm
ok, i'm not intending to watch this deadways sh*t today on gj till london, cu next time.
  • #75,330
  • Apr 24, 2008 4:35pm Apr 24, 2008 4:35pm
Quoting Clouds
Look at USD/CHF daily, that's an auction candle. I don't think gold will go much more down, and euro will bounce back up. The US wants a devalued dollar until they are out of Iraq. imho.
good point lol.
  • #75,331
  • Apr 24, 2008 4:41pm Apr 24, 2008 4:41pm
any suggestion on the probabilies of gj or gu tomorrow?please ....ephisi, frevd, jarroo any body .....i just need to rob mind on it
Respect a man, and he will do all the more.
  • #75,332
  • Apr 24, 2008 4:45pm Apr 24, 2008 4:45pm
Quoting urchman
any suggestion on the probabilies of gj or gu tomorrow?please ....ephisi, frevd, jarroo any body .....i just need to rob mind on it
I don't know, but what does this mean for JPY?
http://www.boj.or.jp/en/type/stat/bo...i/cspi0803.pdf
  • #75,333
  • Apr 24, 2008 4:47pm Apr 24, 2008 4:47pm
Quoting urchman
any suggestion on the probabilies of gj or gu tomorrow?please ....ephisi, frevd, jarroo any body .....i just need to rob mind on it
nope, way too risky. i'm shorting gj because i think uj will go down. i'm not sure about pound, it is likely to recover to 9850 but if it breaks 9680 it will head down to somewhere at 95XX.
  • #75,334
  • Apr 24, 2008 4:51pm Apr 24, 2008 4:51pm
I don't understand why the US would want that.. Please explain

Quoting Clouds
The US wants a devalued dollar until they are out of Iraq. imho.
  • #75,335
  • Apr 24, 2008 4:52pm Apr 24, 2008 4:52pm
Quoting urchman
any suggestion on the probabilies of gj or gu tomorrow?please ....ephisi, frevd, jarroo any body .....i just need to rob mind on it
No one knows where Price will go.
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
  • #75,336
  • Apr 24, 2008 4:54pm Apr 24, 2008 4:54pm
Quoting SuperV900
I don't understand why the US would want that.. Please explain
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Plaza_Accord
  • #75,337
  • Apr 24, 2008 4:56pm Apr 24, 2008 4:56pm
Quoting Clouds
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Plaza_Accord
haha, i always say central banks are evil, they ruin the world economy. uh but wait, there is no real value behind the money anyways thanks to these institutions.
  • #75,338
  • Apr 24, 2008 5:00pm Apr 24, 2008 5:00pm
good morning all gmt+1ers.
  • #75,339
  • Apr 24, 2008 5:02pm Apr 24, 2008 5:02pm
a good view on CB's and their desire
http://video.google.com/videoplay?do...84583209015812
"Millionaires don't use astrology, billionaires do"
  • #75,340
  • Apr 24, 2008 5:02pm Apr 24, 2008 5:02pm
Quoting jarroo
No one knows where Price will go.
If I was a bank in Japan, I'd be buying Euros, but we'll see.
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