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Spuds Stochastic Thread Theory

  • #161
  • Apr 3, 2008 8:33am Apr 3, 2008 8:33am
A fascinating theory you have here Spud. Thanks so much for sharing it.

I'm only several pages into it, but I plan on printing them all out so I can read them thoroughly over the weekend.

Just curious, but have you noticed any correlations between reading the threads and Elliott wave count? I don't have access to my charts today, but that's something I may investigate. I also have a 4HR money management system that I think will work nicely with the thread theory.

Cheers!

G
  • #162
  • Apr 3, 2008 9:55pm Apr 3, 2008 9:55pm
Quoting fxxx
here you go! dem good movie! good start - expend a bit to 1.5 - 2 kg, put sound(or loop or .midi) or written comments on very chart or subtitles) short subjects can be covered with standard windows movie file (w/out flash, ppoint etc) - good idea;
Jackt, what you been using?

p.s. oh - i see-9.07 MB heavy - but you put 607 kbps and200(?) frames per sec(can't be right)
acceptable quality 4 video (like slide show) - could be111kbps 1-3 frame per second or less (sound- that's what's heavy) : 196kb zip
Thats what i needs to know
  • #163
  • Apr 4, 2008 3:45am Apr 4, 2008 3:45am
Quoting jackt
How about a small video helper
Thanks for posting that! Guess there should be more videos around!

Greetz!
Gnat
  • #164
  • Apr 4, 2008 2:43pm Apr 4, 2008 2:43pm
http://articles.mql4.com/594

Easy Way to Publish Video at MQL4.Community
  • #165
  • Apr 4, 2008 10:27pm Apr 4, 2008 10:27pm
Quoting fxxx
http://articles.mql4.com/594

Easy Way to Publish Video at MQL4.Community
Any idea how to add annotation during or after screen capturing?
  • #166
  • Edited Apr 6, 2008 1:41am Apr 5, 2008 11:53pm | Edited Apr 6, 2008 1:41am
during - just pause recording and type in the chart
past - does Camstudio has no titles/text options?

speaking of video movie formats - if use windows media or divX codec -
i stick subtitles just to try - quality suck (maybe because video/not chart/picture)

compare 49kbps-6min and 76kbps-3min; twice shorter...
well, we'll never know unless we try (simple MovieMaker included in Windows used (dem tractor)
Attached File(s)
File Type: zip kam2ttl_bl49kbps3.zip   1.7 MB | 1,375 downloads
File Type: zip kam2ttl_p1w76kbps.zip   1.8 MB | 1,268 downloads
  • #167
  • Apr 7, 2008 2:32pm Apr 7, 2008 2:32pm
When i was studying ths threa dfor the first time i saw something like this...
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: stoch 1.gif Size: 50 KB
  • #168
  • Apr 9, 2008 9:57am Apr 9, 2008 9:57am
Quoting emda
you have to add the LTFS indicator also... the blue one...
the yellow lines are when there is a considerable difference between the LTFS and HTFS... know as elasticity. usually predict main stoch to turn... if is a positive elasticity... or main stoch to keep going if it is negative elasticty...

the last vertical thin yellow line is only to separate the last bar that is being updated each quote.
so is it mean when the rope show us to buy ,if the elasticity is up(yellow bar)
dont buy?
when its negative can buy?
Please explain in details...................please...........
  • #169
  • May 2, 2008 10:57am May 2, 2008 10:57am
Quoting B@by trader
so is it mean when the rope show us to buy ,if the elasticity is up(yellow bar)
dont buy?
when its negative can buy?
Please explain in details...................please...........

sorry I didn't see this post before...

I only tlook at the elasticity created from the blue lower time frames one... so if I see the red ones attacfhed to the wall stoch... and the blue ones have deployed and starting to return to the wall+red ones line.

a good strategy is to enter when the rope crosses 50 level... and closing it when it reaches the oversold or overbought levels.. or when it returns from those.
  • #170
  • May 12, 2008 1:27pm May 12, 2008 1:27pm
I love how people get together to work towards a common goal.. my question is have you every considered adding

1) Smooth Momentum Index used with the following settings... ?
a) 10,3,5,3 Up is Green Down is Red
b) 50,15,5,3 Up is Blue Green down is Black
When the they turn green and blue green together on an upward path or
Red and Black together on a downward path it gives additional confirmation of the direction being a commitment. I've only seen this on IT-Finance so far but you can do this also with two stochastics as well

2) Have you ever thought of adding equal moving averages of the fibonacci levels from 3 to 15 blue and 30 to 60 of Red. Also uses the wall their or the fishnet cross? just thought to add.

3) Last, would be nice to examine the impact of the distance in the stochastic from the %k and %d and see as it sometimes guides a long term trend.. Was wondering of someone can program this idea...

4) Fractals anyone? Not to overload the chart and these do lag as indicators but on smaller TF's give direction for larger ones ...

Thanks again for the openness..

Rich
  • #171
  • May 12, 2008 4:53pm May 12, 2008 4:53pm
I'm loving the template and the indicator. I have been searching for ways to either add to a trade in strong trends or to get into a trade if I have missed the first signal of the day on my main method of trading (Imran Sait's Laguerre method).

This strategy is ideal, and also seems to work very well on 5M and 15M timeframes, which are my preferred choice (I close all positions overnight - yes it often costs me pips but I sleep better!)

I have done some limited backtesting, and this has confirmed what I suspected / hoped would be the case - when the rope forms at the same time as a Laguerre signal the pips are simply awesome, especially (not surprisingly) on GBPJPY

Andy
  • #172
  • May 13, 2008 1:57pm May 13, 2008 1:57pm
piplander
Member
Member Since Mar 2008
Posts: 1


http://www.forexfactory.com/images/icons/icon1.gif This is really super of you
I love how people get together to work towards a common goal.. my question is have you every considered adding

1) Smooth Momentum Index used with the following settings... ?
a) 10,3,5,3 Up is Green Down is Red
b) 50,15,5,3 Up is Blue Green down is Black
When the they turn green and blue green together on an upward path or
Red and Black together on a downward path it gives additional confirmation of the direction being a commitment. I've only seen this on IT-Finance so far but you can do this also with two stochastics as well


Could you upload the indi and a chart example? Thanks!
  • #173
  • May 13, 2008 1:58pm May 13, 2008 1:58pm
Andy B
Member
Member Since Apr 2008
Posts: 24


http://www.forexfactory.com/images/icons/icon1.gif
I'm loving the template and the indicator. I have been searching for ways to either add to a trade in strong trends or to get into a trade if I have missed the first signal of the day on my main method of trading (Imran Sait's Laguerre method).

This strategy is ideal, and also seems to work very well on 5M and 15M timeframes, which are my preferred choice (I close all positions overnight - yes it often costs me pips but I sleep better!)

I have done some limited backtesting, and this has confirmed what I suspected / hoped would be the case - when the rope forms at the same time as a Laguerre signal the pips are simply awesome, especially (not surprisingly) on GBPJPY

Andy


Could you upload a chart example? Thanks!
  • #174
  • May 15, 2008 2:34pm May 15, 2008 2:34pm
Here's an example of the SMI at work. It's the bottom most indicator. Then the two turned Black and Red, they confirmed the change from oversold to a short position. I use this as a complimentary indicator. For myself i love it when the change is with the trend for the better volume of trades but counter trends as we know do work. Hope this help clarify how this looks..

The indicator is from IT-Finance's website but i noticed someone has added it before... just check the settings and make each signal invisible when you setup the SMI. Forgot to add that before.. sorry.. ;-)
Attached Image
  • #175
  • May 21, 2008 2:44am May 21, 2008 2:44am
this weekly chart indicates a rope forming... where the LTFS are turning to the wall and the wall is pointin up already...
it can push it very high
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: eu week.png Size: 15 KB
  • #176
  • Jul 23, 2008 9:43pm Jul 23, 2008 9:43pm
what happened to this system? anyone still using it?
Just focus on the pips. The rest is insignificant.
  • #177
  • Jul 24, 2008 8:05am Jul 24, 2008 8:05am
Quoting ayaz
what happened to this system? anyone still using it?

the original concept of threads was added to and thus became too crowded with other indicators that people were adding. The basic concept is good.

I still use the first MTF Stochastic trading method that Spud described in his first thread. That method is even more basic, but it really works if you have the discipline to watch and follow it.
  • #178
  • Aug 2, 2008 3:50pm Aug 2, 2008 3:50pm
I found this thread via recommendation from another forum where baby-pippers gather to play
I love this concept, and all the work spud put into explaining it.

But ... what happened to him? In his other thread on this forum he said he was leaving for 4 weeks vacation on July 12 2007 .. and has not been heard from since.
I hope nothing happened to him or his family on that vacation....

If anyone hears anything, please let us know.
  • #179
  • Aug 2, 2008 4:51pm Aug 2, 2008 4:51pm
Quoting TraderStar
I found this thread via recommendation from another forum where baby-pippers gather to play
I love this concept, and all the work spud put into explaining it.

But ... what happened to him? In his other thread on this forum he said he was leaving for 4 weeks vacation on July 12 2007 .. and has not been heard from since.
I hope nothing happened to him or his family on that vacation....

If anyone hears anything, please let us know.
I was able to keep in touch with him some months ago through a pm in another forum (not forex related) , this is his reply :

"Hi, nice to hear from you.

Unfortunately, Forex Factory and I had a bit of a falling out, so to speak. Also, I was also being inundated with too many requests from people who never read what I wrote...just wanted to know the next trade was going to be. Last but not least, I didn't have any time to trade!

Having said that, I may one day put it all and more into a book...if time permits. My goal is still to return to the roots and layout a guide for people to make an income from trading. I hope you took my last piece of advice before I left capitalizing on the CAD/USD going par. Every time the CAD falls below par against the USD by about 2 cents, I'm buying more CAD. It's like a money machine.

Take care.
"

What sounds strange in his reply is when he said : Last but not least, I didn't have any time to trade!
Now if he was a real trader as he stated many time, it's strange that he don't have anymore time to trade Or maybe he did so much $$ with trading and now is busy to spend them

Skyline
  • #180
  • Aug 2, 2008 10:54pm Aug 2, 2008 10:54pm
Quoting skyline
What sounds strange in his reply is when he said : Last but not least, I didn't have any time to trade!
Now if he was a real trader as he stated many time, it's strange that he don't have anymore time to trade Or maybe he did so much $$ with trading and now is busy to spend them
Thanks for that info, I am glad to know he is OK! He may have meant that he did not have time to trade while keeping up with 3 teaching threads and answering all the pm's. And in fact I noticed he was attracting the lazies & lowlifes who just wanted to have their every whim catered to & didn't have time to bother reading through his threads... he may have figured out that the more you give, the more some people expect of you

Strange about the falling out with FF .. sounds like they go after people who become too popular. Hmmmmm.

Well I hope he shows up again on a forex forum, I'm sure the baby-pippers would welcome such as he with open arms.

He had a lot to offer. I wish him well.
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kiaali