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AUD/USD

  • #241
  • Mar 10, 2008 4:13am Mar 10, 2008 4:13am
Here is an Entry Point in a 30-Minutes chart as this pair's successfully break'sdown +70 Pip's almost .... Also See daily chart ...As remain's bearish... Hope so this pair will remain's bearish through-out this week... Waiting for some Important breakdown's...
Also Keep An Eye On some of important Fundamental's through'out the week....
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: 30-minutes.gif Size: 41 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: aud---ud-daily.gif Size: 42 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: weekly.gif Size: 41 KB
  • #242
  • Mar 10, 2008 5:19am Mar 10, 2008 5:19am
Quote


Disagree with you somewhat. Our inflation is being controlled and we do expect another Interest rate rise within two months, will be disappointed if we don't. The Aussie will continue it's trend North till it gets within a whisker of the U.S Dollar, might even reach Parity but I'm not betting my house it would. Go you little beauty Aussie battler.

Inlike, Australia

Thank you for the local perspective. I'll take your word for it, since you likely have a better pulse than I do.
  • #243
  • Mar 10, 2008 12:47pm Mar 10, 2008 12:47pm
Quoting koltri
Unfortunately, I can't post charts of this pair, there none on mt4 for some reason, but my point of view is bearish for this pair for this week. Personally I wait for the open and if it opens lower, I may wait for a little pull back up and short it. If it opens higher, I'll short it right away. Also will add few more lots on a clear break out of 0,9250. The bearish movement should go till about 0,9125 - that's what my fibs say. But also doubt a close below that one.
Than the reason for all that is the Emas+MACD+Psar.
There we are, but it sure takes time to get to the level of 0.9125. And this level now .9180 gets us good support, imo it will be there until the pair gets out of oversold level. But, I'm locking profits....
If you do - don't be afraid, if you are afraid - don't do
  • #244
  • Mar 11, 2008 1:38am Mar 11, 2008 1:38am
Quoting TIckerShuffl
Thank you for the local perspective. I'll take your word for it, since you likely have a better pulse than I do.
dont expect any more interest rate rises for a while. The economy is overheated and still yet to feel the US economy wake - not too mention overstretched credit, massive trade imbalance. it's the trade deficiet and record level of it that points to a downward trend on the value of the currenct - totally overheated and spent.

Also with weak global liquidity some funds are going to have to reverse positions soon - they'll need to the cash.
  • #245
  • Mar 11, 2008 1:46am Mar 11, 2008 1:46am
Aud/usd 0.9120-0.9088 buy zone
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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  • #246
  • Mar 12, 2008 4:38pm Mar 12, 2008 4:38pm
we have two major numbers coming out
any ideas?
"what doesn't bankrupt me, makes me stronger" modern nietzche
  • #247
  • Mar 13, 2008 8:14am Mar 13, 2008 8:14am
Those numbers were great. Looks like Australia, despite negative consumer sentiment, has good things going on in economy for now.

My wife wants to move from US to New Zealand. I better stock up on the Kiwi, I guess.
  • #248
  • Mar 13, 2008 4:48pm Mar 13, 2008 4:48pm
Quoting TIckerShuffl
Those numbers were great. Looks like Australia, despite negative consumer sentiment, has good things going on in economy for now.

My wife wants to move from US to New Zealand. I better stock up on the Kiwi, I guess.
I would be very careful about those numbers. The employments figures are a lagging fundamental and will be based on 2007 and some 2008 when the setiment in the economy was still bullish. The dollar moved higher in the eur and NY session but would be very suprised to see it break much above the high of 95. Then again anything is possible!!! everyone was talking about parity and markets have a strong urge to hit those round figures.

It is my opinion that I think we are starting to see the sentiment change here in Australia you can feel it when you talk to people and there change in spending habits. I would be suprised if we see another Interest rate rise in May becaue I believe other fundamentals coming out will start to show a slowdown. If there are signs of a slowdown then I do not think we will see another one for the rest of the year, it wouldn't suprise me to see a drop towards the end of the year.
  • #249
  • Mar 13, 2008 4:56pm Mar 13, 2008 4:56pm
http://keefermedia.com/content/EURAUSSIE.jpgConsumer confidence was in the dumper, so I hear ya.

getting a little hairy , kind of hanging tight until something gives...can't keep going up forever, it's just really going to the extreme before it turns.

EURAUD forming H&S, but I am not much of believer in H&S, worth watching..neckline at FIB level:

Have to wait for now, because two things can play out with EURUSD and AUDUSD correction, one will be stronger than the other. I might say EURAUD to 1.72 is feasible, with AUDUSD correcting to .92 area, and EURUSD staying flat..no way to tell really though.
  • #250
  • Mar 14, 2008 12:08am Mar 14, 2008 12:08am
Ready to test the 95 handle
  • #251
  • Mar 17, 2008 10:57am Mar 17, 2008 10:57am
Hello, just for sharing, that is my current trade on aud-usd.

Anyone had the same idea (short) ?
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: Immagine.JPG Size: 176 KB
  • #252
  • Mar 17, 2008 11:58am Mar 17, 2008 11:58am
Quoting tunera
Hello, just for sharing, that is my current trade on aud-usd.

Anyone had the same idea (short) ?
Yea good position. Profit can be larger. Dependens on how sharp will be fall.
Good luck.
  • #253
  • Mar 17, 2008 6:14pm Mar 17, 2008 6:14pm
Wish I took my own advice on EURAUD at 1.72 above...



Sometimes it's enough just to see it happen.
  • #254
  • Mar 18, 2008 7:26am Mar 18, 2008 7:26am

What do u think about :
sell limit 0.9317
stop - 50 pips
profit - ?
  • #255
  • Mar 19, 2008 12:55am Mar 19, 2008 12:55am
Quoting Serega

What do u think about :
sell limit 0.9317
stop - 50 pips
profit - ?
Depends what 50 pips means to you. I certainly see room for downside, but this pair is hard to resist for global investors. The inflation could make things hard is there is a "real" slowdown, but not so sure that will happen anytime soon..but it could.
  • #256
  • Mar 19, 2008 2:05am Mar 19, 2008 2:05am
[quote=TIckerShuffl;1911447]Depends what 50 pips means to you. I certainly see room for downside, but this pair is hard to resist for global investors. The inflation could make things hard is there is a "real" slowdown, but not so sure that will happen anytime soon..but it could.[/quote
Generally I agree with you.
50 pips normal loss depends on that what lot you can allow yourself.
Looks like aud doesnt in a hurry to slowdown . I didnt see sharp move from 61.8, so move up is well expected. Now my position is closed and i am on the side. Just want to understand what we have correction or a new impuls up
Good luck in your trading
  • #257
  • Mar 19, 2008 8:47pm Mar 19, 2008 8:47pm
Just visiting. I notice this formation on Daily TF. Let's see if it happens.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: AUD-USD Cup and Handle Pattern March 19-2008 Daily TF.png Size: 88 KB
  • #258
  • Mar 19, 2008 8:49pm Mar 19, 2008 8:49pm
This is one of the most good post i ever read, good job let's see what happen!
  • #259
  • Mar 19, 2008 8:58pm Mar 19, 2008 8:58pm
Quoting tunera
This is one of the most good post i ever read, good job let's see what happen!
I don't know if you talking about my post, but thanks anyways. lol
  • #260
  • Mar 20, 2008 12:07am Mar 20, 2008 12:07am
Quoting Carrera
Just visiting. I notice this formation on Daily TF. Let's see if it happens.
Carrera!!!
I Like Your Cup & Handle Method.... Also Like Your KingKong....lol...
Nice.......
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