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Daily Cable Analysis

  • #1,881
  • Jan 16, 2007 5:12am Jan 16, 2007 5:12am
Good morning to you, too, New York
  • #1,882
  • Jan 16, 2007 5:15am Jan 16, 2007 5:15am
I hope the news doesn't mess up things here..
Trade what you see, not what you think.
  • #1,883
  • Jan 16, 2007 5:18am Jan 16, 2007 5:18am
Quoting karmostaji
I hope the news doesn't mess up things here..
Hope they've had breakfast with Empire State's people for a good insider....

Just kidding, sorry... Scared to death here...
  • #1,884
  • Jan 16, 2007 5:20am Jan 16, 2007 5:20am
well, it will make life less boring if the news messes things up. just take some pip winnings and buy antacid stocks!!!
  • #1,885
  • Jan 16, 2007 5:22am Jan 16, 2007 5:22am
let's test dukes theory. move started down at 8am est, so it should continue down after release. is he right??
  • #1,886
  • Jan 16, 2007 5:24am Jan 16, 2007 5:24am
this the survey of average trader postion..if is it ok..i'll post the link

Notes:

The above table represents a snapshot of the average client positions. This information is generally updated four times a day (at 10 minutes past 7am, 12am, 5pm and 10pm GMT). It is computed by calculating mathematical ratios known as delta, vega and theta and represents approximate estimates of market positions only.
On average, clients tend to hold positions for less than 3 calendar days at a time. Therefore, the above table represents a short-term market view and may fluctuate day by day.



Wall Street Index Clients are very bearish Clients expect a large drop in volatility Clients expect a very range-bound market
S&P500 Index Clients are bearish Clients expect a moderate drop in volatility Clients expect a range-bound market
Nasdaq Index Clients are slightly bearish Clients expect a small drop in volatility Clients expect a range-bound market
GDAX Frankfurt Clients are slightly bearish Clients expect a small drop in volatility Clients expect a range-bound market
FTSE Index Clients are slightly bullish Clients expect a moderate drop in volatility Clients expect a sharp breakout in prices
French CAC40 Clients are slightly bearish Clients expect a small drop in volatility Clients expect a range-bound market
Swiss Index Clients are slightly bearish Clients expect a small drop in volatility Clients expect a range-bound market
Spanish IBEX35 Clients are slightly bearish Clients expect a small drop in volatility Clients expect a breakout in prices
MIB30 Index Clients are slightly bearish Clients expect a small drop in volatility Clients expect a breakout in prices
Swedish OMXS30 Clients are slightly bullish Clients expect a small increase in volatility Clients expect a breakout in prices

USD/Japanese Yen Clients are slightly bearish Clients expect a small increase in volatility Clients expect a range-bound market
EUR/US Dollar Clients are slightly bullish Clients expect a small drop in volatility Clients expect a range-bound market
GBP/US Dollar Clients are slightly bearish Clients expect a small drop in volatility Clients expect a range-bound market
USD/Canadian Clients are slightly bullish Clients expect a small drop in volatility Clients expect a range-bound market
USD/Swiss Franc Clients are slightly bullish Clients expect a small drop in volatility Clients expect a breakout in prices
AUD/US Dollar Clients are slightly bullish Clients expect a small increase in volatility Clients expect a breakout in prices
EUR/Japanese Yen Clients are slightly bullish Clients expect a small increase in volatility Clients expect a range-bound market
EUR/British Pound Clients are slightly bullish Clients expect a small increase in volatility Clients expect a breakout in prices
NZD/US Dollar Clients are slightly bullish Clients expect a small drop in volatility Clients expect a range-bound market
EUR/Swiss Franc Clients are slightly bearish Clients expect a small drop in volatility Clients expect a range-bound market
GBP/Japanese Yen Clients are slightly bearish Clients expect a small increase in volatility Clients expect a range-bound market
EUR/Swedish Kroner Clients are slightly bullish Clients expect a small drop in volatility Clients expect a range-bound market
Gold/US Dollar Clients are slightly bullish Clients expect a small increase in volatility Clients expect a breakout in prices
GBP/Swiss Franc Clients are very bullish Clients expect a small increase in volatility Clients expect a sharp breakout in prices
GBP/Australian Clients are slightly bearish Clients expect a small drop in volatility Clients expect a breakout in prices
GBP/Canadian Clients are very bullish Clients expect a small increase in volatility Clients expect a breakout in prices
EUR/Australian Clients are slightly bullish Clients expect a small drop in volatility Clients expect a range-bound market
EUR/Canadian Clients are slightly bearish Clients expect a small drop in volatility Clients expect a breakout in prices
GBP/Swedish Kroner Clients are slightly bearish Clients expect a small drop in volatility Clients expect a breakout in prices
GBP/Norwegian Kroner Clients are slightly bearish Clients expect a small drop in volatility Clients expect a breakout in prices
USD/Swedish Kroner Clients are slightly bearish Clients expect a small drop in volatility Clients expect a breakout in prices
USD/Norwegian Kroner Clients are slightly bearish Clients expect a small drop in volatility Clients expect a breakout in prices
USD/Polish Zloty Clients are slightly bearish Clients expect a small drop in volatility Clients expect a breakout in prices
GBP/Polish Zloty Clients are slightly bearish Clients expect a small drop in volatility Clients expect a breakout in prices
USD/Danish Kroner Clients are slightly bearish Clients expect a small drop in volatility Clients expect a breakout in prices
GBP/Danish Kroner Clients are slightly bearish Clients expect a small drop in volatility Clients expect a breakout in prices
USD/Czech Koruna Clients are slightly bearish Clients expect a small drop in volatility Clients expect a breakout in prices

Notes:

The above table represents a snapshot of the average client positions. This information is generally updated four times a day (at 10 minutes past 7am, 12am, 5pm and 10pm GMT). It is computed by calculating mathematical ratios known as delta, vega and theta and represents approximate estimates of market positions only.
On average, clients tend to hold positions for less than 3 calendar days at a time. Therefore, the above table represents a short-term market view and may fluctuate day by day.
  • #1,887
  • Jan 16, 2007 5:31am Jan 16, 2007 5:31am
Quoting shahfx
this the survey of average trader postion..if is it ok..i'll post the link

Notes:

The above table represents a snapshot of the average client positions. This information is generally updated four times a day (at 10 minutes past 7am, 12am, 5pm and 10pm GMT). It is computed by calculating mathematical ratios known as delta, vega and theta and represents approximate estimates of market positions only.
On average, clients tend to hold positions for less than 3 calendar days at a time. Therefore, the above table represents a short-term market view and may fluctuate day by day.



Wall Street Index Clients are very bearish Clients expect a large drop in volatility Clients expect a very range-bound market
S&P500 Index Clients are bearish Clients expect a moderate drop in volatility Clients expect a range-bound market
Nasdaq Index Clients are slightly bearish Clients expect a small drop in volatility Clients expect a range-bound market
GDAX Frankfurt Clients are slightly bearish Clients expect a small drop in volatility Clients expect a range-bound market
FTSE Index Clients are slightly bullish Clients expect a moderate drop in volatility Clients expect a sharp breakout in prices
French CAC40 Clients are slightly bearish Clients expect a small drop in volatility Clients expect a range-bound market
Swiss Index Clients are slightly bearish Clients expect a small drop in volatility Clients expect a range-bound market
Spanish IBEX35 Clients are slightly bearish Clients expect a small drop in volatility Clients expect a breakout in prices
MIB30 Index Clients are slightly bearish Clients expect a small drop in volatility Clients expect a breakout in prices
Swedish OMXS30 Clients are slightly bullish Clients expect a small increase in volatility Clients expect a breakout in prices

USD/Japanese Yen Clients are slightly bearish Clients expect a small increase in volatility Clients expect a range-bound market
EUR/US Dollar Clients are slightly bullish Clients expect a small drop in volatility Clients expect a range-bound market
GBP/US Dollar Clients are slightly bearish Clients expect a small drop in volatility Clients expect a range-bound market
USD/Canadian Clients are slightly bullish Clients expect a small drop in volatility Clients expect a range-bound market
USD/Swiss Franc Clients are slightly bullish Clients expect a small drop in volatility Clients expect a breakout in prices
AUD/US Dollar Clients are slightly bullish Clients expect a small increase in volatility Clients expect a breakout in prices
EUR/Japanese Yen Clients are slightly bullish Clients expect a small increase in volatility Clients expect a range-bound market
EUR/British Pound Clients are slightly bullish Clients expect a small increase in volatility Clients expect a breakout in prices
NZD/US Dollar Clients are slightly bullish Clients expect a small drop in volatility Clients expect a range-bound market
EUR/Swiss Franc Clients are slightly bearish Clients expect a small drop in volatility Clients expect a range-bound market
GBP/Japanese Yen Clients are slightly bearish Clients expect a small increase in volatility Clients expect a range-bound market
EUR/Swedish Kroner Clients are slightly bullish Clients expect a small drop in volatility Clients expect a range-bound market
Gold/US Dollar Clients are slightly bullish Clients expect a small increase in volatility Clients expect a breakout in prices
GBP/Swiss Franc Clients are very bullish Clients expect a small increase in volatility Clients expect a sharp breakout in prices
GBP/Australian Clients are slightly bearish Clients expect a small drop in volatility Clients expect a breakout in prices
GBP/Canadian Clients are very bullish Clients expect a small increase in volatility Clients expect a breakout in prices
EUR/Australian Clients are slightly bullish Clients expect a small drop in volatility Clients expect a range-bound market
EUR/Canadian Clients are slightly bearish Clients expect a small drop in volatility Clients expect a breakout in prices
GBP/Swedish Kroner Clients are slightly bearish Clients expect a small drop in volatility Clients expect a breakout in prices
GBP/Norwegian Kroner Clients are slightly bearish Clients expect a small drop in volatility Clients expect a breakout in prices
USD/Swedish Kroner Clients are slightly bearish Clients expect a small drop in volatility Clients expect a breakout in prices
USD/Norwegian Kroner Clients are slightly bearish Clients expect a small drop in volatility Clients expect a breakout in prices
USD/Polish Zloty Clients are slightly bearish Clients expect a small drop in volatility Clients expect a breakout in prices
GBP/Polish Zloty Clients are slightly bearish Clients expect a small drop in volatility Clients expect a breakout in prices
USD/Danish Kroner Clients are slightly bearish Clients expect a small drop in volatility Clients expect a breakout in prices
GBP/Danish Kroner Clients are slightly bearish Clients expect a small drop in volatility Clients expect a breakout in prices
USD/Czech Koruna Clients are slightly bearish Clients expect a small drop in volatility Clients expect a breakout in prices

Notes:

The above table represents a snapshot of the average client positions. This information is generally updated four times a day (at 10 minutes past 7am, 12am, 5pm and 10pm GMT). It is computed by calculating mathematical ratios known as delta, vega and theta and represents approximate estimates of market positions only.
On average, clients tend to hold positions for less than 3 calendar days at a time. Therefore, the above table represents a short-term market view and may fluctuate day by day.

can you post the link????? thanks
  • #1,888
  • Jan 16, 2007 5:37am Jan 16, 2007 5:37am
Very dollar negative, 9670s resisting...

I'm back to "clueless"... short-medium-long term
  • #1,889
  • Jan 16, 2007 5:40am Jan 16, 2007 5:40am
Quoting cesarnc
Very dollar negative, 9670s resisting...

I'm back to "clueless"... short-medium-long term
from what i can see the cable is hitting heavy resistance, being oversold maybe its time for a reverse soon
  • #1,890
  • Jan 16, 2007 5:42am Jan 16, 2007 5:42am
This has me clueless as well.....time to twiddle my thumbs and watch.
  • #1,891
  • Jan 16, 2007 5:45am Jan 16, 2007 5:45am
If I have to believe in something, I still believe in the downwards channel, from 9800s. We haven't broken it yet, not even with the 9705 assault.

We are still within its realm, and market is not showing the punch to break it, even with the "excuse" of a very dollar negative figure....

What would you guys say, now that we have all markets open and a few action as of today?
  • #1,892
  • Jan 16, 2007 5:54am Jan 16, 2007 5:54am
is that a 'hammer' on the 1hr chart?
Trade what you see, not what you think.
  • #1,893
  • Jan 16, 2007 5:54am Jan 16, 2007 5:54am
Quoting cesarnc
If I have to believe in something, I still believe in the downwards channel, from 9800s. We haven't broken it yet, not even with the 9705 assault.

We are still within its realm, and market is not showing the punch to break it, even with the "excuse" of a very dollar negative figure....

What would you guys say, now that we have all markets open and a few action as of today?
yes i agree its near 1.9750
  • #1,894
  • Jan 16, 2007 5:57am Jan 16, 2007 5:57am
yes, we have a hammer or Pinbar on 1h which would suggest a long, but it's not a very reliable signal on timeframes < 4h, so I am staying out
Consistency and patience is everything
  • #1,895
  • Jan 16, 2007 5:57am Jan 16, 2007 5:57am
Quoting monarch
On the Hourly Chart,
I have been watching each move for a pullback, but since the move up from
1.9453 we have not seen one Fibo retrace back to a minimum of 38.2% mark.

Every time the price just keeps pushing a little higher, with just small moves down.

We have pushed against the bottom of our High at 1.9667 3 times or so, each time it just back up a little, the most so far it has come down is 37 pips.

This looks to me like it has the strength once again to push up higher, this time we should reach 1.9700 for a more competitive battle of resisitance.

I have exited my Short position, and now entered for a short term Long for the push upwards - I re-evaluate once we hit the 1.9700 area.
Yesterday there was pressure to break the 1.9667 High, I had a figure to go Long to 1.9700 (I had posted also the High could have gone to 1.9716-26)

The price bounced all around during the London Open and News time, went up and hit 1.9702 and is now back below the 1.9667 mark being held captive once again.

The important thing to see here is the Low from all the activity, it came down to 1.9828, which was never below the 1.9623 mark that set up this move upwards.

There is no indication that the price has surrendered to a retracement, the US News in 3 minutes may help us more.
  • #1,896
  • Jan 16, 2007 5:59am Jan 16, 2007 5:59am
The channel....

http://i2.photobucket.com/albums/y28/cesarnc/Jan-16.jpg
  • #1,897
  • Jan 16, 2007 6:01am Jan 16, 2007 6:01am
Pardon the stupid question Monarch, but What US news in 3 minutes are you speaking of? I only show the announcements that took place a half an hour ago...
  • #1,898
  • Jan 16, 2007 6:02am Jan 16, 2007 6:02am
Quoting dawnrenee2000
Pardon the stupid question Monarch, but What US news in 3 minutes are you speaking of? I only show the announcements that took place a half an hour ago...
CAD interest rate - 4,25% - steady.
  • #1,899
  • Jan 16, 2007 6:04am Jan 16, 2007 6:04am
Thanks, I guess that is enough blond moments for my morning...back to quietly watching now. Best wishes to you all with your trades today.
  • #1,900
  • Jan 16, 2007 6:06am Jan 16, 2007 6:06am
Quoting dawnrenee2000
Pardon the stupid question Monarch, but What US news in 3 minutes are you speaking of? I only show the announcements that took place a half an hour ago...
Oh the news that it is only Tuesday, I thought it was Wednesday already.

Thanks for helping me keep it straight.

Okay no news here, well 1.9667 is still being held as a nice resistance in my book, even though we had a spurt past it, I am holding still for the time being waiting for my indication to enter the market.
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