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AUD/USD

  • #61
  • Feb 11, 2008 8:39pm Feb 11, 2008 8:39pm
Quoting jacobtrader
Give me some time guys, I will put up an Analysis on AUD/USD, to give you all information, that where is this Pair going..

Thank You
Hi jacob, do you mind to share your expertise on how A/j currently doing now?
'THE TRUTH THING ABOUT FOREX IS A PATIENCE'
  • #62
  • Feb 11, 2008 10:36pm Feb 11, 2008 10:36pm
Quoting AndsX
I shorted this pair and AUD/JPY and looks like it's not going the way i predicted. It's going up strong .
Looks like we in the same boat, still holding my short with stops above 0.9100. If a retrace does happen from this levels it could be a great drop. Remember that as long as you know how to manage risk the opportunity is always there to make big profits.
  • #63
  • Edited 7:24am Feb 12, 2008 6:53am | Edited 7:24am
This has been the most bullish pair of all the majors. Coal is on FIRE - insatiable demand from china. China added a fleet of new coal power plants that just came online, they equal 1/3 of all the electricity made in USA. And that's just the NEW plants. USA wants to export coal to china, but the trip from Australia is tough to compete with. Economics is all about efficiency, no?

For the record i am neither long or short. I would like to get a lower entry. I can't bring myself to buy here, or short because of mixed feelings.
  • #64
  • Feb 13, 2008 2:25am Feb 13, 2008 2:25am
Those who are patiently holding there SHORT SELL order..
Be Patient.. we will see a BIG Fall in this pair..
  • #65
  • Feb 13, 2008 2:55am Feb 13, 2008 2:55am
This i my favourate pair well as i said in my previous post with screen shot of 30minutes that if this pair broke my lower trendline than it drop down and show some bearish movement finally it did in 30-minutes chart and drops more and now see my 4-Hour chart it clearly also broke lower trendline and drops...see detail in 4-hour and weekly charts screenshot...
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: 4-hOUR aUD 6.JPG Size: 151 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: aud.usd weeklu3.JPG Size: 150 KB
  • #66
  • Feb 13, 2008 3:23am Feb 13, 2008 3:23am
Quoting jacobtrader
Those who are patiently holding there SHORT SELL order..
Be Patient.. we will see a BIG Fall in this pair..

Nice call I also noticed you got the call on the GBP/US drop on Monday.

I was anticipating the drop as well on this pair. The failure yesterday to breach the .9100 level again and the formation of yesterdays pinbar at heavy resistance caught my eye. I took my entry on the break of the neckline on the 4hr head 'n' shoulders. That topped off with the momentum of everyone's tightened stops was a real treat. I have closed 2/3 of my position and moved my stop to break even for the remainder of my position.

  • #67
  • Feb 13, 2008 4:58am Feb 13, 2008 4:58am
Quoting jacobtrader
Those who are patiently holding there SHORT SELL order..
Be Patient.. we will see a BIG Fall in this pair..
IF YOU SAY THE BIG FALL OF OUR MARGIN, YES YOU ARE RIGHT !
'THE TRUTH THING ABOUT FOREX IS A PATIENCE'
  • #68
  • Feb 13, 2008 6:05am Feb 13, 2008 6:05am
nice surprise when I wake this morning. Thx.
  • #69
  • Feb 13, 2008 7:25am Feb 13, 2008 7:25am
Quoting yaakub
IF YOU SAY THE BIG FALL OF OUR MARGIN, YES YOU ARE RIGHT !
The price is still higher than his original recommendation on the 7th. You come and say it's going to drop big everyday, eventually you will be right.

Still never presented his analysis. I had to put him on ignore.
  • #70
  • Feb 13, 2008 8:09am Feb 13, 2008 8:09am
Quoting TIckerShuffl
The price is still higher than his original recommendation on the 7th. You come and say it's going to drop big everyday, eventually you will be right.

Still never presented his analysis. I had to put him on ignore.
Thanks for putting me on ignore..
I dont have much time to spoon feed everyone..

Those who are patient, they will be rewarded.. thanks
  • #71
  • Feb 13, 2008 8:33am Feb 13, 2008 8:33am
Quoting jacobtrader
Thanks for putting me on ignore..
I dont have much time to spoon feed everyone..

Those who are patient, they will be rewarded.. thanks
Hahaha My favour is with JacobTrader... I think it's a stupidity to close your eye's and blindly follow signals and analysis on real... One must have to use his own skill's and experience about what is right and wht's wrong... And demo is the best place to test your skill's or other experience trader's analysis... I never Use any signal's but really respect and try to compare experience trader's analysis with my own...I also think FF is the best place to share your idea's thought's and experience ... so come on Guy's Just Chill Up...
  • #72
  • Feb 13, 2008 8:38am Feb 13, 2008 8:38am
Quoting Umairs2004
I think it's a stupidity to close your eye's and blindly follow signals and analysis on real... One must have to use his own skill's and experience about what is right and wht's wrong...
Agreed.
  • #73
  • Feb 13, 2008 9:36am Feb 13, 2008 9:36am
All the SHorts should be happy..
We are going way too Down..
Best Luck...

Remember dont panic.. Be Patient..
  • #74
  • Feb 13, 2008 12:53pm Feb 13, 2008 12:53pm
Quote
Originally Posted by Umairs2004 http://www.forexfactory.com/images/buttons/viewpost.gif
I think it's a stupidity to close your eye's and blindly follow signals and analysis on real... One must have to use his own skill's and experience about what is right and wht's wrong...

agreed.


But like TIckerShuffl sad we shall see eventually a drop.

Just my charts.

Daily

http://img145.imageshack.us/img145/7...3022008nl9.gif

H4

http://img180.imageshack.us/img180/8...3022008wt0.gif
  • #75
  • Feb 13, 2008 1:55pm Feb 13, 2008 1:55pm
LOL, i think i'll start a new thread: AUD/USD, what direction in 3 days, 23 hours and 45 min's ? ( please read disclaimer)
Disclaimer:
I, GOD trader, reserve the right to, change forecasted timeframe of prediction.
I GOD trader, reserve the right to argue your opinion.
I GOD trader, reserve the right, to remove YOUR right's of arguing YOUR opinion.
Be warned, you are with us, or you are against us.(i stole this idea from another GOD)
Biggest joker
  • #76
  • Feb 13, 2008 2:13pm Feb 13, 2008 2:13pm
Lolz.. u missed out seconds :
  • #77
  • Feb 13, 2008 9:44pm Feb 13, 2008 9:44pm
First posting here, i trade AUD/USD and AUS/JPY. Big session coming up in Europe, the employment data is surprisingly strong and we have a surge to 90.25, yesterday we saw bears have a picnic and it hit lows of 89.23, now i understand the bears argument but i am not sure they running this show general USD strength from EUR and GBP has to be countered from the AUS/JPY demand. As long as the equities recover then AUS/JPY rise has to come from somewhere, right now its coming from USD/JPY but when that runs into offers then the easiest place for the bulls is the AUD/USD. This latest fall from 90.85 just a lucky set of techs, sentiment and speculation. The fact is the trend is super strong and waiting for a reason to go up and reap the carry. To say carry trade is dead is to say greed is dead, prediction within week AUD/USD 91.50 AUD/JPY 100. With the US retail sales, JPY GDP ^ and strong AUS employment, i say its on like donkey kong starting this session in europe looking for AUD/USD 91 and AUS/JPY 98.50 try to get in on any dips AUD/USD 90.10-20 and AUD/JPY 97.40-50
  • #78
  • Feb 14, 2008 11:31am Feb 14, 2008 11:31am
I'm with Jacob here, we got a spike after the good news last night but still can't break .91. I think we have a bit of a fall coming before it recovers again. Either that, or we will range for a while now in this triangle that is forming.
  • #79
  • Feb 14, 2008 11:34am Feb 14, 2008 11:34am
Still holding shorts here with s/l above .9100 If a break of that level occurs it will def be a quick one sending the pair to new highs. If shorts win over the fall could take us to 0.8400 Daily/weekly support levels.
  • #80
  • Feb 14, 2008 12:04pm Feb 14, 2008 12:04pm
What do people think will happen long term with this pair? 1 year +

With Aus raising interest rates and the US lowering them, I am a Bull.
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