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Tiki Trader Trades

  • #501
  • Feb 7, 2008 3:39pm Feb 7, 2008 3:39pm
I will at this point probably plan to take CHF long as a divergence trade... it is about to fire off... careful that it is against the trend, the target should be close... expect the 62 ema to get out or when the slow stoch flattens... don't expect big pips against the trend...

But as you soon will learn... I am the last person you should ever ask for advice from...

Quoting Eklavya
Tiki..what do you think about USDCHF..
1. Weekly coming off a pin at support.
2. Daily we have a BuOVB
3. 4 hr we have a BuOVB

Should we enter long on the hourly once we get an bullish candle pattern?

The only reason to not take the trade would be that price is at a resistance.
  • #502
  • Feb 7, 2008 3:42pm Feb 7, 2008 3:42pm
Because Tiki can make a triangle out of anything... !!! The bullet store was closed.... now what do I do...?? Scrape myself up off the ground...

And even opie has skipped town without making a move... geez.. I am so out of it... I thought I was posting in the chess thread....!!!

Quoting raczekfx
Why... ?
Let me show you (if you don't mind) how to look at it from a different perspective on uj..... Most people bet that uj is going down to 100... which is quite possible. Right now price is ranging between 105.80 and 107.80, so why not take advantage of it. Buy bounces off lower zone, take some profit in the middle..., sell bounces off upper ppz and so on and so forth until break out occurs.... Trade really small so you don't get hurt and collect pips.... you're doing good anyways...
  • #503
  • Feb 7, 2008 3:47pm Feb 7, 2008 3:47pm
Quoting raczekfx
Why... ?
Let me show you (if you don't mind) how to look at it from a different perspective on uj..... Most people bet that uj is going down to 100... which is quite possible. Right now price is ranging between 105.80 and 107.80, so why not take advantage of it. Buy bounces off lower zone, take some profit in the middle..., sell bounces off upper ppz and so on and so forth until break out occurs.... Trade really small so you don't get hurt and collect pips.... you're doing good anyways...
even if one needs pa confirmation before blindly trading ppz areas... here you go:
4hr PB (by proxy), long, zone hit, out for 100+
Luck..?
Attached Image
  • #504
  • Feb 7, 2008 5:19pm Feb 7, 2008 5:19pm
This will all be really hard... it will take a lot of posts and everyone can just laugh at all the crap I will put out tonight... trample me when I am done... and that is fine... I will get what I deserve... you'll have to get through all these posts first... maybe then I will have it off my chest and feel better...

I will start here...

Quote
Still hold current trade,hmm,so much stress, have you thinked of quit them all?

From my very best friend... a friend I doubt I deserve to have... because I know what your trades are too... and I don't want them to end the way they might... YES, I was trying to find a way to get out of those trades, and still keep my balance... I planned all day and all night.... I stayed up... I never left the chart... my finger was ready on the trigger... I had a plan... and well, it could have worked... but forex is non forgiving.... it did not forgive today...
  • #505
  • Feb 7, 2008 5:22pm Feb 7, 2008 5:22pm
Quoting hilmy83
and tiki, don't worry aobut these small losses. It may affect your thinking a little since you have made your goals public about staying positive this year, but remember we still got a loooong way to go before 2008 is over. 2% of many profits that i know you will have is nothing. Wait till you experience -5%, -10% or -20% (my personal best! ), that's when it really gets tough and that's when you will make your transition from tiki to a successful trader super tiki.
And yet... here I stand today, now looking up at Mount Everest.... instead of looking down on far away lands...

I have not yet even dared to add up the losses... I think it will make me throw up... I will do it last...
  • #506
  • Feb 7, 2008 5:27pm Feb 7, 2008 5:27pm
Quoting raczekfx
Why... ?
Let me show you (if you don't mind) how to look at it from a different perspective on uj..... Most people bet that uj is going down to 100... which is quite possible. Right now price is ranging between 105.80 and 107.80, so why not take advantage of it. Buy bounces off lower zone, take some profit in the middle..., sell bounces off upper ppz and so on and so forth until break out occurs.... Trade really small so you don't get hurt and collect pips.... you're doing good anyways...
Well... it is too late for all this... actually you have posted exactly my chart... except at some point I began to look at it as a triangle... my problem began with that one spike on the down side there that that goes below the zone... which was the point changing me to triangle.... of coarse today we then broke the line down.... I jumped in too early and sold.... this could easily have happned on the other spike down too... at what point have we broken out from the zone...?? at what point then do you sell...? (or buy) Wait for a daily candle to close, and it is easy to miss a lot or the whole move... look at 4 hour... and you miss it because you are asleep or at work... well, you say... that is all easy... I know there is some easy chart you will post to remind me or point out my misthinkings on what I just wrote... But yeah, easy to take care of, cause you buy or sell teeny tiny amounts.... and that was my downfall... once again....!!! How many times has Tiki fallen to this.... and the reason was just to make a few big pips quick... to get some profits so I could close out my other losing positions and keep my YTD 4%... NO excuses... but right now... I can't even bear to write it in my journal... what a freakin mess.... what was it James always says..?? Rifle shots...? Where shall I aim... to my head...??
  • #507
  • Edited 6:29pm Feb 7, 2008 5:43pm | Edited 6:29pm
Those are the pairs I had trades on... not huge amounts... well within reason, although the GBP was beginning to get heavy... look back in here, and you will see where and why I was in those trades... and actually, unfortunately... I still am in the GBP and EUR trades... so even more losses are still possible, or let's just say, likely...

I was long on JPY just from getting another pending order ticked off but a couple of pips... by god... I've got to find a way to stop that from happening...

I believe I did post in here last night on JPY zone or triangle...? but I was hatching a plan.... hopefully that would win me just enough to close out my lsoing trades and leave me with my 4%... not asking much now was it...???

Anyway... 6AM this morning... BOE news... and don't think I was trying to trade the news... I don't really do that...

But here is a snapshot of Tiki pulling the trigger... these will go in family album....
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  • #508
  • Feb 7, 2008 5:45pm Feb 7, 2008 5:45pm
And here is a pic of Tiki smiling with joy...
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  • #509
  • Feb 7, 2008 5:47pm Feb 7, 2008 5:47pm
This next pic is where Tiki is thinking... ( losing at this point ) but hey, we're just retesting the trendline.. right...???
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  • #510
  • Feb 7, 2008 5:52pm Feb 7, 2008 5:52pm
And this pic shows where things are starting to get really serious.... you know... that throw up feeling...
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  • #511
  • Edited 6:31pm Feb 7, 2008 5:56pm | Edited 6:31pm
This is my favorite pic... here is where Tiki just sat on his duff and did nothing but shake and tremble.... this is where Tiki could have stopped and it still would not have been a big deal yet... hurting yes... but livable... or better yet... why didn't Tiki just close it out and make a BUY trade for the same amount of units...
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  • #512
  • Edited 6:31pm Feb 7, 2008 6:01pm | Edited 6:31pm
And had Tiki done just that... stop and reverse.... here is the pic where Tiki would have pulled off the trick... with lots to spare... able to close out losing trades... put some extra % on the books too... even though that was not needed or the desire... Instead.. this is where Tiki finally hit his STOP...
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  • #513
  • Feb 7, 2008 6:12pm Feb 7, 2008 6:12pm
And I had almost missed this... only just saw it after I lost... quite possibly the nicest thing anyone has ever said about me...

Quote
P.S. Well done on January so far Tiki! I got to hurry up, else you're gonna start outrunning me and everyone else!
Seriously though, well done on being + in 2008 =) seeking light

Well.. I am speechless... and of coarse, there is no need to worry about me outrunning anyone....

OK... it's all off my chest... not that I feel that much better... what a mountain Hilmy.... how ever will I climb this...???

Let this be a lesson to everyone... whatever you learn from it... you get it at my expense today...

How much is the damage...??? Lets see if my calculator will go that high... I'll be back with that later... just makes me too sick to post it yet...
  • #514
  • Feb 7, 2008 6:21pm Feb 7, 2008 6:21pm
Alright.. no one can say I don't just lay it out on the line... just the way it is...

New Balance..... -13%
  • #515
  • Feb 7, 2008 6:24pm Feb 7, 2008 6:24pm
Ok... I am ready for shoveling the dirt on me...
  • #516
  • Feb 7, 2008 7:55pm Feb 7, 2008 7:55pm
Tiki trade only the smallest amount possible. if you can trade 1 cent per pip trade it. at the end of the year you will see how many pips you made or give away
Once A Trader Always A Trader.
  • #517
  • Feb 7, 2008 8:07pm Feb 7, 2008 8:07pm
Most often I only trade 1 -15 cents a pip... as you can see... today I did not... I have made this mistake time and time again... there is no excuse...... this time I must find a way to pick up the pieces... I will do that... I will not be a loser... I have never been a lose in my life... I will not start now... but this is by far the hardest thing I have ever done...

Quoting Liviu
Tiki trade only the smallest amount possible. if you can trade 1 cent per pip trade it. at the end of the year you will see how many pips you made or give away
  • #518
  • Feb 7, 2008 8:41pm Feb 7, 2008 8:41pm
it's better to count first the pips and then the money for people on this side of the trade. don't trade more than one cent per pip and more than one trade per pair per day till you don't make consistent pips. it's not about being a loser or a winner, it's about learning to survive first. winning will come later, but you need to survive long enough.
Once A Trader Always A Trader.
  • #519
  • Feb 7, 2008 8:43pm Feb 7, 2008 8:43pm
Ah yes... but I am a winner... I just lost today...

Now I begin to make it back...!!

Quoting Liviu
it's better to count first the pips and then the money for people on this side of the trade. don't trade more than one cent per pip and more than one trade per pair per day till you don't make consistent pips. it's not about being a loser or a winner, it's about learning to survive first. winning will come later, but you need to survive long enough.
  • #520
  • Feb 7, 2008 8:47pm Feb 7, 2008 8:47pm
This divergence trade really now has fired off since the first signal line of stoch has now come out of oversold... it takes longer when the the trend is already against you...

Remember... this really is against the Arizona rules... the rules really say red 62 must be in between the 800 and 200 ot take divergence trades...

LONG... 500 units @ 1.1034.... the rules also say, put stop where it belongs which unfortunately in this case is @ 1.0710 Target 1.1200

Risk 1%
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